Liniers vs Excursionistas Prediction

Liniers
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Excursionistas
Juan Antonio Arias Stadium, Buenos Aires 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.20
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-9.5%
Liniers Rest
7 days
Excursionistas Rest
7 days

Liniers vs Excursionistas: the result in context

Liniers beat Excursionistas 1-0 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 3 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Excursionistas had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Liniers.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.88
X
31%2.99
2
45%1.91
Double Chance
1X
55%1.71
X2
76%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.10
No
58%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.85 + 1.27 = 2.12
Over 1.5
63%1.47
Over 2.5
38%2.40
Over 3.5
19%4.53
Under 1.5
37%2.50
Under 2.5
62%1.50
Under 3.5
81%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'
44'
67'
76'
82'

Team Comparison

LiniersLiniers
ExcursionistasExcursionistas
1453Elo Rating 1626
0.86Attack 2.51
1.76Defense 2.61
17%Hit Rate 61%

Game State Tendencies

LiniersLiniers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
ExcursionistasExcursionistas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

LiniersLiniers2Wins · 22%
Draws222%
ExcursionistasExcursionistas5Wins · 56%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana23/05/2026
ExcursionistasLiniers
41
Primera B Metropolitana12/10/2025
LiniersExcursionistas
10
Primera B Metropolitana12/06/2025
ExcursionistasLiniers
10
Primera B Metropolitana29/06/2024
ExcursionistasLiniers
00
Primera B Metropolitana13/02/2024
LiniersExcursionistas
01
Primera C06/06/2023
ExcursionistasLiniers
30
Primera C28/01/2023
LiniersExcursionistas
21
Primera C16/07/2022
LiniersExcursionistas
02
Primera C12/03/2022
ExcursionistasLiniers
11

Recent Form

LiniersLiniers
3W3D4L
26/09/2026
Arsenal SarandiLiniers
20
L
20/09/2026
LiniersArgentino de Merlo
12
L
12/09/2026
Talleres RemediosLiniers
02
W
06/09/2026
LiniersDeportivo Laferrere
22
D
29/08/2026
Brown DE AdrogueLiniers
11
D
26/08/2026
LiniersDeportivo Armenio
31
W
22/08/2026
FlandriaLiniers
10
L
16/08/2026
LiniersArgentino Quilmes
01
L
08/08/2026
Defensores UnidosLiniers
23
W
01/08/2026
LiniersComunicaciones
00
D
ExcursionistasExcursionistas
8W0D2L
26/09/2026
ExcursionistasReal Pilar
30
W
19/09/2026
UAI UrquizaExcursionistas
12
W
13/09/2026
ExcursionistasVilla Dalmine
30
W
08/09/2026
ExcursionistasItuzaingó
21
W
29/08/2026
Arsenal SarandiExcursionistas
30
L
26/08/2026
ExcursionistasArgentino de Merlo
20
W
22/08/2026
Talleres RemediosExcursionistas
12
W
15/08/2026
ExcursionistasDeportivo Laferrere
53
W
08/08/2026
Brown DE AdrogueExcursionistas
10
L
01/08/2026
ExcursionistasDeportivo Armenio
21
W

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas41249868:31+3781WDWLW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi412113755:27+2876WDWLW
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4220121048:33+1572WLDWW
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4120111046:26+2071WLDLW
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4218141040:28+1268LWLDL
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4118131048:34+1467LWDLL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4218121245:41+466DWDLW
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4117111342:39+362LDDWW
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4115131350:52-258WWDWL
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4114151239:35+457LDDDD
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4212151541:46-551DLWLW
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4112151441:46-551LDLWL
13FlandriaFlandria411391939:49-1048WWWDL
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4111151539:54-1548LWDDL
15Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4112111837:44-747WLLLL
16Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4110171433:40-747WLDDD
17Dock SudDock Sud4111141641:49-847LLLLW
18Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4110151634:40-645WDLDW
19LiniersLiniers4110151634:43-945LDDWL
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue419161625:38-1343LDWDW
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza417211325:36-1142WDWWD
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó411142628:67-3917LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4168:3181
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4155:2776
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4248:3372
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4146:2671
5Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4240:2868
6Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4148:3467
7Real PilarReal Pilar4245:4166
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4142:3962
9Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4150:5258
10ComunicacionesComunicaciones4139:3557
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4241:4651
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4141:4651
13FlandriaFlandria4139:4948
14Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4139:5448
15Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4137:4447
16Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4133:4047
17Dock SudDock Sud4141:4947
18Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4134:4045
19LiniersLiniers4134:4345
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4125:3843
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4125:3642
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4128:6717
PromotionRelegation

About the Liniers vs Excursionistas forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Liniers and Excursionistas in the Primera B Metropolitana table

The table shows a wide gap: Excursionistas are 1st in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Liniers sit 19th, 36 points behind. League goal record so far: Liniers 34-43, Excursionistas 68-31. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Excursionistas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.