Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
2.11
SignalNEUTRALModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Velez Sarsfield Rest
74 days
Instituto Cordoba Rest
55 days
Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba: the result in context
Velez Sarsfield beat Instituto Cordoba 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 24 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Instituto Cordoba had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Velez Sarsfield.
Their history points to a close game: 5 previous meetings produced 1.0 goals a game. Referee Andres Merlos averages 4.35 cards a game, 0.95 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%2.15
X26%3.00
224%3.80
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X250%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%2.16
No46%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 0.95 = 2.19
Over 1.566%1.55
Over 2.537%2.70
Over 3.519%5.30
Under 1.534%2.43
Under 2.563%1.45
Under 3.581%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.1 = 9.1
Over 8.553%1.72
Over 9.541%2.18
Over 10.529%2.87
Under 8.547%1.98
Under 9.559%1.59
Under 10.571%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.560%1.28
Over 4.539%1.67
Under 3.540%3.00
Under 4.561%2.10
Match Events
18'Matías GallardoFoul
45+1'Manuel LanziniAssist: Tobías Andrada
45+2'Fernando AlarcónFoul
59'Gustavo Abregú INIgnacio Méndez out
63'Matías Pellegrini INAlex Verón out
66'Alex Luna INJeremías Lázaro out
66'Matías Tissera INNicolás Guerra out
75'Claudio BaezaFoul
76'Jhon Córdoba INFacundo Suárez out
76'Matías Gallardo INMatías Fonseca out
78'Manuel Lanzini INDiego Valdés out
78'Claudio Baeza INLucas Robertone out
79'Thiago SilveroHandball
88'Tobías Andrada INLuca Feler out
89'Florián Monzón INDilan Godoy out
Lineups
Velez SarsfieldInstituto Cordoba
Coach: Diego FloresVelez Sarsfield Starting XI
1Tomás Marchiori
4Joaquín García
32Thiago Silvero79'
16Lisandro Magallán
3Elías GómezC
29Rodrigo Aliendro
5Claudio Baeza75'78'replaced by Lucas Robertone
50Tobías Andrada88'replaced by Luca Feler
22Manuel Lanzini45+1'78'replaced by Diego Valdés
11Matías Pellegrini63'replaced by Alex Verón
9Florián Monzón89'replaced by Dilan Godoy
Avg rating
Instituto Cordoba Starting XI
29Marcos Ledesma
30Jonathan Galván
26Leonel Mosevich
6Fernando AlarcónC45+2'
44Giuliano Cerato
55Gustavo Abregú59'replaced by Ignacio Méndez
15Matías Gallardo18'76'replaced by Matías Fonseca
3Diego Alejandro Sosa
20Jhon Córdoba76'replaced by Facundo Suárez
10Alex Luna66'replaced by Jeremías Lázaro
17Matías Tissera66'replaced by Nicolás Guerra
Avg rating
Velez Sarsfield Substitutes
17Alex Verón63'for Matías Pellegrini
8Lucas Robertone78'for Claudio Baeza
10Diego Valdés78'for Manuel Lanzini
48Luca Feler88'for Tobías Andrada
15Dilan Godoy89'for Florián Monzón
42Agustin Cortez
47Alexis Pereyra
19Leo Cristaldo
18Simon Escobar
37Juan Cruz Policella
39Thiago Aguirre
30Lautaro Piola
Instituto Cordoba Substitutes
13Ignacio Méndez59'for Gustavo Abregú
21Jeremías Lázaro66'for Alex Luna
7Nicolás Guerra66'for Matías Tissera
11Matías Fonseca76'for Matías Gallardo
9Facundo Suárez76'for Jhon Córdoba
35Emanuel Sittaro
2Hernán de la Fuente
32Agustín Bravo
22Agustín Massaccesi
23Juan Meli
8Jonas Acevedo
90Pedro Baster
Match Stats
Velez SarsfieldInstituto Cordoba 58%Ball Possession42%
1Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal10
4Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box4
0Blocked Shots6
7Fouls9
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
531Total Passes357
427Passes Accurate254
80%Pass Accuracy71%
Team Comparison
Velez SarsfieldInstituto Cordoba1720Elo Rating 1745
1.30Attack 2.29
1.68Defense 2.04
44%Hit Rate 77%
14.4Shots per Game 11.8
4.9Shots on Target 4.5
6.0Corners per Game 4.6
1.9Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Velez Sarsfield- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Instituto Cordoba- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Velez Sarsfield2Wins · 40%Draws120%
Instituto Cordoba2Wins · 40%
2Wins · 40%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 5
0%3+ goals0 of 5
Previous meetings
23/01/2026Instituto CordobaVelez Sarsfield01
27/07/2025Velez SarsfieldInstituto Cordoba00
03/02/2025Instituto CordobaVelez Sarsfield20
18/08/2024Velez SarsfieldInstituto Cordoba10
12/04/2023Instituto CordobaVelez Sarsfield10
Recent Form
Velez Sarsfield4W3D3L
11/05/2026Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia L.P.01
L05/05/2026Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys11
D01/05/2026Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia Y Tiro20
W27/04/2026Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe22
D21/04/2026
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield00
D14/04/2026Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Velez SarsfieldCentral Cordoba de Santiago10
W07/04/2026Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Armenio
Velez SarsfieldDeportivo Armenio41
W03/04/2026
Gimnasia M.Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.Velez Sarsfield32
L21/03/2026Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
Velez SarsfieldLanus01
L14/03/2026
PlatenseVelez Sarsfield
PlatenseVelez Sarsfield02
WInstituto Cordoba6W1D3L
30/05/2026Instituto CordobaLanus
Instituto CordobaLanus21
W05/05/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoInstituto Cordoba
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoInstituto Cordoba02
W26/04/2026Newells Old BoysInstituto Cordoba
Newells Old BoysInstituto Cordoba11
D18/04/2026Instituto Cordoba
Estudiantes L.P.
Instituto CordobaEstudiantes L.P.01
L11/04/2026
Deportivo RiestraInstituto Cordoba
Deportivo RiestraInstituto Cordoba01
W07/04/2026Instituto Cordoba
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto CordobaDefensa Y Justicia20
W02/04/2026Instituto Cordoba
Atlanta
Instituto CordobaAtlanta20
W23/03/2026
Boca JuniorsInstituto Cordoba
Boca JuniorsInstituto Cordoba20
L17/03/2026Instituto Cordoba
Independiente
Instituto CordobaIndependiente21
W12/03/2026
Talleres CordobaInstituto Cordoba
Talleres CordobaInstituto Cordoba20
LReferee Profile
4.35Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.35 cards a match, 0.95 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.30).
Cards come from 175 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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- Huracan vs Banfield 25/07/26
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About the Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Velez Sarsfield and Instituto Cordoba in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Velez Sarsfield are 3rd and Instituto Cordoba 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Velez Sarsfield 18-12, Instituto Cordoba 17-17. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.