San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo Prediction

Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-7.4%
San Martín Burzaco Rest
7 days
Argentino de Merlo Rest
7 days

San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo: the result in context

San Martín Burzaco beat Argentino de Merlo 2-1 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.17
X
32%2.84
2
26%3.36
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
59%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.11
No
58%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 0.85 = 2.00
Over 1.5
60%1.48
Over 2.5
35%2.53
Over 3.5
17%4.75
Under 1.5
40%2.36
Under 2.5
65%1.45
Under 3.5
83%1.12
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

42'B. Chavez
60'C. Medina IND. E. Aguirre out
60'T. Jerez INE. Cohen out
62'F. Sellecchia
68'K. Denis
69'G. Scisci
70'E. Zagert INL. Geneiro out
77'L. Lezcano INR. Peralta out
78'F. Sellecchia INT. Candelaresi out
78'G. Scisci INJ. Ortiz out
85'R. Velazquez INC. Cuenca out
86'B. Chavez INE. Treppo out
90+1'D. E. Aguirre
90+4'

Team Comparison

San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco
Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo
1453Elo Rating 1427
1.04Attack 1.09
1.33Defense 1.45
17%Hit Rate 27%

Game State Tendencies

San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco2Wins · 22%
Draws222%
Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo5Wins · 56%
2.0Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana23/05/2026
Argentino de MerloSan Martín Burzaco
01
Primera B Metropolitana30/08/2025
San Martín BurzacoArgentino de Merlo
30
Primera B Metropolitana13/04/2025
Argentino de MerloSan Martín Burzaco
20
Primera B Metropolitana22/06/2024
Argentino de MerloSan Martín Burzaco
31
Primera B Metropolitana03/02/2024
San Martín BurzacoArgentino de Merlo
00
Primera C17/07/2022
San Martín BurzacoArgentino de Merlo
01
Primera C13/03/2022
Argentino de MerloSan Martín Burzaco
11
Primera C26/09/2021
San Martín BurzacoArgentino de Merlo
02
Primera C08/05/2021
Argentino de MerloSan Martín Burzaco
21

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas42249969:33+3681LWDWL
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi422114756:28+2877DWDWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4220121048:33+1572WLDWW
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4220111146:27+1971LWLDL
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4219131050:35+1570WLWDL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4218141040:28+1268LWLDL
7Real PilarReal Pilar4218121245:41+466DWDLW
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4217121343:40+363DLDDW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4215151240:35+560WLDDD
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4215141351:53-259DWWDW
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4212151541:46-551DLWLW
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4212151543:49-651LLDLW
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4213111839:45-650WWLLL
14FlandriaFlandria4213101940:50-1049DWWWD
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4211161540:55-1549DLWDD
16LiniersLiniers4211151636:43-748WLDDW
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4210171533:41-847LWLDD
18Dock SudDock Sud4211141742:51-947LLLLL
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4210161635:41-646DWDLD
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4210161626:38-1246WLDWD
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza428211328:38-1045WWDWW
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó421142728:69-4117LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4269:3381
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4256:2877
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4248:3372
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4246:2771
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4250:3570
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4240:2868
7Real PilarReal Pilar4245:4166
8Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4243:4063
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4240:3560
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4251:5359
11Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4241:4651
12San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4243:4951
13Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4239:4550
14FlandriaFlandria4240:5049
15Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4240:5549
16LiniersLiniers4236:4348
17Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4233:4147
18Dock SudDock Sud4242:5147
19Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4235:4146
20Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4226:3846
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4228:3845
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4228:6917
PromotionRelegation

About the San Martín Burzaco vs Argentino de Merlo forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Martín Burzaco and Argentino de Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana table

San Martín Burzaco and Argentino de Merlo are close in the Primera B Metropolitana table, 12th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: San Martín Burzaco 43-49, Argentino de Merlo 39-45. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Martín Burzaco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.