Verl vs MSV Duisburg Prediction

Verl
2-4
Finished
HT 1-0
MSV Duisburg
Sportclub Arena, Verl·Felix Wagner, Germany 15/08/2026
VerlVerl
2-4
Finished
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.47
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Verl Rest
5 days
MSV Duisburg Rest
7 days

Verl vs MSV Duisburg: the result in context

MSV Duisburg beat Verl 4-2 in the 3. Liga on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Referee Felix Wagner averages 5.81 cards a game, 1.05 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.88
X
27%3.44
2
33%2.15
Double Chance
1X
67%1.62
X2
60%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.50
No
44%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.27 = 2.70
Over 1.5
75%1.17
Over 2.5
52%1.61
Over 3.5
30%2.50
Under 1.5
25%4.37
Under 2.5
48%2.20
Under 3.5
70%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'T. HeikeAssist: A. Mesanovic
20'J. Symalla
28'Y. Otto
33'P. Lehmann
46'J. Bookjans INC. Noss out
46'B. Schlicke INA. Casar out
46'A. LeipoldAssist: F. Vogler
48'P. Lehmann
48'P. Lehmann
50'B. Yalcinkaya INR. Araoye out
58'J. Symalla INP. Sussek out
58'R. Safi INF. Kruger out
61'F. KrugerAssist: C. Coskun
62'F. KrugerAssist: P. Sussek
66'T. Heike INJ. Eze out
66'A. Mesanovic INM. Kaube out
69'L. Lobinger(Penalty)
72'P. SussekAssist: C. Coskun
75'A. Leipold INA. Farouk out
75'Y. Otto INF. Wessig out
76'C. Viet INM. Besuschkow out

Team Comparison

VerlVerl
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
1593Elo Rating 1709
1.50Attack 2.34
0.87Defense 1.37
14%Hit Rate 50%
10.4Shots per Game 11.0
4.2Shots on Target 5.1
6.5Corners per Game 3.9
1.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

VerlVerl
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VerlVerl3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg4Wins · 40%
4.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

3. Liga08/02/2026
MSV DuisburgVerl
42
3. Liga30/08/2025
VerlMSV Duisburg
23
3. Liga10/02/2024
VerlMSV Duisburg
13
3. Liga15/09/2023
MSV DuisburgVerl
23
3. Liga18/03/2023
MSV DuisburgVerl
33
3. Liga18/09/2022
VerlMSV Duisburg
10
3. Liga14/05/2022
VerlMSV Duisburg
11
3. Liga11/12/2021
MSV DuisburgVerl
22
3. Liga03/04/2021
VerlMSV Duisburg
12
3. Liga20/11/2020
MSV DuisburgVerl
04

Recent Form

VerlVerl
5W0D5L
09/08/2026
Alemannia AachenVerl
41
L
01/08/2026
RB LeipzigVerl
40
L
26/07/2026
VerlBremer SV
61
W
18/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgVerl
30
L
15/07/2026
Paderborn IIVerl
01
W
16/05/2026
VerlTSV 1860 München
30
W
09/05/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenVerl
10
L
02/05/2026
VerlHavelse
40
W
25/04/2026
VfL OsnabrückVerl
21
L
18/04/2026
VerlFC Viktoria Köln
20
W
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
4W5D1L
08/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
30
W
01/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
00
D
25/07/2026
Arminia BielefeldMSV Duisburg
11
D
22/07/2026
MSV DuisburgBeerschot VA
24
L
18/07/2026
Bonner SCMSV Duisburg
14
W
12/07/2026
FC OSSMSV Duisburg
01
D
08/07/2026
NEC NijmegenMSV Duisburg
23
W
16/05/2026
MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Köln
11
D
08/05/2026
Erzgebirge AueMSV Duisburg
00
D
03/05/2026
MSV DuisburgEnergie Cottbus
21
W

Referee Profile

Felix Wagner61 matches

5.81Cards per match
5.56Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Felix Wagner5.81
Other referees4.76

5.81 cards a match, 1.05 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1282231:15+1626WWDDW
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1282231:17+1426DLDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1273220:13+724WWLWD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1262428:21+720WLWLD
5SV WehenSV Wehen1253423:17+618WWDWW
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041253416:17-118DWWWL
7Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1152417:17017WWLLW
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1251621:19+216LWLLW
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1251621:20+116LLWLL
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1244412:14-216DDLWD
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1244419:22-316LDLLW
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1243516:17-115DWDWD
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1243521:23-215DLWWD
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1143419:21-215WLLDL
15Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1242617:24-714WLWDL
16SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1234522:21+113WLDDW
17VerlVerl1233617:26-912LLLDD
18SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1233613:26-1312LLWDL
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln122469:14-510LLLLD
20HavelseHavelse1224617:26-910DWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1231:1526
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1231:1726
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1220:1324
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1228:2120
5SV WehenSV Wehen1223:1718
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041216:1718
7Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1117:1717
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1221:1916
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1221:2016
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1212:1416
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1219:2216
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1216:1715
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1221:2315
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1119:2115
15Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1217:2414
16SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1222:2113
17VerlVerl1217:2612
18SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1213:2612
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln129:1410
20HavelseHavelse1217:2610
PromotionRelegation

About the Verl vs MSV Duisburg forecast

The forecasts for this 3. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Verl and MSV Duisburg in the 3. Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: MSV Duisburg are 2nd in the 3. Liga, while Verl sit 17th, 14 points behind. League goal record so far: Verl 17-26, MSV Duisburg 31-17. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

MSV Duisburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.