FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiß Essen Prediction

Ludwigspark-Stadion, Saarbrücken·Patrick Schwengers, Germany 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.59
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseHighGap+5.4%
FC Saarbrücken Rest
14 days
Rot-Weiß Essen Rest
8 days

FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiß Essen: the result in context

FC Saarbrücken beat Rot-Weiß Essen 5-2 in the 3. Liga on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Patrick Schwengers averages 4.21 cards a game, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.61
X
28%3.52
2
35%2.30
Double Chance
1X
66%1.51
X2
63%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.44
No
43%2.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.33 = 2.86
Over 1.5
78%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.51
Over 3.5
36%2.23
Under 1.5
22%4.90
Under 2.5
41%2.38
Under 3.5
64%1.59
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'B. Huning
10'B. HuningAssist: L. Brumme
19'F. Bouebari
26'N. Bretschneider
30'S. Telalovic
33'M. CvjetinovicAssist: A. Staff
45'C. KuhlwetterAssist: F. Pick
46'F. Bouebari INM. Kostka out
58'A. Staff INK. Brunker out
64'J. Hofmann
66'K. Brunker
70'L. Brumme INA. Dardari out
70'M. Janssen INJ. Cuber Potocnik out
74'K. Brunker
77'M. Kostka
83'P. Fahrner INC. Rizzuto out
83'A. Nankishi INLee Seung-Joon out
83'M. Geschwill INN. Pesch out
83'D. Abiama INM. Obuz out
89'S. VoetAssist: F. Pick
90+4'T. Menzel
90+7'

Lineups

FC Saarbrücken
4-4-2Coach: Argirios Giannikis
Rot-Weiß Essen
4-2-3-1
Matteo Bignetti1M. Bignetti
Philip Fahrner2P. Fahrner
Mladen Cvjetinović21M. Cvjetinović
Siemen Voet4S. Voet
Niko Bretschneider28N. Bretschneider
Florian Pick20F. Pick
Patrick Sontheimer6P. Sontheimer
Daniel Gleiber5D. Gleiber
Abdenego Nankishi17A. Nankishi
Christian Kühlwetter10C. Kühlwetter
Alexander Staff29A. Staff
Jakob Golz1J. Golz
Jannik Hofmann37J. Hofmann
Max Geschwill6M. Geschwill
Ben Hüning15B. Hüning
Franci Bouebari19F. Bouebari
Janne Sietan22J. Sietan
Tony Menzel8T. Menzel
Dickson Abiama18D. Abiama
Semir Telalović17S. Telalović
Lucas Brumme14L. Brumme
Marek Janssen20M. Janssen

FC Saarbrücken Substitutes

33Kevin Broll
3Anton Bäuerle
7Calogero Rizzuto83'for P. Fahrner
15Abdoulaye Kamara
16Lee Seung-joon83'for A. Nankishi
19Sebastian Vasiliadis
8Gökdeniz Gürpüz
31Kelsey Owusu
9Kai Brünker58'for A. Staff66'74'

Rot-Weiß Essen Substitutes

35Felix Wienand
32Luca Bazzoli
2Michael Kostka46'for F. Bouebari77'
23José-Enrique Ríos Alonso
11Noah Pesch83'for M. Geschwill
16Ruben Reisig
10Marvin Obuz83'for D. Abiama
9Jaka Cuber Potocnik70'for M. Janssen
7Aiman Dardari70'for L. Brumme

Team Comparison

FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen
1601Elo Rating 1655
1.90Attack 1.25
1.04Defense 1.84
37%Hit Rate 39%
12.5Shots per Game 13.8
6.2Shots on Target 4.6
4.5Corners per Game 4.2
2.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken4Wins · 50%
Draws113%
Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen3Wins · 37%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

3. Liga26/04/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenFC Saarbrücken
12
3. Liga29/11/2025
FC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
23
3. Liga26/04/2025
Rot-Weiß EssenFC Saarbrücken
03
3. Liga01/12/2024
FC SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
10
3. Liga24/04/2024
FC SaarbrückenRot-weiss Essen
11
3. Liga22/10/2023
Rot-weiss EssenFC Saarbrücken
21
3. Liga18/03/2023
FC SaarbruckenRot-weiss Essen
30
3. Liga19/09/2022
Rot-weiss EssenFC Saarbrucken
10

Recent Form

FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
3W4D3L
26/07/2026
VfR AalenFC Saarbrücken
11
D
25/07/2026
FC AugsburgFC Saarbrücken
11
D
18/07/2026
SV SandhausenFC Saarbrücken
00
D
04/07/2026
QuierschiedFC Saarbrücken
02
W
16/05/2026
FC SaarbrückenHansa Rostock
34
L
10/05/2026
Hoffenheim IIFC Saarbrücken
32
L
02/05/2026
FC SaarbrückenWaldhof Mannheim
20
W
26/04/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenFC Saarbrücken
12
W
18/04/2026
FC SaarbrückenTSV 1860 München
00
D
11/04/2026
HavelseFC Saarbrücken
20
L
Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen
5W0D5L
01/08/2026
Bayer LeverkusenRot-Weiß Essen
30
L
25/07/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenBorussia Mönchengladbach
12
L
17/07/2026
RiedRot-Weiß Essen
30
L
11/07/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenSW Essen
51
W
04/07/2026
BottropRot-Weiß Essen
011
W
26/05/2026
SpVgg Greuther FürthRot-Weiß Essen
20
L
22/05/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenSpVgg Greuther Fürth
10
W
16/05/2026
SSV Ulm 1846Rot-Weiß Essen
23
W
09/05/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenVerl
10
W
02/05/2026
Stuttgart IIRot-Weiß Essen
61
L

Referee Profile

Patrick Schwengers91 matches

4.21Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Patrick Schwengers4.21
Other referees4.72

4.21 cards a match, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.72).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1282231:15+1626WWDDW
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1282231:17+1426DLDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1273220:13+724WWLWD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1262428:21+720WLWLD
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1262419:18+120WWWLL
6SV WehenSV Wehen1253423:17+618WWDWW
7FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041253416:17-118DWWWL
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1251621:19+216LWLLW
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1251621:20+116LLWLL
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1244412:14-216DDLWD
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1244419:22-316LDLLW
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1243516:17-115DWDWD
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1243521:23-215DLWWD
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1243520:23-315LWLLD
15Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1242617:24-714WLWDL
16SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1234522:21+113WLDDW
17VerlVerl1233617:26-912LLLDD
18SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1233613:26-1312LLWDL
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln122469:14-510LLLLD
20HavelseHavelse1224617:26-910DWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1231:1526
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1231:1726
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1220:1324
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1228:2120
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1219:1820
6SV WehenSV Wehen1223:1718
7FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041216:1718
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1221:1916
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1221:2016
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1212:1416
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1219:2216
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1216:1715
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1221:2315
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1220:2315
15Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1217:2414
16SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1222:2113
17VerlVerl1217:2612
18SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1213:2612
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln129:1410
20HavelseHavelse1217:2610
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiß Essen forecast

The forecasts for this 3. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Saarbrücken and Rot-Weiß Essen in the 3. Liga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Rot-Weiß Essen are 3rd in the 3. Liga, 4 points ahead of FC Saarbrücken in 4th. League goal record so far: FC Saarbrücken 28-21, Rot-Weiß Essen 20-13. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rot-Weiß Essen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.