Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
6 days
Defensa Y Justicia Rest
3 days
Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia: the result in context
Estudiantes L.P. beat Defensa Y Justicia 3-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game. Referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez averages 6.16 cards a game, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
159%1.63
X27%3.50
214%6.00
Double Chance
1X86%1.12
X241%2.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.35
No47%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.93 = 2.52
Over 1.570%1.50
Over 2.547%2.48
Over 3.526%4.80
Under 1.530%2.59
Under 2.553%1.53
Under 3.574%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.9 = 9
Over 8.553%1.75
Over 9.538%2.25
Over 10.529%3.05
Under 8.547%2.00
Under 9.562%1.60
Under 10.571%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.543%1.39
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.557%2.58
Match Events
9'G. CarrilloAssist: E. Meza
14'L. Souto INA. Portillo out
16'L. PioviAssist: T. Palacios
28'Perez FabricioFoul
28'D. BarbonaUnsportsmanlike conduct
34'D. FernandezFoul
36'T. PalaciosAssist: G. Carrillo
64'M. Rodriguez INF. Roman out
64'L. Fernandez INT. Perez out
64'S. Sosa IND. Blanco out
70'T. Palacios INJ. Sosa out
71'A. Castro INGabriel Neves out
72'Perez Fabricio INB. Aguirre out
72'T. Palacios INR. Funes Mori out
79'A. Hausch INR. Gagliardi out
80'G. Carrillo INL. Alario out
87'D. Barbona(Penalty missed)
90+3'Goal Disallowed - handballG. Benedetti
Lineups
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia
4-2-3-1Coach: Mariano SosoAvg ratingAvg rating
16F. Muslera
20E. Meza
4S. Núñez
24T. Palacios
13G. Benedetti
21E. Piovi
22A. Castro
29F. Pérez
10T. Palacios
17J. Tobio Burgos
C9G. Carrillo
1M. Borgogno
33L. Souto
29D. Fernández
2S. Lucero
40M. Rodríguez
8C. Pérez
15S. Sosa
17A. Hausch
19D. Barbona
24J. Manuel Gutiérrez
C9L. FernándezEstudiantes L.P. Substitutes
7José Sosa70'for T. Palacios
8Gabriel Neves71'for A. Castro
26Ramiro Funes Mori72'for T. Palacios
28Brian Aguirre72'for Perez Fabricio
27Lucas Alario80'for G. Carrillo
1Fabricio Iacovich
40Eros Mancuso
36Joaquin Pereyra
52Bautista Kociubinski
11Facundo Farías
18Edwuin Cetré
19Adolfo Gaich
Defensa Y Justicia Substitutes
16Ayrton Portillo14'for L. Souto
3Fernando Román64'for M. Rodriguez
27Domingo Blanco64'for S. Sosa
7Tomás Pérez64'for L. Fernandez
41Ramiro Gagliardi79'for A. Hausch
36Lautaro Amade
13Mateo López
28Valentín Loza
44Jonás Cabrera
25Facundo Altamira
23Mateo Aguiar
45Thiago Martínez
Match Stats
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia 41%Ball Possession59%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots20
9Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box13
5Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots6
14Fouls9
0Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves7
330Total Passes479
269Passes Accurate407
82%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia1663Elo Rating 1685
0.75Attack 1.71
1.52Defense 2.22
0%Hit Rate 63%
13.1Shots per Game 17.3
4.0Shots on Target 5.9
4.9Corners per Game 3.4
2.9Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Estudiantes L.P.- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Defensa Y Justicia- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Estudiantes L.P.3Wins · 38%Draws225%
Defensa Y Justicia3Wins · 37%
3Wins · 37%1.5Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8
Previous meetings
02/02/2026Defensa Y JusticiaEstudiantes L.P.00
23/09/2025Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia10
09/03/2025Defensa Y JusticiaEstudiantes L.P.10
28/09/2024Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia10
14/12/2023Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia10
14/05/2023Defensa Y JusticiaEstudiantes L.P.11
20/09/2022Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia12
16/10/2021Defensa Y JusticiaEstudiantes L.P.21
Recent Form
Estudiantes L.P.4W3D3L
26/07/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente02
L31/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central30
W27/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente Medellin10
W21/05/2026
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.10
L10/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.Racing Club01
L07/05/2026
CuscoEstudiantes L.P.
CuscoEstudiantes L.P.11
D03/05/2026
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.02
W30/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo11
D25/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.Talleres Cordoba00
D18/04/2026
Instituto CordobaEstudiantes L.P.
Instituto CordobaEstudiantes L.P.01
WDefensa Y Justicia4W1D5L
29/07/2026Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo RiestraDefensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
Defensa Y JusticiaDeportivo Riestra21
W24/07/2026Defensa Y JusticiaAldosivi11
D04/05/2026
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia21
L24/04/2026Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors04
L19/04/2026IndependienteDefensa Y Justicia
IndependienteDefensa Y Justicia31
L13/04/2026Defensa Y JusticiaTalleres Cordoba
Defensa Y JusticiaTalleres Cordoba12
L07/04/2026Instituto CordobaDefensa Y Justicia
Instituto CordobaDefensa Y Justicia20
L02/04/2026Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
Defensa Y JusticiaChaco For Ever21
W21/03/2026Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y JusticiaUnion Santa Fe20
W16/03/2026
San LorenzoDefensa Y Justicia
San LorenzoDefensa Y Justicia25
WReferee Profile
6.16Cards per match
5.89Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.16 cards a match, 0.90 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).
Cards come from 64 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | LWDWL |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | DLWDL |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | DLLWL |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DLWWL |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | LWDWL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | DWLLL |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DWDWW |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 | +11 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | +9 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25:15 | +10 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | +7 | 25 | DLWDL |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWDWW |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:16 | +1 | 21 | LWDWL |
| 8 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 | LWDWL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 19 | WDDWD |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 15 | DWWLW |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11:25 | -14 | 10 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 24:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 23:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 15 | 21:14 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 15 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente | 15 | 13:15 | 20 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 9:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 20:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 15 | 11:25 | 10 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman 31/07/26
- Independiente vs Newells Old Boys 31/07/26
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Banfield 01/08/26
- Gimnasia M. vs Union Santa Fe 01/08/26
- Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos JRS 01/08/26
- Racing Club vs Tigre 02/08/26
- Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. 02/08/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central 02/08/26
About the Estudiantes L.P. vs Defensa Y Justicia forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estudiantes L.P. and Defensa Y Justicia in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Estudiantes L.P. are 1st and Defensa Y Justicia 10th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Estudiantes L.P. 19-7, Defensa Y Justicia 18-21. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Defensa Y Justicia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.