Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

Banfield
3-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Sarmiento Junin
Florencio Sola, Buenos Aires·Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina 29/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.70
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+13.2%
Banfield Rest
3 days
Sarmiento Junin Rest
4 days

Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin: the result in context

Banfield beat Sarmiento Junin 3-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 28 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.2 goals a game. Referee Carlos Andres Gariano averages 4.21 cards a game, 1.01 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.06
X
25%3.00
2
22%4.05
Double Chance
1X
78%1.22
X2
47%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.10
No
53%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.88 = 2.29
Over 1.5
70%1.50
Over 2.5
47%2.55
Over 3.5
25%4.90
Under 1.5
30%2.56
Under 2.5
53%1.50
Under 3.5
75%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 3.9 = 8.6
Over 8.5
53%1.85
Over 9.5
38%2.41
Over 10.5
29%3.07
Under 8.5
47%1.86
Under 9.5
62%1.52
Under 10.5
71%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 3.4 = 5.4
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
61%1.37
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
39%2.65

Match Events

46'G. Diaz INJ. Renteria out
46'L. Gomez INB. Sepulveda out
53'T. PerrottaAssist: D. Zalazar
55'E. Gimenez INJ. Herrera out
55'P. Magnin INM. Martinez out
59'T. PerrottaAssist: T. Adoryan
61'T. Santamaria ING. Gonzalez out
71'D. Zalazar INN. Pais out
74'S. Salle ING. Arturia out
78'J. InsaurraldeFoul
82'B. Sepulveda(Penalty)
83'L. Villegas INS. Esquivel out
83'T. Adoryan INF. Alvarez out
84'J. Herrera
85'T. Perrotta INJ. Acosta out
86'J. Marabel

Lineups

Banfield
3-5-1-1Coach: Pedro Troglio
Sarmiento Junin
4-4-2Coach: Facundo Sava
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.57
Facundo SanguinettiC6.31F. Sanguinetti
Brandon Oviedo6.713B. Oviedo
Danilo Arboleda6.92D. Arboleda
Nicolás Meriano6.96N. Meriano
Santiago López Garcia6.924S. López Garcia
David Zalazar7.240D. Zalazar
Lautaro Villegas7.221L. Villegas
Lautaro Gomez6.910L. Gomez
Ignacio Abraham6.927I. Abraham
Tomas Adoryan8.320T. Adoryan
Tiziano Perrotta9.917T. Perrotta
Iván Arboleda6.21I. Arboleda
Thiago Santamaría6.529T. Santamaría
Renzo Orihuela6.244R. Orihuela
Juan Manuel InsaurraldeC6.22J. Manuel Insaurralde
Lucas Suárez6.33L. Suárez
Santiago Salle6.58S. Salle
Cristian Zabala6.615C. Zabala
Elián Giménez6.723E. Giménez
Gabriel Díaz6.333G. Díaz
Junior Marabel7.527J. Marabel
Pablo Magnin6.97P. Magnin

Banfield Substitutes

9Bruno Sepúlveda46'for L. Gomez82'7.0
35Ignacio Pais71'for D. Zalazar6.2
11Favio Álvarez83'for T. Adoryan6.5
5Santiago Esquivel83'for L. Villegas6.3
16Jeremias Acosta85'for T. Perrotta6.3
25Gino Santilli
4Juan Luis Alfaro
34Santiago Daniele
33Neyder Moreno
8Lautaro Ríos
18Federico Medina
30Federico Anselmo

Sarmiento Junin Substitutes

10Jhon Renteria46'for G. Diaz6.6
16Mauricio Martínez55'for P. Magnin6.5
24Jonathan Herrera55'for E. Gimenez84'7.6
11Gastón González61'for T. Santamaria6.2
6Gastón Arturia74'for S. Salle6.3
12Thyago Ayala
4Juan Manuel Cabrera
26Yair Arismendi
21Julián Mavilla
35Facundo Alaggia
5Manuel Garcia
9Diego Churin

Match Stats

BanfieldSarmiento Junin
39%Ball Possession61%
4Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
11Fouls10
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
257Total Passes420
186Passes Accurate330
72%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

BanfieldBanfield
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
1583Elo Rating 1624
1.11Attack 1.06
1.86Defense 1.45
19%Hit Rate 17%
13.5Shots per Game 10.8
2.6Shots on Target 2.7
4.3Corners per Game 3.5
2.5Cards per Game 3.2

Game State Tendencies

BanfieldBanfield
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

BanfieldBanfield0Wins · 0%
Draws583%
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1Wins · 17%
1.2Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina30/01/2026
Sarmiento JuninBanfield
10
Liga Profesional Argentina14/12/2024
BanfieldSarmiento Junin
11
Liga Profesional Argentina29/07/2023
Sarmiento JuninBanfield
00
Liga Profesional Argentina23/10/2022
BanfieldSarmiento Junin
00
Liga Profesional Argentina17/02/2022
Sarmiento JuninBanfield
22
Liga Profesional Argentina24/11/2021
Sarmiento JuninBanfield
00

Recent Form

BanfieldBanfield
4W2D4L
25/07/2026
HuracanBanfield
10
L
09/05/2026
BanfieldSan Martin Tucuman
5141
W
02/05/2026
Barracas CentralBanfield
12
W
27/04/2026
Atletico TucumanBanfield
11
D
20/04/2026
BanfieldIndepend. Rivadavia
00
D
14/04/2026
LanusBanfield
10
L
07/04/2026
Argentinos JRSBanfield
32
L
26/03/2026
BanfieldReal Pilar
30
W
21/03/2026
BanfieldTigre
10
W
15/03/2026
Rosario CentralBanfield
21
L
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
4W0D6L
24/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninArgentinos JRS
23
L
17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
02
L
03/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaSarmiento Junin
40
L
26/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninTigre
10
W
20/04/2026
Rosario CentralSarmiento Junin
21
L
13/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
12
L
09/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninTristan Suarez
10
W
02/04/2026
Barracas CentralSarmiento Junin
12
W
22/03/2026
Sarmiento JuninAldosivi
20
W
15/03/2026
River PlateSarmiento Junin
20
L

Referee Profile

Carlos Andres Gariano182 matches

4.21Cards per match
3.98Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
22.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Andres Gariano4.21
Other referees5.22

4.21 cards a match, 1.01 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWLLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1474321:18+325WWLLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto142399:19-109LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1421:1825
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto149:199

About the Banfield vs Sarmiento Junin forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Banfield and Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

Sarmiento Junin and Banfield are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 11th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Banfield 17-19, Sarmiento Junin 13-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Banfield have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.