Platense vs Union Santa Fe Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Platense Rest
57 days
Union Santa Fe Rest
63 days
Platense vs Union Santa Fe: the result in context
Platense and Union Santa Fe drew 2-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.0 goals a game. Referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez averages 6.16 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.50
X31%2.79
228%3.27
Double Chance
1X72%1.33
X259%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%2.23
No51%1.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 0.94 = 2.14
Over 1.565%1.60
Over 2.534%2.89
Over 3.517%5.80
Under 1.535%2.30
Under 2.566%1.40
Under 3.583%1.11
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.5 = 9
Over 8.551%1.85
Over 9.540%2.35
Over 10.529%3.17
Under 8.549%1.88
Under 9.560%1.52
Under 10.571%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%1.46
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%2.43
Match Events
24'T. FagioliOG
37'B. CuelloFoul
45+1'L. HerediaDiving
45+1'G. MaineroDelay of game
47'J. LuduenaFoul
59'B. Cuello INV. J. Cerrudo out
59'E. Giaccone INS. Vera out
63'M. MendiaFoul
64'I. Gomez INP. Ferreira out
64'L. Heredia INN. Lopez out
72'J. Luduena
79'V. J. Cerrudo INB. Pitton out
79'C. Tarragona(Penalty)
80'J. Gauto INB. Merlini out
80'M. Barrios ING. Lencina out
87'B. Merlini
90+2'P. Ferreira INF. Bussio out
90+6'L. Menossi INM. Peresutti out
Lineups
PlatenseUnion Santa Fe
4-4-2Coach: Leonardo MadelonAvg ratingAvg rating
30J. Cozzani
4A. Lagos
C13I. Vazquez
34M. Mendia
3T. Ariel Silva
5I. Gómez
24M. Barrios
7G. Mainero
43N. Retamar
33J. Gauto
23L. Heredia
21M. Mansilla
35L. Vargas
44T. Fagioli
26J. Pablo Ludueña
18L. Ayala
20J. Palacios
5L. Menossi
8E. Giaccone
22B. Cuello
31M. Aguirre
C25C. TarragonaPlatense Substitutes
26Pablo Ferreira64'for I. Gomez90+2'for F. Bussio
11Nico López64'for L. Heredia
18Bautista Merlini80'for J. Gauto87'
99Gonzalo Lencina80'for M. Barrios
17Felipe Bussio90+2'replaced by P. Ferreira
22Nicolás Sumavil
32Santiago Quiros
6Eugenio Raggio
25Juan Ignacio Saborido
27Santiago Dalmasso
19Héctor Bobadilla
28Manuel Tucker
Union Santa Fe Substitutes
38Valentín Cerrudo59'for B. Cuello79'for B. Pitton
29Santino Vera59'for E. Giaccone
12Bruno Pittón79'replaced by V. J. Cerrudo
34Mateo Peresutti90+6'for L. Menossi
40Lucas Meuli
32Nazareno Fazzi
36Mateo Aimar
33Ignacio Isla
46Santiago Grella
16Lucas Cacciabue
45Ricardo Solbes
Match Stats
PlatenseUnion Santa Fe 57%Ball Possession43%
6Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots2
12Fouls15
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves4
435Total Passes337
347Passes Accurate238
80%Pass Accuracy71%
Team Comparison
PlatenseUnion Santa Fe1608Elo Rating 1586
1.21Attack 0.58
1.98Defense 1.07
41%Hit Rate 0%
17.5Shots per Game 15.7
5.0Shots on Target 4.4
8.6Corners per Game 4.2
1.9Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Platense- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Union Santa Fe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Platense3Wins · 50%Draws233%
Union Santa Fe1Wins · 17%
1Wins · 17%1.0Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6
Previous meetings
23/01/2026Union Santa FePlatense00
02/12/2024PlatenseUnion Santa Fe10
15/07/2023Union Santa FePlatense00
14/09/2022PlatenseUnion Santa Fe10
04/03/2022Union Santa FePlatense10
08/10/2021Union Santa FePlatense12
Recent Form
Platense4W2D4L
28/05/2026
CorinthiansPlatense
CorinthiansPlatense02
W20/05/2026
Santa FePlatense
Santa FePlatense21
L13/05/2026Platense
San Martin S.J.
PlatenseSan Martin S.J.4030
W08/05/2026Platense
Penarol
PlatensePenarol11
D03/05/2026Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.02
L30/04/2026PlatenseSanta Fe
PlatenseSanta Fe21
W25/04/2026Platense
San Lorenzo
PlatenseSan Lorenzo01
L20/04/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoPlatense
Central Cordoba de SantiagoPlatense43
L17/04/2026PenarolPlatense
PenarolPlatense12
W12/04/2026Platense
Gimnasia M.
PlatenseGimnasia M.11
DUnion Santa Fe3W2D5L
23/05/2026Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa FeIndependiente02
L13/05/2026
Belgrano CordobaUnion Santa Fe
Belgrano CordobaUnion Santa Fe20
L10/05/2026
Independ. RivadaviaUnion Santa Fe
Independ. RivadaviaUnion Santa Fe12
W02/05/2026Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
Union Santa FeTalleres Cordoba11
D27/04/2026
Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe
Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe22
D18/04/2026Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa FeNewells Old Boys23
L11/04/2026Estudiantes L.P.Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.Union Santa Fe21
L03/04/2026Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa FeDeportivo Riestra20
W31/03/2026Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
Union Santa FeAgropecuario20
W21/03/2026
Defensa Y JusticiaUnion Santa Fe
Defensa Y JusticiaUnion Santa Fe20
LReferee Profile
6.16Cards per match
5.89Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.16 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).
Cards come from 63 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Aldosivi 24/07/26
- Gimnasia M. vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 24/07/26
- Racing Club vs Gimnasia L.P. 25/07/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba 25/07/26
- Huracan vs Banfield 25/07/26
- Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Tigre 25/07/26
- Newells Old Boys vs Talleres Cordoba 25/07/26
- River Plate vs Barracas Central 26/07/26
About the Platense vs Union Santa Fe forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Platense and Union Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Union Santa Fe are 8th and Platense 12th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Platense 10-15, Union Santa Fe 24-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.