Belgium vs Türkiye Prediction

Belgium
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Türkiye
Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege·Rohit Saggi 02/10/2026
BelgiumBelgium
3-0
Finished
TürkiyeTürkiye

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.55
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap0.0%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.96
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseHighGap+11.1%
Belgium Rest
4 days
Türkiye Rest
4 days

Belgium vs Türkiye: result, form and history

Belgium beat Türkiye 3-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 2 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Belgium had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Türkiye.

Referee Rohit Saggi averages 3.99 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.55
X
18%4.50
2
18%5.25
Double Chance
1X
82%1.17
X2
37%2.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.52
No
44%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.04 + 0.85 = 2.89
Over 1.5
82%1.12
Over 2.5
63%1.44
Over 3.5
43%2.17
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
37%2.62
Under 3.5
57%1.71
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.4 = 8.2
Over 8.5
54%1.67
Over 9.5
43%2.07
Over 10.5
31%2.75
Under 8.5
46%2.15
Under 9.5
57%1.69
Under 10.5
69%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.55
Over 4.5
36%1.98
Under 3.5
44%2.38
Under 4.5
64%1.76

Match Events

10'Kevin De BruyneAssist: Dodi Lukebakio
26'Dodi LukebakioFoul
30'Youri TielemansFoul
45'Baris Alper Yilmaz INYunus Akgün out
56'Abdulkerim BardakçıFoul
59'Kevin De BruyneAssist: Youri Tielemans
61'Hans Vanaken INRomeo Lavia out
61'Dodi Lukebakio INRomelu Lukaku out
66'Oğuz Aydın INIlhan Fakili out
67'Kerem Aktürkoğlu INDeniz Gül out
71'Merih DemiralFoul
73'Bartuğ Elmaz INSalih Özcan out
75'Mika Godts INLeandro Trossard out
76'Romelu LukakuAssist: Charles De Ketelaere
80'Kevin De BruyneTime wasting
82'Kevin De Bruyne INLoïs Openda out
82'Charles De Ketelaere INMalick Fofana out
85'Ismail Yüksek INDemir Ege Tıknaz out
90+2'Arda GülerArgument
90+2'Nathan NgoyArgument

Lineups

Belgium
4-3-3Coach: M. van Bommel
Türkiye
4-4-2Coach: V. Montella
Avg rating7.28
Avg rating6.42
S. Lammens9.61S. Lammens
T. Castagne6.721T. Castagne
N. Ngoy6.515N. Ngoy
B. Mechele7.44B. Mechele
M. De Cuyper7.35M. De Cuyper
K. De Bruyne9.57K. De Bruyne
Y. Tielemans7.78Y. Tielemans
H. Vanaken6.720H. Vanaken
D. Lukebakio7.414D. Lukebakio
C. De Ketelaere7.417C. De Ketelaere
M. Godts6.422M. Godts
U. Çakır6.61U. Çakır
Z. Çelik6.72Z. Çelik
M. Demiral5.93M. Demiral
A. Bardakcı5.914A. Bardakcı
F. Kadıoğlu6.620F. Kadıoğlu
O. Aydın6.318O. Aydın
B. Elmaz6.46B. Elmaz
İ. Yüksek6.916İ. Yüksek
K. Aktürkoğlu6.07K. Aktürkoğlu
A. Güler7.010A. Güler
B. Yılmaz6.521B. Yılmaz

Belgium Substitutes

16K. De Winter
2Z. Debast
19M. Fofana82'for Charles De Ketelaere6.6
6R. Lavia61'for Hans Vanaken6.5
9R. Lukaku61'for Dodi Lukebakio76'7.6
11L. Openda82'for Kevin De Bruyne6.9
13M. Penders
23N. Raskin
18J. Seys
3A. Theate
10L. Trossard75'for Mika Godts6.4
12M. Vandevoordt

Türkiye Substitutes

4E. Topçu
8E. Tıknaz85'for Ismail Yüksek5.8
23M. Şengezer
5S. Özcan73'for Bartuğ Elmaz6.2
17İ. Kahveci
15O. Kabak
9D. Gül67'for Kerem Aktürkoğlu6.1
11I. Fakili66'for Oğuz Aydın7.1
22M. Eskihellaç
13E. Elmalı
19Y. Akgün45'for Baris Alper Yilmaz6.7
12A. Bayındır

Match Stats

BelgiumTürkiye
54%Ball Possession46%
2Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots23
10Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal10
11Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box13
2Blocked Shots5
12Fouls12
0Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves7
521Total Passes443
462Passes Accurate377
11Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

BelgiumBelgium
TürkiyeTürkiye
1787Elo Rating 1630
1.43Attack 0.89
1.45Defense 0.28
39%Hit Rate 14%
11.4Shots per Game 15.2
4.8Shots on Target 4.7
2.9Corners per Game 5.9
3.0Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+157 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BelgiumBelgium
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TürkiyeTürkiye
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

TürkiyeTürkiye
5W1D4L
28/09/2026
TürkiyeItaly
14
L
25/09/2026
TürkiyeFrance
01
L
26/06/2026
TürkiyeUSA
32
W
20/06/2026
TürkiyeParaguay
01
L
14/06/2026
AustraliaTürkiye
20
L
07/06/2026
VenezuelaTürkiye
12
W
01/06/2026
TürkiyeFYR Macedonia
40
W
31/03/2026
KosovoTürkiye
01
W
26/03/2026
TürkiyeRomania
10
W
18/11/2025
SpainTürkiye
22
D

Referee Profile

Rohit Saggi167 matches

3.99Cards per match
3.77Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rohit Saggi3.99
Other referees3.49

3.99 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FranceFrance43107:2+510WDWW
2ItalyItaly42118:5+37WDWL
3BelgiumBelgium42026:5+16LWLW
4TürkiyeTürkiye40042:11-90LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FranceFrance47:210
2ItalyItaly48:57
3BelgiumBelgium46:56
4TürkiyeTürkiye42:110

About the Belgium vs Türkiye forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Belgium and Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Belgium are 3rd in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Türkiye in 4th. League goal record so far: Belgium 6-5, Türkiye 2-11. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Belgium have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Belgium and Türkiye have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.