SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn·Daniel Schlager 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-13.4%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
SC Paderborn 07 Rest
8 days
1899 Hoffenheim Rest
3 days

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim: result, form and history

SC Paderborn 07 beat 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 in the Bundesliga on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Daniel Schlager averages 4.73 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%4.20
X
25%4.50
2
51%1.72
Double Chance
1X
49%2.13
X2
76%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.40
No
38%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.48 = 2.74
Over 1.5
82%1.09
Over 2.5
63%1.36
Over 3.5
42%1.98
Under 1.5
18%6.35
Under 2.5
37%3.00
Under 3.5
58%1.88
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.8 = 10.4
Over 8.5
67%1.39
Over 9.5
62%1.66
Over 10.5
57%2.02
Under 8.5
33%2.74
Under 9.5
38%2.16
Under 10.5
43%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.59
Over 4.5
37%2.03
Under 3.5
44%2.31
Under 4.5
63%1.73

Match Events

29'Santiago Castaneda
42'Stefano MarinoAssist: Laurin Curda
45'Mats Rots INAlbian Hajdari out
45'Marvin Pieringer INSteffen Tigges out
45'Wouter BurgerFoul
50'Adam DaghimAssist: Max Moerstedt
62'Adam Hložek INPatrick Wimmer out
62'Max Moerstedt INTim Lemperle out
63'Raphael Obermair INJonah Sticker out
69'Steffen TiggesAssist: Jonah Sticker
73'Gabriel Vidović INTom Baack out
73'Stefano Marino INRayan Philippe out
75'Mattes Hansen INFelix Götze out
80'Adam Daghim INAndrej Kramarić out
80'Leon Avdullahu INFisnik Asllani out

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07
3-5-2Coach: R. Kettemann
1899 Hoffenheim
4-4-2Coach: C. Ilzer
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.41
N. Noll6.215N. Noll
J. ter Horst6.921J. ter Horst
T. Scheller6.825T. Scheller
M. Hansen6.422M. Hansen
L. Curda7.017L. Curda
L. Ulrich6.528L. Ulrich
S. Castañeda8.05S. Castañeda
G. Vidović6.540G. Vidović
R. Obermair6.123R. Obermair
M. Pieringer6.918M. Pieringer
S. Marino7.730S. Marino
O. Baumann5.71O. Baumann
V. Coufal6.034V. Coufal
O. Kabak6.25O. Kabak
K. Machida7.028K. Machida
M. Rots6.239M. Rots
B. Conté6.920B. Conté
L. Avdullahu6.57L. Avdullahu
W. Burger5.918W. Burger
A. Daghim6.714A. Daghim
A. Hložek6.310A. Hložek
Max Moerstedt6.89M. Moerstedt

SC Paderborn 07 Substitutes

27S. Tigges45'for Marvin Pieringer69'7.6
38D. Zeitler
6T. Baack73'for Gabriel Vidović6.4
20F. Götze75'for Mattes Hansen6.3
11S. Michel
2Ruben Müller
9R. Philippe73'for Stefano Marino6.6
1M. Schubert
3Jonah Benedict Sticker63'for Raphael Obermair6.6

1899 Hoffenheim Substitutes

17Nathan De Cat
15V. Gendrey
21A. Hajdari45'for Mats Rots6.4
2R. Hranáč
27A. Kramarić80'for Adam Daghim6.3
19T. Lemperle62'for Max Moerstedt6.4
37L. Philipp
8P. Wimmer62'for Adam Hložek6.6
11F. Asllani80'for Leon Avdullahu6.6

Match Stats

SC Paderborn 071899 Hoffenheim
34%Ball Possession66%
6Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots23
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box16
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots13
6Fouls14
1Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
325Total Passes639
232Passes Accurate542
14Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
1700Elo Rating 1788
1.04Attack 2.15
1.87Defense 2.14
37%Hit Rate 59%
16.2Shots per Game 15.0
5.2Shots on Target 5.5
5.0Corners per Game 7.4
1.1Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 07
4W4D2L
12/09/2026
Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 07
30
L
05/09/2026
SC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg
01
L
29/08/2026
FSV Mainz 05SC Paderborn 07
00
D
23/08/2026
Phönix LübeckSC Paderborn 07
24
W
08/08/2026
Werder BremenSC Paderborn 07
22
D
01/08/2026
VfL OsnabrückSC Paderborn 07
02
W
25/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07VfL Wolfsburg
2111
W
21/05/2026
VfL WolfsburgSC Paderborn 07
00
D
17/05/2026
SV Darmstadt 98SC Paderborn 07
02
W
08/05/2026
SC Paderborn 07Karlsruher SC
22
D
1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
5W1D4L
17/09/2026
OFI1899 Hoffenheim
20
L
12/09/2026
1899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart
21
W
05/09/2026
1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
23
L
29/08/2026
1. FC Köln1899 Hoffenheim
32
L
22/08/2026
Erzgebirge Aue1899 Hoffenheim
04
W
16/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
22
D
15/08/2026
Tottenham1899 Hoffenheim
30
L
01/08/2026
1899 HoffenheimKarlsruher SC
30
W
29/07/2026
1899 HoffenheimHolstein Kiel
31
W
18/07/2026
SGV Freiberg1899 Hoffenheim
03
W

Referee Profile

Daniel Schlager172 matches

4.71Cards per match
4.49Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniel Schlager4.73
Other referees4.23

4.73 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 164 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bayern MünchenBayern München752025:6+1917WWDWW
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund752012:4+817WDDWW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg851218:10+816WLLWD
4RB LeipzigRB Leipzig850322:11+1115WWLWL
5Werder BremenWerder Bremen843117:14+315WWDDW
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen841318:16+213LLWWW
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg841316:16013WLWLD
8FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05831417:17010LLWLW
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg823318:15+39LDLDL
10VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart830514:15-19WLLWL
111899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim830514:16-29LWWLL
12SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0782336:9-39DWDLW
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV73046:16-109LWWWL
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln72238:11-38DLWLD
15Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt722310:17-78LWLDW
16FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0481344:9-56LDLLD
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin71336:18-126DDWLL
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach811611:22-114DWLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SC Paderborn 07 and 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, SC Paderborn 07 (12th) and 1899 Hoffenheim (11th) are level on 9 points. League goal record so far: SC Paderborn 07 6-9, 1899 Hoffenheim 14-16. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

SC Paderborn 07 and 1899 Hoffenheim have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.