FF Jaro vs Ilves Prediction

FF Jaro
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Ilves
Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari 04/07/2026
FF JaroFF Jaro
2-1
Finished
IlvesIlves

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.55
SignalGOODModel37%SurpriseHighGap+9.8%
FF Jaro Rest
6 days
Ilves Rest
2 days

FF Jaro vs Ilves: the result in context

FF Jaro beat Ilves 2-1 in the Veikkausliiga on 4 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Ilves had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for FF Jaro.

Ilves have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game. FF Jaro tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 2.0 for Ilves.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.50
X
24%3.75
2
51%1.91
Double Chance
1X
49%1.82
X2
75%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.50
No
37%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.97 = 3.28
Over 1.5
84%1.16
Over 2.5
69%1.55
Over 3.5
48%2.37
Under 1.5
16%4.85
Under 2.5
31%2.35
Under 3.5
52%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'H. SjogrellAssist: F. O. Ness
38'R. VikstromAssist: H. Sjogrell
55'R. Riski INT. Hytonen out
60'V. Vuorinen INA. Bjonback out
67'J. Myrevik INA. Vidjeskog out
73'K. Wallius INY. Raap out
79'K. Harden INJ. Vikstrom out
79'Y. RaapFoul
79'A. Bjonback INF. Kass out
85'T. Miettunen INS. Vaisanen out
85'J. Kilo INS. Baranov out
87'Y. RaapAssist: S. Baranov
88'V. KumpuFoul
90'H. SjogrellDelay of game
90+5'A. VidjeskogFoul

Match Stats

FF JaroIlves
41%Ball Possession59%
2Corner Kicks2
12Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal4
3Blocked Shots3
2Fouls1
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves5
1Free Kicks2

Team Comparison

FF JaroFF Jaro
IlvesIlves
1472Elo Rating 1657
1.00Attack 2.13
2.19Defense 2.61
19%Hit Rate 77%
15.4Shots per Game 12.1
3.6Shots on Target 4.6
6.3Corners per Game 2.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.27 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FF JaroFF Jaro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
IlvesIlves
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FF JaroFF Jaro0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
IlvesIlves5Wins · 100%
3.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga17/06/2026
IlvesFF Jaro
50
League Cup31/01/2026
IlvesFF Jaro
42
Veikkausliiga20/07/2025
FF JaroIlves
01
Veikkausliiga12/04/2025
IlvesFF Jaro
21
League Cup22/02/2025
IlvesFF Jaro
40

Recent Form

FF JaroFF Jaro
1W1D8L
27/06/2026
Turku PSFF Jaro
32
L
23/06/2026
FF JaroGnistan
11
D
17/06/2026
IlvesFF Jaro
50
L
13/06/2026
FF JaroHJK Helsinki
25
L
31/05/2026
AC OuluFF Jaro
21
L
23/05/2026
FF JaroMariehamn
30
W
20/05/2026
KuPSFF Jaro
30
L
16/05/2026
GnistanFF Jaro
50
L
13/05/2026
VJSFF Jaro
53
L
09/05/2026
Inter TurkuFF Jaro
20
L
IlvesIlves
5W1D4L
01/07/2026
HJK HelsinkiIlves
21
L
27/06/2026
IlvesSJK
22
D
23/06/2026
KuPSIlves
43
L
17/06/2026
IlvesFF Jaro
50
W
13/06/2026
IlvesTurku PS
10
W
10/06/2026
IlvesLahti
52
W
30/05/2026
LahtiIlves
50
L
27/05/2026
IlvesTurku PS
10
W
23/05/2026
IlvesGnistan
20
W
20/05/2026
IlvesInter Turku
13
L

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543DWLLW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WLWDW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937DWWWD
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736LLLDD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034DWWLW
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the FF Jaro vs Ilves forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FF Jaro and Ilves in the Veikkausliiga table

Ilves and FF Jaro are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 9th and 11th, with 10 points between them. League goal record so far: FF Jaro 18-44, Ilves 34-37. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.