SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

SC Freiburg
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
FC Schalke 04
Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg·Martin Petersen 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
87%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
SC Freiburg Rest
8 days
FC Schalke 04 Rest
8 days

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04: result, form and history

SC Freiburg beat FC Schalke 04 2-1 in the Bundesliga on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: SC Freiburg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for FC Schalke 04.

SC Freiburg have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. SC Freiburg tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.9 for FC Schalke 04.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.70
X
24%3.98
2
13%5.00
Double Chance
1X
87%1.18
X2
37%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.62
No
46%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.07 + 0.85 = 2.92
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
60%1.64
Over 3.5
37%2.57
Under 1.5
21%4.47
Under 2.5
40%2.30
Under 3.5
63%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.71
Over 9.5
51%2.15
Over 10.5
41%2.88
Under 8.5
39%2.02
Under 9.5
49%1.64
Under 10.5
59%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.1 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.89
Over 4.5
29%2.91
Under 3.5
52%1.83
Under 4.5
71%1.38

Match Events

10'Maximilian Eggestein
30'Kenan KaramanAssist: Adrian Tobias Gantenbein
49'Yuito SuzukiDissent
57'Matthias GinterDissent
64'Yuito Suzuki
65'Igor Matanovic INLucas Höler out
69'Jan-Niklas Beste INCyriaque Irié out
69'Yannick Engelhardt INKeisuke Goto out
69'Satoshi Tanaka INRon Schallenberg out
69'Junior Chukwubuike Adamu INEdin Džeko out
79'Adrian Tobias Gantenbein INAdil Aouchiche out
79'Maximilian Wöber INTimo Becker out
79'Moussa Sylla INHwang Hee-Chan out
83'Philipp Treu INLukas Kübler out
83'Derry Lionel Scherhant INVincenzo Grifo out
85'Keisuke GotoAssist: Vincenzo Grifo
87'Hwang Hee-ChanFoul

Lineups

SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Schuster
FC Schalke 04
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Muslić
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.32
M. Backhaus5.81M. Backhaus
P. Treu6.729P. Treu
M. Ginter6.928M. Ginter
P. Lienhart6.23P. Lienhart
J. Makengo6.633J. Makengo
M. Eggestein7.88M. Eggestein
Y. Engelhardt6.216Y. Engelhardt
J. Beste6.519J. Beste
Y. Suzuki6.014Y. Suzuki
D. Scherhant6.37D. Scherhant
I. Matanović6.431I. Matanović
L. Karius6.51L. Karius
H. Kuruçay7.14H. Kuruçay
N. Katić6.625N. Katić
M. Wöber6.939M. Wöber
A. Gantenbein6.817A. Gantenbein
S. El-Faouzi6.123S. El-Faouzi
S. Tanaka6.413S. Tanaka
R. Gosens5.88R. Gosens
M. Sylla6.19M. Sylla
K. Karaman6.619K. Karaman
J. Adamu6.120J. Adamu

SC Freiburg Substitutes

42K. Goto69'for Yannick Engelhardt85'7.7
32V. Grifo83'for Derry Lionel Scherhant6.6
30C. Günter
9L. Höler65'for Igor Matanovic6.8
24J. Huth
22Cyriaque Kalou Irié69'for Jan-Niklas Beste6.6
17L. Kübler83'for Philipp Treu6.3
6P. Osterhage
37M. Rosenfelder

FC Schalke 04 Substitutes

29J. Dina Ebimbe
10E. Džeko69'for Junior Chukwubuike Adamu6.4
7Hwang Hee-Chan79'for Moussa Sylla87'5.9
22K. Müller
6R. Schallenberg69'for Satoshi Tanaka5.7
5T. Becker79'for Maximilian Wöber6.2
33Vitalie Becker
43M. Ayhan
24A. Aouchiche79'for Adrian Tobias Gantenbein6.0

Match Stats

SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04
51%Ball Possession49%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots3
11Fouls13
0Offsides5
0Goalkeeper Saves3
427Total Passes421
334Passes Accurate328
11Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
1845Elo Rating 1670
1.63Attack 0.17
0.58Defense 1.93
41%Hit Rate 0%
15.6Shots per Game 8.6
3.5Shots on Target 2.2
6.4Corners per Game 3.9
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+175 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

SC FreiburgSC Freiburg4Wins · 100%
Draws00%
FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 040Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Bundesliga23/04/2023
SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04
40
Bundesliga30/10/2022
FC Schalke 04SC Freiburg
02
Bundesliga17/04/2021
SC FreiburgFC Schalke 04
40
Bundesliga16/12/2020
FC Schalke 04SC Freiburg
02

Recent Form

FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 04
5W2D3L
03/10/2026
Austria LustenauFC Schalke 04
01
W
20/09/2026
FC Schalke 04SV Elversberg
00
D
11/09/2026
Union BerlinFC Schalke 04
13
W
05/09/2026
FC Schalke 04Bayern München
00
D
30/08/2026
FC AugsburgFC Schalke 04
30
L
24/08/2026
Hallescher FCFC Schalke 04
2252
W
16/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Real Madrid
03
L
08/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Atalanta
03
L
01/08/2026
Hessen KasselFC Schalke 04
05
W
25/07/2026
FC Schalke 04Fagiano Okayama
31
W

Referee Profile

Martin Petersen158 matches

4.30Cards per match
4.11Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Petersen4.30
Other referees4.22

4.30 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München853027:8+1918DWWDW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund853014:6+818DWDDW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg851218:10+816WLLWD
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig850322:11+1115WWLWL
5Werder BremenWerder Bremen843117:14+315WWDDW
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen841318:16+213LLWWW
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg841316:16013WLWLD
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt832313:18-511WLWLD
9FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05831417:17010LLWLW
10FC AugsburgFC Augsburg823318:15+39LDLDL
11VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart830514:15-19WLLWL
121899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim830514:16-29LWWLL
131. FC Köln1. FC Köln82339:12-39DDLWL
14SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0782336:9-39DWDLW
15Hamburger SVHamburger SV83057:19-129LLWWW
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin81437:19-127DDDWL
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0481344:9-56LDLLD
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach811611:22-114DWLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SC Freiburg and FC Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga table

The table shows a wide gap: SC Freiburg are 3rd in the Bundesliga, while FC Schalke 04 sit 17th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: SC Freiburg 18-10, FC Schalke 04 4-9. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.