Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos Prediction

Primera B MetropolitanaArgentina Argentina · Regular Season - 39
Excursionistas
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Villa San Carlos
Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 10/10/2026
ExcursionistasExcursionistas
4-0
Finished
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
54%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-10.1%
Excursionistas Rest
6 days
Villa San Carlos Rest
6 days

Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos: the result in context

Excursionistas beat Villa San Carlos 4-0 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 10 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Excursionistas had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Villa San Carlos.

Their history points to a close game: 5 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.55
X
26%3.60
2
20%5.00
Double Chance
1X
80%1.11
X2
47%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.00
No
56%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.79 = 2.16
Over 1.5
68%1.31
Over 2.5
43%2.02
Over 3.5
23%3.58
Under 1.5
32%2.97
Under 2.5
57%1.69
Under 3.5
77%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'N. Damiolini
19'A. Avalos
28'T. Akimenco
35'I. Esteves INL. Machin out
38'G. Areco
45+2'G. Tellas
46'F. Mussis INM. Plastino out
52'A. Espeche INA. Paulides out
59'G. Pedrosa
62'L. Machin INA. Acosta out
63'M. Fernandez INM. Lopez out
63'N. Damiolini INW. Gimenez out
73'M. Blanco INL. Chambi out
73'G. Tellas INM. Polvera out
73'R. Salinas INB. Alvarez out
73'F. Farias INF. Cairo out
75'D. Ledesma

Team Comparison

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
1626Elo Rating 1490
2.51Attack 0.99
2.61Defense 1.68
61%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+136 Elo

Game State Tendencies

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

ExcursionistasExcursionistas2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos1Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana31/05/2026
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
02
Primera B Metropolitana23/08/2025
ExcursionistasVilla San Carlos
00
Primera B Metropolitana05/04/2025
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
21
Primera B Metropolitana14/07/2024
Villa San CarlosExcursionistas
22
Primera B Metropolitana24/02/2024
ExcursionistasVilla San Carlos
10

Recent Form

ExcursionistasExcursionistas
7W0D3L
03/10/2026
LiniersExcursionistas
10
L26/09/2026
ExcursionistasReal Pilar
30
W19/09/2026
UAI UrquizaExcursionistas
12
W
13/09/2026
ExcursionistasVilla Dalmine
30
W
08/09/2026
ExcursionistasItuzaingó
21
W
29/08/2026
Arsenal SarandiExcursionistas
30
L
26/08/2026
ExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
20
W
22/08/2026
Talleres RemediosExcursionistas
12
W
15/08/2026
ExcursionistasDeportivo Laferrere
53
W08/08/2026
Brown DE AdrogueExcursionistas
10
L
Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos
6W3D1L
03/10/2026
Villa San CarlosArsenal Sarandi
10
W26/09/2026
Argentino de MerloVilla San Carlos
01
W20/09/2026
Villa San CarlosTalleres Remedios
00
D
12/09/2026
Deportivo LaferrereVilla San Carlos
11
D
06/09/2026
Villa San CarlosBrown DE Adrogue
00
D30/08/2026
Deportivo ArmenioVilla San Carlos
10
L
25/08/2026
Villa San CarlosFlandria
32
W
23/08/2026
Argentino QuilmesVilla San Carlos
02
W
16/08/2026
Villa San CarlosDefensores Unidos
10
W
08/08/2026
ComunicacionesVilla San Carlos
01
W

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas41249868:31+3781WDWLW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi412113755:27+2876WDWLW
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4220121048:33+1572WLDWW
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4120111046:26+2071WLDLW
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4218141040:28+1268LWLDL
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4118131048:34+1467LWDLL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4218121245:41+466DWDLW
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4117111342:39+362LDDWW
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4115131350:52-258WWDWL
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4114151239:35+457LDDDD
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4212151541:46-551DLWLW
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4112151441:46-551LDLWL
13FlandriaFlandria411391939:49-1048WWWDL
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4111151539:54-1548LWDDL
15Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4112111837:44-747WLLLL
16Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4110171433:40-747WLDDD
17Dock SudDock Sud4111141641:49-847LLLLW
18Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4110151634:40-645WDLDW
19LiniersLiniers4110151634:43-945LDDWL
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue419161625:38-1343LDWDW
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza417211325:36-1142WDWWD
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó411142628:67-3917LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4168:3181
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4155:2776
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4248:3372
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4146:2671
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4240:2868
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4148:3467
7Real PilarReal Pilar4245:4166
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4142:3962
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4150:5258
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4139:3557
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4241:4651
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4141:4651
13FlandriaFlandria4139:4948
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4139:5448
15Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4137:4447
16Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4133:4047
17Dock SudDock Sud4141:4947
18Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4134:4045
19LiniersLiniers4134:4345
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4125:3843
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4125:3642
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4128:6717
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About the Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Excursionistas and Villa San Carlos in the Primera B Metropolitana table

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Excursionistas are 1st and Villa San Carlos 11th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Excursionistas 68-31, Villa San Carlos 41-46. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Excursionistas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.