Lanus vs San Lorenzo Prediction

Lanus
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires·Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina 26/07/2026
LanusLanus
1-0
Finished
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.31
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Lanus Rest
3 days
San Lorenzo Rest
60 days

Lanus vs San Lorenzo: the result in context

Lanus beat San Lorenzo 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 26 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lanus had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for San Lorenzo.

Lanus have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.02
X
43%2.90
2
19%4.50
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
62%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%2.55
No
51%1.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 0.98 = 2.26
Over 1.5
70%1.71
Over 2.5
36%3.25
Over 3.5
19%6.90
Under 1.5
30%2.15
Under 2.5
64%1.34
Under 3.5
81%1.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.7 = 8.9
Over 8.5
51%2.05
Over 9.5
39%2.70
Over 10.5
29%3.65
Under 8.5
49%1.70
Under 9.5
61%1.39
Under 10.5
71%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3.1 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.49
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.30

Match Events

19'E. HerreraFoul
39'R. CarreraFoul
45+5'F. LorenzonFoul
46'G. Alassia INI. Perruzzi out
46'M. Insaurralde INM. Cardillo out
57'F. Gulli INN. Barrios out
62'R. Carrera INE. Salvio out
63'L. Besozzi IND. Aquino out
65'Y. ValoisAssist: D. Aquino
70'M. Sepulveda INF. N. Watson out
71'Y. Valois INA. Wlk out
71'F. Pena BiaforeFoul
77'R. Auzmendi INM. Hernandez out
77'E. Herrera INA. Ladstatter out
82'F. Pena Biafore INA. Medina out
84'A. MedinaFoul
90+4'I. PerruzziFoul

Lineups

Lanus
4-2-3-1Coach: Mauricio Pellegrino
San Lorenzo
4-4-2Coach: Gustavo Alvarez
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.90
Nahuel Losada7.326N. Losada
Gonzalo Perez7.54G. Perez
Ronaldo De Jesus7.335R. De Jesus
José Canale7.213J. Canale
Sasha Marcich7.06S. Marcich
Felipe Peña Biafore7.55F. Peña Biafore
Agustín Cardozo7.330A. Cardozo
Matías Sepúlveda6.916M. Sepúlveda
Ramiro CarreraC7.023R. Carrera
Lucas Besozzi7.277L. Besozzi
Yoshan Valois7.619Y. Valois
Orlando Gill10.012O. Gill
Ezequiel Herrera6.332E. Herrera
Franco Lorenzon6.942F. Lorenzon
Alejo Cordoba6.935A. Cordoba
Mathias de Ritis7.36M. de Ritis
Nicolás TripichioC6.924N. Tripichio
Gonzalo Alassia6.662G. Alassia
Manuel Insaurralde6.98M. Insaurralde
Facundo Gulli6.710F. Gulli
Rodrigo Auzmendi6.329R. Auzmendi
Alexis Cuello6.39A. Cuello

Lanus Substitutes

11Eduardo Salvio62'for R. Carrera6.9
25Dylan Aquino63'for L. Besozzi8.3
8Franco Watson70'for M. Sepulveda6.9
20Allan Wlk71'for Y. Valois6.3
17Agustín Medina82'for F. Pena Biafore84'6.5
1Franco Petroli
33Tomás Guidara
24Carlos Izquierdoz
3Nicolás Morgantini
2Luciano Romero
39Thiago Laplace
38Benjamin Acosta

San Lorenzo Substitutes

5Ignacio Perruzzi46'for G. Alassia90+4'6.7
15Mauricio Cardillo46'for M. Insaurralde6.7
28Nahuel Barrios57'for F. Gulli6.5
14Agustin Ladstatter77'for E. Herrera6.9
44Matías Hernández77'for R. Auzmendi6.5
20Facundo Altamirano
16Guzmán Corujo
3Teo Rodríguez Pagano
17Gregorio Rodriguez
13Juan Rattalino
19Facundo Bruera

Match Stats

LanusSan Lorenzo
50%Ball Possession50%
8Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
22Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal7
16Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots0
15Fouls13
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves9
442Total Passes450
360Passes Accurate349
81%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

LanusLanus
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
1698Elo Rating 1611
1.17Attack 0.91
2.59Defense 1.67
56%Hit Rate 50%
10.5Shots per Game 12.0
3.6Shots on Target 4.1
4.7Corners per Game 4.6
2.4Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LanusLanus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

LanusLanus5Wins · 71%
Draws229%
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina23/01/2026
San LorenzoLanus
23
Liga Profesional Argentina05/10/2025
LanusSan Lorenzo
21
Liga Profesional Argentina28/03/2025
San LorenzoLanus
11
Liga Profesional Argentina21/05/2024
San LorenzoLanus
11
Liga Profesional Argentina05/02/2023
LanusSan Lorenzo
21
Liga Profesional Argentina24/09/2022
LanusSan Lorenzo
20
Liga Profesional Argentina20/10/2021
San LorenzoLanus
13

Recent Form

LanusLanus
3W2D5L
23/07/2026
LanusCienciano
20
W
30/05/2026
Instituto CordobaLanus
21
L
27/05/2026
LanusMirassol
10
W
21/05/2026
LDU de QuitoLanus
20
L
10/05/2026
Argentinos JRSLanus
20
L
06/05/2026
Always ReadyLanus
40
L
02/05/2026
LanusDeportivo Riestra
00
D
29/04/2026
LanusLDU de Quito
10
W
25/04/2026
LanusCentral Cordoba de Santiago
00
D
21/04/2026
Gimnasia M.Lanus
10
L
San LorenzoSan Lorenzo
2W5D3L
27/05/2026
San LorenzoDeportivo Recoleta
01
L
21/05/2026
SantosSan Lorenzo
22
D
11/05/2026
River PlateSan Lorenzo
4131
L
06/05/2026
Deportivo CuencaSan Lorenzo
00
D
02/05/2026
San LorenzoIndependiente
12
L
29/04/2026
San LorenzoSantos
11
D
25/04/2026
PlatenseSan Lorenzo
01
W
21/04/2026
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
00
D
17/04/2026
San LorenzoDeportivo Cuenca
20
W
12/04/2026
Newells Old BoysSan Lorenzo
00
D

Referee Profile

Leandro Rey Hilfer211 matches

5.08Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Leandro Rey Hilfer5.08
Other referees5.15

5.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WWLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WDWWD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DWLLW
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WWLWD
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WDWLL
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324LWDLW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DDWDL
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LLWLD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021LWWLW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLWW
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016WLLLW
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215WDWWL
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba14102221:10+1132LWWLW
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1476123:13+1027DWLLW
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1476122:14+827WDWWD
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1483320:13+727LLLWW
5LanusLanus1473417:10+724LWDLW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1456313:10+321WDWWL
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1454512:14-219WDWLL
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo145367:12-518DDWDL
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1452721:23-217LLWLD
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1442817:18-114WWLWW
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1426610:14-412LLLDL
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1424811:23-1210WLLLW
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1423913:22-99WWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1421:1032
2Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1423:1327
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1422:1427
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1420:1327
5LanusLanus1417:1024
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1413:1021
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1412:1419
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo147:1218
10Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1421:2317
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1417:1814
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1410:1412
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1411:2310
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1413:229

About the Lanus vs San Lorenzo forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lanus and San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

Lanus and San Lorenzo are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 6th and 7th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Lanus 18-15, San Lorenzo 14-14. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.