River Plate vs Barracas Central Prediction

Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires·Nazareno Arasa, Argentina 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
River Plate Rest
7 days
Barracas Central Rest
52 days

River Plate vs Barracas Central: the result in context

Barracas Central beat River Plate 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

River Plate have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.36
X
24%4.20
2
13%9.50
Double Chance
1X
87%1.05
X2
37%2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.62
No
47%1.41
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 0.85 = 2.46
Over 1.5
73%1.40
Over 2.5
56%2.23
Over 3.5
32%4.15
Under 1.5
27%2.88
Under 2.5
44%1.61
Under 3.5
68%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.3 = 9
Over 8.5
52%1.91
Over 9.5
40%2.54
Over 10.5
29%3.40
Under 8.5
48%1.85
Under 9.5
60%1.46
Under 10.5
71%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
54%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
46%-

Match Events

22'G. Morales
41'Goal Disallowed - video reviewL. Martinez Quarta
44'K. JappertFoul
45+3'E. CenturionUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'Fausto Vera INJ. Freitas out
46'L. Pereyra INL. Beltran out
52'N. BriascoFoul
58'G. Morales ING. Maroni out
58'N. Briasco INJ. Candia out
67'F. Colidio INA. Correa out
67'T. Porra INF. Tobio out
67'Y. Rak INI. A. Guaraz out
68'T. Galvan INM. Arambarri out
72'M. ArambarriFoul
78'J. CandiaFoul
81'D. MilocUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'I. A. GuarazFoul
90'I. Tapia INE. Pereyra out

Lineups

River Plate
4-2-3-1Coach: Eduardo Coudet
Barracas Central
5-3-2Coach: Damian Ayude
Avg rating6.87
Avg rating6.66
Santiago Beltrán6.941S. Beltrán
Gonzalo Montiel6.929G. Montiel
Lucas Martínez Quarta7.028L. Martínez Quarta
Nicolás OtamendiC7.330N. Otamendi
Marcos Acuña7.221M. Acuña
Fausto Vera7.315F. Vera
Lucas Silva7.744L. Silva
Tomás Galván6.926T. Galván
Lautaro Pereyra6.325L. Pereyra
Facundo Colidio6.911F. Colidio
Rafael Borré6.219R. Borré
Marcelo Agustín Miño7.330M. Agustín Miño
Rafael Barrios6.513R. Barrios
Kevin Jappert6.614K. Jappert
Yonatthan Rak7.015Y. Rak
Nicolás Demartini6.931N. Demartini
Rodrigo Insúa6.76R. Insúa
Tomás Porra6.58T. Porra
Dardo Miloc6.25D. Miloc
Iván TapiaC6.710I. Tapia
Gonzalo Morales7.29G. Morales
Norberto Briasco5.911N. Briasco

River Plate Substitutes

35Joaquín Freitas46'for Fausto Vera6.3
18Lucas Beltrán46'for L. Pereyra7.0
8Mauro Arambarri68'for T. Galvan72'6.9
10Ángel Correa67'for F. Colidio6.3
33Ezequiel Centurión45+3'
13Lautaro Rivero
20Giovanni González
36Ulises Giménez
31Facundo González
24Juan Cruz Meza

Barracas Central Substitutes

33Gonzalo Maroni58'for G. Morales6.9
20Jhonatan Candia58'for N. Briasco78'6.7
32Fernando Tobio67'for T. Porra6.6
16Ivan Guaraz67'for Y. Rak88'6.2
17Elías Pereyra90'for I. Tapia6.7
1Juan Espínola
2Nicolas Capraro
37Gastón Campi
25Yeison Gordillo
28Rodrigo Bogarín
24Enzo Taborda
7Juan Ignacio Barbieri

Match Stats

River PlateBarracas Central
76%Ball Possession24%
3Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards5
15Total Shots4
4Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots0
8Fouls21
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
610Total Passes199
524Passes Accurate102
86%Pass Accuracy51%

