Faroe Islands vs Slovakia Prediction

Faroe Islands
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Slovakia
Torsvollur, Torshavn·Mohammed Al-Hakim 02/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-7.9%
Faroe Islands Rest
3 days
Slovakia Rest
3 days

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia: result, form and history

Faroe Islands and Slovakia drew 1-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 2 Oct 2026. Slovakia had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Faroe Islands.

Referee Mohammed Al-Hakim averages 3.22 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
18%6.65
X
24%3.90
2
58%1.53
Double Chance
1X
42%2.42
X2
82%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.15
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.72 = 3.01
Over 1.5
72%1.36
Over 2.5
49%2.11
Over 3.5
30%3.75
Under 1.5
28%3.06
Under 2.5
51%1.70
Under 3.5
70%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.5 = 8.8
Over 8.5
55%1.65
Over 9.5
44%2.09
Over 10.5
32%2.67
Under 8.5
45%2.13
Under 9.5
56%1.67
Under 10.5
68%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.6 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%1.87
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
55%1.87
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

38'Gunnar VatnhamarOG
41'Jóannes DanielsenFoul
45'Leo Sauer INLukáš Haraslín out
55'Petur Knudsen INAdrian Justinussen out
55'Poul Kallsberg INÁki Samuelsen out
63'David Duris INIvan Schranz out
63'Tomas Rigo INOndrej Duda out
65'Géza Dávid TuriFoul
66'Adrian Justinussen
69'Andrias EdmundssonFoul
70'Róbert Boženík INDavid Strelec out
82'Martin Valjent INDávid Hancko out
84'Jóannes Bjartalíð INJorgen Nielsen out

Lineups

Faroe Islands
5-4-1Coach: E. Klakstein
Slovakia
4-3-3Coach: V. Weiss
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.73
M. Lamhauge6.41M. Lamhauge
J. Danielsen6.12J. Danielsen
O. Færø7.115O. Færø
G. Vatnhamar5.916G. Vatnhamar
A. Edmundsson6.65A. Edmundsson
M. Agnarsson6.613M. Agnarsson
P. Kallsberg6.014P. Kallsberg
G. Turi6.421G. Turi
J. Bjartalíð6.37J. Bjartalíð
H. Sørensen6.720H. Sørensen
P. Knudsen6.811P. Knudsen
D. Greif8.023D. Greif
M. Valjent6.94M. Valjent
D. Vavro7.03D. Vavro
M. Škriniar7.014M. Škriniar
I. Mesík6.62I. Mesík
T. Suslov7.210T. Suslov
S. Lobotka6.622S. Lobotka
T. Rigo6.919T. Rigo
D. Ďuriš6.420D. Ďuriš
R. Boženík6.49R. Boženík
L. Sauer6.87L. Sauer

Faroe Islands Substitutes

19J. Benjaminsen
4S. Chukwudi
3V. í Davidsen
22M. Hellisdal
17A. Justinussen55'for Petur Knudsen66'8.0
9J. Nielsen84'for Jóannes Bjartalíð6.5
12A. Petersen
23B. Reynatrod
10Á. Samuelsen55'for Poul Kallsberg6.9
8H. Vatnsdal
6E. Joensen
18A. Benjaminsen

Slovakia Substitutes

12D. Takáč
15D. Strelec70'for Róbert Boženík6.8
18I. Schranz63'for David Duris6.6
5Ľ. Šatka
21E. Prekop
6P. Pokorný
13A. Kaprálik
17L. Haraslín45'for Leo Sauer6.0
16D. Hancko82'for Martin Valjent6.2
8O. Duda63'for Tomas Rigo6.4
11T. Bobček
1M. Dúbravka

Match Stats

Faroe IslandsSlovakia
34%Ball Possession66%
2Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards0
15Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots4
12Fouls7
2Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
299Total Passes573
235Passes Accurate512
7Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
SlovakiaSlovakia
1485Elo Rating 1585
1.27Attack 2.45
1.87Defense 2.01
14%Hit Rate 63%
13.1Shots per Game 16.2
4.0Shots on Target 5.7
4.8Corners per Game 6.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals

Game State Tendencies

Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SlovakiaSlovakia
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands
5W2D3L
29/09/2026
MoldovaFaroe Islands
11
D
26/09/2026
Faroe IslandsKazakhstan
11
D
09/06/2026
LatviaFaroe Islands
01
W
06/06/2026
EstoniaFaroe Islands
10
L
14/11/2025
CroatiaFaroe Islands
31
L
12/10/2025
Faroe IslandsCzech Republic
21
W
09/10/2025
Faroe IslandsMontenegro
40
W
08/09/2025
GibraltarFaroe Islands
01
W
05/09/2025
Faroe IslandsCroatia
01
L
09/06/2025
Faroe IslandsGibraltar
21
W
SlovakiaSlovakia
6W1D3L
29/09/2026
SlovakiaKazakhstan
21
W
26/09/2026
SlovakiaMoldova
20
W
05/06/2026
SlovakiaMontenegro
22
D
01/06/2026
SlovakiaMalta
21
W
26/03/2026
SlovakiaKosovo
34
L
17/11/2025
GermanySlovakia
60
L
14/11/2025
SlovakiaNorthern Ireland
10
W
13/10/2025
SlovakiaLuxembourg
20
W
10/10/2025
Northern IrelandSlovakia
20
L
07/09/2025
LuxembourgSlovakia
01
W

Referee Profile

Mohammed Al-Hakim221 matches

3.22Cards per match
3.11Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mohammed Al-Hakim3.22
Other referees3.94

3.22 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 190 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SlovakiaSlovakia43109:2+710WDWW
2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands40405:504DDDD
3MoldovaMoldova41123:8-54LWDL
4KazakhstanKazakhstan40225:7-22DLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SlovakiaSlovakia49:210
2Faroe IslandsFaroe Islands45:54
3MoldovaMoldova43:84
4KazakhstanKazakhstan45:72
Promotion

About the Faroe Islands vs Slovakia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Faroe Islands and Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Slovakia are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Faroe Islands in 2nd. League goal record so far: Faroe Islands 5-5, Slovakia 9-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Slovakia have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Faroe Islands and Slovakia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.