FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk Prediction

FK Neftekhimik
2-4
Finished
HT 0-2
Chelyabinsk
Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk 09/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
FK Neftekhimik Rest
20 days
Chelyabinsk Rest
13 days

FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk: the result in context

Chelyabinsk beat FK Neftekhimik 4-2 in the First League on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.78
X
33%2.90
2
31%2.70
Double Chance
1X
69%1.40
X2
64%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.05
No
52%1.68
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.01 = 2.26
Over 1.5
63%1.50
Over 2.5
38%2.54
Over 3.5
20%4.70
Under 1.5
37%2.51
Under 2.5
62%1.47
Under 3.5
80%1.12
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'Ramazan Gadzhimuradov
36'Matvey Urvantsev
48'Stanislav Puzanov
60'Nikita Vasiljev INLinar sharifullin out
61'Sultan Dzhamilov INPlaton Platonov out
61'Islam Mashukov INVasiliy Aleynikov out
64'Matvey Urvantsev
66'Linar sharifullin
69'Danila Sukhomlinov
72'Ilya Safronov
72'Ilya Safronov INBaba N'Diaye out
75'Denis Pokotylo INDmitriy Kamenshchikov out
80'Ivan Pyatkin INArtem Kotik out
84'Stanislav Puzanov
84'Sergey Makarov INDenis Samoilov out
90+6'

Lineups

FK Neftekhimik
5-3-2Coach: R. Evdokimov
Chelyabinsk
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Pylypchuk
A. Ismagilov98A. Ismagilov
S. Dzhamilov7S. Dzhamilov
A. Kakhidze24A. Kakhidze
I. Khomukha22I. Khomukha
N. Pechenkin6N. Pechenkin
S. Puzanov13S. Puzanov
N. Vasilyev96N. Vasilyev
I. Pyatkin85I. Pyatkin
D. Sukhomlinov8D. Sukhomlinov
E. Mukba12E. Mukba
I. Mashukov14I. Mashukov
I. Tuseev93I. Tuseev
A. Berdnikov21A. Berdnikov
K. Kochiev15K. Kochiev
V. Lystsov50V. Lystsov
D. Pokotylo33D. Pokotylo
G. Borisov55G. Borisov
S. Makarov6S. Makarov
R. Gadzhimuradov10R. Gadzhimuradov
I. Safronov7I. Safronov
G. Levin70G. Levin
M. Urvantsev29M. Urvantsev

FK Neftekhimik Substitutes

19L. Sharifullin60'for Nikita Vasiljev66'
11S. Abdullaev
38V. Aleynikov61'for Islam Mashukov
15A. Bondar
27A. Budylin
1A. Golubev
31T. Kasimov
9A. Kotik80'for Ivan Pyatkin
5M. Musalov
17K. Nikishin
28P. Platonov61'for Sultan Dzhamilov

Chelyabinsk Substitutes

5B. Gatin
27Mikhailovich Ilya Gribakin
74L. Kaçorri
99D. Kamenshchikov75'for Denis Pokotylo
18K. Kertanov
11G. Miroshnichenko
17B. N'Diaye72'for Ilya Safronov
31M. Pereverzev
24N. Pridava
77D. Samoylov84'for Sergey Makarov
72A. Bem

Match Stats

FK NeftekhimikChelyabinsk
62%Ball Possession38%
6Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots4
4Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
1374Elo Rating 1425
0.89Attack 1.30
1.19Defense 1.07
0%Hit Rate 17%
4.3Shots per Game 7.4
1.9Shots on Target 4.9
4.6Corners per Game 6.3
3.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

First League02/05/2026
ChelyabinskFK Neftekhimik
20
First League30/08/2025
FK NeftekhimikChelyabinsk
11

Recent Form

FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik
3W0D7L
18/09/2026
FK NeftekhimikUral
01
L
14/09/2026
Spartak KostromaFK Neftekhimik
10
L
09/09/2026
Chertanovo MoscowFK Neftekhimik
4131
L
05/09/2026
EniseyFK Neftekhimik
02
W
28/08/2026
FK NeftekhimikFC UFA
01
L
24/08/2026
Rotor VolgogradFK Neftekhimik
01
W
20/08/2026
FK NeftekhimikFC Sochi
12
L
14/08/2026
FK NeftekhimikShinnik Yaroslavl
02
L
08/08/2026
Nizhny NovgorodFK Neftekhimik
51
L
01/08/2026
FK NeftekhimikTekstilshchik
10
W
ChelyabinskChelyabinsk
3W3D4L
26/09/2026
ChelyabinskEnisey
11
D
18/09/2026
ChelyabinskFC UFA
21
W
14/09/2026
KAMAZChelyabinsk
11
D
10/09/2026
Dinamo BarnaulChelyabinsk
02
W
05/09/2026
ChelyabinskSpartak Kostroma
01
L
30/08/2026
FC SochiChelyabinsk
21
L
23/08/2026
LeningradetsChelyabinsk
11
D
15/08/2026
ChelyabinskTorpedo Moskva
04
L
09/08/2026
Rotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
41
L
02/08/2026
Volga UlyanovskChelyabinsk
02
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

About the FK Neftekhimik vs Chelyabinsk forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Neftekhimik and Chelyabinsk in the First League table

In the First League table, Chelyabinsk are 12th and FK Neftekhimik 17th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Neftekhimik 11-24, Chelyabinsk 21-26. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Neftekhimik and Chelyabinsk have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.