Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.59
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
56 days
Independiente Rest
64 days
Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente: the result in context
Independiente beat Estudiantes L.P. 2-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game. Referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.46 cards a game, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.15
X32%2.96
225%3.90
Double Chance
1X75%1.24
X257%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.26
No47%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 0.98 = 2.19
Over 1.567%1.59
Over 2.539%2.82
Over 3.521%5.75
Under 1.533%2.33
Under 2.561%1.41
Under 3.579%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.560%1.77
Over 9.548%2.24
Over 10.537%2.90
Under 8.540%1.95
Under 9.552%1.57
Under 10.563%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.543%1.32
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.557%2.90
Match Events
40'T. PalaciosUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'L. GodoyFoul
63'M. Abaldo INM. Meza out
72'A. Castro INPerez Fabricio out
72'J. Burgos INB. Aguirre out
76'G. AvalosAssist: S. Montiel
81'G. Carrillo(Penalty missed)
82'S. Montiel
84'L. Godoy INS. Arias out
84'M. Gutierrez IND. Martinez out
85'R. Funes Mori INL. Alario out
85'T. Palacios INE. Cetre out
86'L. Piovi INJ. Sosa out
89'G. Avalos INK. Lomonaco out
Lineups
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente
4-2-3-1Coach: Gustavo QuinterosAvg ratingAvg rating
16F. Muslera
20E. Meza
4S. Núñez
26R. Funes Mori
24T. Palacios
32M. Amondarain
21E. Piovi
22A. Castro
17J. Tobio Burgos
10T. Palacios
C9G. Carrillo
33R. Rey
29L. Godoy
13J. Fedorco
36S. Valdez
22F. Zabala
16M. Perez Curci
C23I. Marcone
28M. Gutiérrez
7S. Montiel
19M. Abaldo
9G. ÁvalosEstudiantes L.P. Substitutes
1Fabricio Iacovich
13Gastón Benedetti
35Valente Pierani
40Eros Mancuso
29Fabricio Pérez72'for A. Castro
8Gabriel Neves
28Brian Aguirre72'for J. Burgos
7José Sosa86'for L. Piovi
11Facundo Farías
19Adolfo Gaich
27Lucas Alario85'for R. Funes Mori
18Edwuin Cetré85'for T. Palacios
Independiente Substitutes
1Joaquín Blázquez
26Kevin Lomónaco89'for G. Avalos
3Jonathan De Irastorza
35Juan Miguel Arrayago
4Santiago Arias84'for L. Godoy
14Lautaro Millán
32David Martínez84'for M. Gutierrez
20Facundo Cruz
10Luciano Cabral
8Maxi Meza63'for M. Abaldo
34Felipe Tempone
18Facundo Valdéz
Match Stats
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente 60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots3
15Fouls14
4Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
378Total Passes260
295Passes Accurate169
78%Pass Accuracy65%
Team Comparison
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente1663Elo Rating 1644
0.75Attack 0.68
1.52Defense 1.70
0%Hit Rate 14%
13.1Shots per Game 13.9
4.0Shots on Target 3.3
4.9Corners per Game 3.0
2.9Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Estudiantes L.P.- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Independiente- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Estudiantes L.P.2Wins · 25%Draws338%
Independiente3Wins · 37%
3Wins · 37%2.0Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
24/01/2026IndependienteEstudiantes L.P.11
12/08/2024Estudiantes L.P.Independiente02
09/09/2023IndependienteEstudiantes L.P.1131
09/04/2023IndependienteEstudiantes L.P.12
21/06/2022IndependienteEstudiantes L.P.21
13/02/2022Estudiantes L.P.Independiente21
26/07/2021Estudiantes L.P.Independiente01
15/05/2021Estudiantes L.P.Independiente1040
Recent Form
Estudiantes L.P.5W3D2L
31/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central30
W27/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Independiente Medellin
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente Medellin10
W21/05/2026
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.10
L10/05/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Racing Club
Estudiantes L.P.Racing Club01
L07/05/2026
CuscoEstudiantes L.P.
CuscoEstudiantes L.P.11
D03/05/2026
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.02
W30/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo11
D25/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Talleres Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.Talleres Cordoba00
D18/04/2026
Instituto CordobaEstudiantes L.P.
Instituto CordobaEstudiantes L.P.01
W15/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.Cusco
Estudiantes L.P.Cusco21
WIndependiente5W1D4L
23/05/2026
Union Santa FeIndependiente
Union Santa FeIndependiente02
W10/05/2026Rosario CentralIndependiente
Rosario CentralIndependiente31
L02/05/2026
San LorenzoIndependiente
San LorenzoIndependiente12
W24/04/2026
Deportivo RiestraIndependiente
Deportivo RiestraIndependiente20
L19/04/2026Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
IndependienteDefensa Y Justicia31
W12/04/2026
Boca JuniorsIndependiente
Boca JuniorsIndependiente11
D04/04/2026IndependienteRacing Club
IndependienteRacing Club10
W27/03/2026Independiente
Atenas
IndependienteAtenas42
W22/03/2026IndependienteTalleres Cordoba
IndependienteTalleres Cordoba12
L17/03/2026Instituto CordobaIndependiente
Instituto CordobaIndependiente21
LReferee Profile
4.46Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.46 cards a match, 0.81 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).
Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba 25/07/26
- River Plate vs Barracas Central 26/07/26
- Lanus vs San Lorenzo 26/07/26
- Atletico Tucuman vs Independ. Rivadavia 26/07/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Boca Juniors 27/07/26
- Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin 29/07/26
- San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia M. 29/07/26
- Argentinos JRS vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 29/07/26
About the Estudiantes L.P. vs Independiente forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estudiantes L.P. and Independiente in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Estudiantes L.P. are 1st and Independiente 5th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Estudiantes L.P. 19-7, Independiente 24-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.