FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Prediction
World · Play-offs
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.3 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.95
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseHighGap+12.0%
FC Lugano Rest
4 days
Maccabi Tel Aviv Rest
4 days
FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: result, form and history
FC Lugano beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee M. Milanovic averages 5.18 cards a game, 0.72 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
156%1.95
X23%3.50
221%3.56
Double Chance
1X79%1.26
X244%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%1.75
No54%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 0.83 = 2.68
Over 1.577%1.26
Over 2.552%1.92
Over 3.530%3.23
Under 1.523%3.50
Under 2.548%1.85
Under 3.570%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.4 = 9.4
Over 8.545%1.54
Over 9.530%1.92
Over 10.523%2.46
Under 8.555%2.25
Under 9.570%1.80
Under 10.577%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.539%1.47
Over 4.529%1.98
Under 3.561%2.35
Under 4.571%1.75
Match Events
31'K. BehrensAssist: Y. Cimignani
47'I. ShaharAssist: R. Revivo
54'A. Grgic(Penalty)
57'T. Asante INN. Ben Harush out
57'E. Sokler INS. Abu Farkhi out
71'D. Dos Santos INM. Marques out
71'K. Behrens IND. Moncada out
81'R. Steffen INE. Pihlstrom out
89'Y. Cimignani INA. Kendouci out
Lineups
FC LuganoMaccabi Tel Aviv
4-3-3Coach: Kenny MillerAvg ratingAvg rating
16D. von Ballmoos
6A. Papadopoulos
17L. Mai
3H. Delcroix
46M. Zanotti
25U. Bislimi
8A. Grgic
21Y. Cimignani
C11R. Steffen
27D. Dos Santos
91K. Behrens
22O. Melika
6T. Asante
5M. Camara
13R. Shlomo
3R. Revivo
C42D. Peretz
28I. Sissokho
36I. Shahar
77O. Davida
9E. Sokler
29H. VarelaFC Lugano Substitutes
28F. Gebhardt
39C. Ndiaye
4D. Kelvin
18J. Bichsel
26M. Marques71'for D. Dos Santos
23G. Ajdin
14A. Kendouci89'for Y. Cimignani
22B. D. Castro Espinosa
24E. Pihlstrom81'for R. Steffen
30D. Moncada71'for K. Behrens
Maccabi Tel Aviv Substitutes
51S. Saadia
90R. Mishpati
21N. Ben Harush57'for T. Asante
41I. Ben Hamo
25S. Rosen
18D. Glazer
30I. Noy
23O. N. Azo
60I. Ben Simon
33H. Layous
19E. Madmon
34S. Abu Farkhi57'for E. Sokler
Match Stats
FC LuganoMaccabi Tel Aviv 41%Ball Possession59%
0Corner Kicks4
11Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots4
17Fouls15
2Offsides0
403Total Passes562
341Passes Accurate491
85%Pass Accuracy87%
Team Comparison
FC LuganoMaccabi Tel Aviv1875Elo Rating 1723
3.79Attack 2.20
1.67Defense 1.59
100%Hit Rate 37%
16.2Shots per Game 21.5
6.3Shots on Target 6.5
3.7Corners per Game 7.8
3.0Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+152 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
FC Lugano- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
FC Lugano8W1D1L
16/08/2026
VedeggioFC Lugano
13/08/2026VedeggioFC Lugano110
W
NSI RunavikFC Lugano22
D09/08/2026FC Lugano
FC Zurich50
W06/08/2026FC LuganoNSI Runavik
02/08/2026FC LuganoNSI Runavik20
W
GrasshoppersFC Lugano14
W29/07/2026
DukagjiniFC Lugano15
W26/07/2026FC Lugano
FC Vaduz21
W23/07/2026FC LuganoDukagjini
FC LuganoDukagjini10
W17/07/2026FC LuganoFC Vaduz
FC LuganoFC Vaduz12
L10/07/2026
1. FC HeidenheimFC Lugano
1. FC HeidenheimFC Lugano01
WMaccabi Tel Aviv6W1D3L
16/08/2026
Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel Aviv
13/08/2026Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Tel Aviv01
W
CSKA SofiaMaccabi Tel Aviv13
W06/08/2026Maccabi Tel AvivCSKA Sofia03
L30/07/2026Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sheriff Tiraspol10
W23/07/2026Sheriff TiraspolMaccabi Tel Aviv
Sheriff TiraspolMaccabi Tel Aviv05
W16/07/2026
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv13
W03/07/2026
IMT Novi BeogradMaccabi Tel Aviv
IMT Novi BeogradMaccabi Tel Aviv10
L26/05/2026Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv12
W23/05/2026
Hapoel Petah TikvaMaccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Petah TikvaMaccabi Tel Aviv22
D19/05/2026Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv42
LReferee Profile
5.18Cards per match
4.95Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
28.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.18 cards a match, 0.72 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.46).
Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Larne
Brighton
KI Klaksvik
PAOK
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gornik Zabrze
Monaco
Hradec Králové
SC FreiburgMaccabi Tel Aviv
Atalanta
Heart Of Midlothian
Rangers
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
Pafos
Getafe
Tromso
HNK Hajduk SplitSheriff Tiraspol
FC ST. Gallen
Dynamo Kyiv
Qarabag
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Hammarby FF
Twente
FC Midtjylland
Tre Fiori
IFK Goteborg
Floriana
Drita
Atert Bissen
Gyori ETO FC
Neftchi Baku
Başakşehir
Vardar Skopje
Riga
Spartak Trnava
CSKA 1948
Železničar Pančevo
SC Braga
Hibernian
Austria Vienna
CFR 1907 Cluj
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
Flora Tallinn
The New Saints
Debreceni VSC
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
Raków Częstochowa
Valletta FC
Dunajska Streda
Vestri
Gais
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Sion
Rapid Vienna
Zimbru
FC Noah
ML Vitebsk
Sutjeska
Universitatea Cluj
BrannFC Vaduz
FCSB
Auda
NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
Aluminij
Vojvodina
Ajax
Polessya
FC Copenhagen
Paks
Panathinaikos
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
Borac Banja Luka
Petrocub
LNZ Cherkasy
GentFC LuganoDukagjini
Žilina
GKS Katowice
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
Bravo
Koper
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Shelbourne
FK Partizan
Valur Reykjavik
ZrinjskiLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeTromsoHNK Hajduk SplitSheriff TiraspolFC ST. GallenDynamo KyivQarabagInter Club d'EscaldesHammarby FFTwenteFC MidtjyllandTre FioriLincoln Red Imps FCLarneBrightonKI KlaksvikPAOKVikingur ReykjavikGornik ZabrzeMonacoHradec KrálovéSC FreiburgMaccabi Tel AvivAtalantaHeart Of MidlothianRangersShamrock RoversKuPSPafosGetafeLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- FC Lugano Predictions
- Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League top scorers
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the FC Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv forecast
As a knockout tie in the UEFA Europa Conference League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Lugano have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Lugano and Maccabi Tel Aviv have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.