Team Comparison

River PlateRiver Plate
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
1769Elo Rating 1633
1.46Attack 1.65
2.52Defense 2.03
66%Hit Rate 63%
18.2Shots per Game 15.4
6.3Shots on Target 6.3
7.3Corners per Game 7.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+136 Elo
📈BTTS Trend17% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

River PlateRiver Plate
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 75% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

River PlateRiver Plate5Wins · 83%
Draws00%
Barracas CentralBarracas Central1Wins · 17%
2.5Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina24/01/2026
Barracas CentralRiver Plate
01
Liga Profesional Argentina13/05/2025
River PlateBarracas Central
30
Liga Profesional Argentina10/11/2024
River PlateBarracas Central
30
Liga Profesional Argentina01/07/2023
Barracas CentralRiver Plate
21
Liga Profesional Argentina05/09/2022
River PlateBarracas Central
20
Copa Argentina14/07/2022
Barracas CentralRiver Plate
03

Recent Form

River PlateRiver Plate
5W2D3L
18/07/2026
River PlateAldosivi
13
L
03/07/2026
FlamengoRiver Plate
22
D
28/05/2026
River PlateBlooming
30
W
24/05/2026
River PlateBelgrano Cordoba
23
L
21/05/2026
River PlateRB Bragantino
11
D
17/05/2026
River PlateRosario Central
10
W
14/05/2026
River PlateGimnasia L.P.
20
W
11/05/2026
River PlateSan Lorenzo
4131
W
08/05/2026
Carabobo FCRiver Plate
12
W
03/05/2026
River PlateAtletico Tucuman
01
L
Barracas CentralBarracas Central
2W4D4L
03/06/2026
Barracas CentralHuracan
10
W
28/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaBarracas Central
30
L
20/05/2026
A. ItalianoBarracas Central
20
L
07/05/2026
Barracas CentralOlimpia
12
L
02/05/2026
Barracas CentralBanfield
12
L
29/04/2026
Barracas CentralA. Italiano
11
D
25/04/2026
Racing ClubBarracas Central
11
D
20/04/2026
Barracas CentralBelgrano Cordoba
00
D
16/04/2026
OlimpiaBarracas Central
00
D
12/04/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoBarracas Central
12
W

Referee Profile

Nazareno Arasa219 matches

5.26Cards per match
5.01Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nazareno Arasa5.26
Other referees5.20

5.26 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWWWW
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029LWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429WLWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WLWLW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426DWLLD
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWWLL
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422DWWDD
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221DLLWW
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021DWLDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DDLLD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLWWL
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLLWL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514LDLWL
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1484222:11+1128WLWLW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1484218:11+728WLWWW
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1584323:19+428WWWLL
4River PlateRiver Plate1472519:13+623LWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1464414:11+322DWLLD
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1464413:11+222DWLDW
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1463522:21+121LLWWL
8HuracanHuracan1454512:14-219DWWDD
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1454517:22-519DWWWW
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1445513:13017LDLWL
11BanfieldBanfield1435615:20-514DLLWL
12TigreTigre1434713:16-313DDLLD
13Racing ClubRacing Club1433814:21-712DLLWW
14AldosiviAldosivi1432915:22-711DLDLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto15231010:21-119LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1422:1128
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1418:1128
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1523:1928
4River PlateRiver Plate1419:1323
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1414:1122
6Barracas CentralBarracas Central1413:1122
7Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1422:2121
8HuracanHuracan1412:1419
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1417:2219
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1413:1317
11BanfieldBanfield1415:2014
12TigreTigre1413:1613
13Racing ClubRacing Club1414:2112
14AldosiviAldosivi1415:2211
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1510:219

About the River Plate vs Barracas Central forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

River Plate and Barracas Central in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, River Plate are 2nd and Barracas Central 9th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: River Plate 22-12, Barracas Central 15-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

River Plate have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.