FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes Prediction

Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay·A. Tasybaev 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
FK Tobol Kostanay Rest
8 days
Okzhetpes Rest
10 days

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes: the result in context

FK Tobol Kostanay beat Okzhetpes 3-1 in the Premier League on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FK Tobol Kostanay have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.96
X
27%3.55
2
25%3.25
Double Chance
1X
75%1.28
X2
52%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.53
No
56%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.64
Over 3.5
19%2.56
Under 1.5
37%4.00
Under 2.5
61%2.14
Under 3.5
81%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

35'A. Tagybergen(Penalty)
42'A. Talal INL. Guerra out
51'Z. Mukhametkhanov
59'A. Cisse INM. Myakish out
61'R. SenhadjiAssist: L. Guerra
62'N. Buribaev INE. Nurgaliyev out
62'S. Mukanov INV. Sovpel out
63'S. Umarov INT. Zhangylyshbay out
64'L. GuerraAssist: A. Borsic
74'O. Omirtaev INB. Abdumannonov out
74'D. Borodin(Penalty)
75'R. Senhadji INA. Marochkin out
81'V. Vasiljev INU. out

Lineups

FK Tobol Kostanay
Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko
Okzhetpes
Coach: Rinat Alyuetov

FK Tobol Kostanay Starting XI

44D. Ustimenko
21N. Zhagorov
72R. Senhadji61'75'replaced by A. Marochkin
5P. Ndiaye
25A. Borsic
17A. Zuev
8A. Tagybergen35'
10I. Chesnokov
13A. Cisse59'replaced by M. Myakish
14A. Talal42'replaced by L. Guerra
18U. Milovanovic

Okzhetpes Starting XI

22M. Lobantsev
14S. Mukanov62'replaced by V. Sovpel
63I. Kuzmichev
5Leo Assunpcao
3B. Lototskyi
6Z. Mukhametkhanov51'
9D. Borodin74'
8N. Buribaev62'replaced by E. Nurgaliyev
17S. Umarov63'replaced by T. Zhangylyshbay
47V. Vasiljev81'replaced by U.
19O. Omirtaev74'replaced by B. Abdumannonov

FK Tobol Kostanay Substitutes

1S. Busurmanov
3R. Asrankulov
6M. Myakish59'for A. Cisse
19D. Zhumat
22A. Marochkin75'for R. Senhadji
30L. Guerra42'for A. Talal64'
35Y. Melikhov
56E. Musaev

Okzhetpes Substitutes

1M. Golubnichiy
2Z. Zhaksylykov
7V. Vomenko
10E. Nurgaliyev62'for N. Buribaev
11T. Zhangylyshbay63'for S. Umarov
20M. Ensebaev
67R. Atykhanov
77V. Sovpel62'for S. Mukanov
90U.81'for V. Vasiljev
91B. Abdumannonov74'for O. Omirtaev

Team Comparison

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
1578Elo Rating 1565
2.14Attack 1.68
1.61Defense 2.16
56%Hit Rate 66%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay9Wins · 90%
Draws00%
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes1Wins · 10%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League21/06/2026
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
21
Premier League13/07/2025
FK Tobol KostanayOkzhetpes
21
Premier League05/04/2025
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
01
Premier League23/07/2023
FK Tobol KostanayOkzhetpes
20
Premier League28/05/2023
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
12
Premier League24/11/2020
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
02
Premier League22/09/2020
FK Tobol KostanayOkzhetpes
10
Premier League15/09/2019
FK Tobol KostanayOkzhetpes
10
Premier League23/06/2019
FK Tobol KostanayOkzhetpes
20
Premier League14/04/2019
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
12

Recent Form

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
3W1D6L
04/07/2026
AltayFK Tobol Kostanay
10
L
28/06/2026
FK Tobol KostanayAltay
31
W
21/06/2026
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
21
L
13/06/2026
FK Tobol KostanayKyzyl-Zhar
20
W
28/05/2026
AtyrauFK Tobol Kostanay
11
D
23/05/2026
FK Tobol KostanayOrdabasy
03
L
17/05/2026
KaisarFK Tobol Kostanay
21
L
13/05/2026
KaisarFK Tobol Kostanay
5131
L
09/05/2026
FK Tobol KostanayIrtysh
10
W
03/05/2026
ZhenysFK Tobol Kostanay
10
L
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
4W3D3L
02/07/2026
Kairat AlmatyOkzhetpes
50
L
27/06/2026
OkzhetpesKairat Almaty
13
L
21/06/2026
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
21
W
13/06/2026
ZhetysuOkzhetpes
22
D
28/05/2026
OkzhetpesAktobe
22
D
22/05/2026
AltayOkzhetpes
01
W
16/05/2026
OkzhetpesFC Astana
10
W
09/05/2026
OkzhetpesAtyrau
00
D
02/05/2026
Kyzyl-ZharOkzhetpes
01
W
29/04/2026
OkzhetpesZhenys
23
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy30215459:23+3668LDWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30198360:23+3765DDWWL
3FC AstanaFC Astana30159648:31+1754DDDWL
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes30166849:38+1154WWWLW
5AktobeAktobe30147947:39+849WDLWD
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey30129943:44-145LDWWL
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay301251342:42041LDWWL
8ZhenysZhenys30991232:40-836WDLLL
9UlytauUlytau30981327:38-1135LLLWD
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar30961531:42-1133WWLWD
11KaspiyKaspiy30961532:44-1233LLDWW
12IrtyshIrtysh30881431:44-1332WWLLL
13AtyrauAtyrau306121227:35-830WLDLW
14AltayAltay306101431:42-1128DDDLL
15ZhetysuZhetysu30691531:49-1827DDWLL
16KaisarKaisar304131325:41-1625LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy3059:2368
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty3060:2365
3FC AstanaFC Astana3048:3154
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes3049:3854
5AktobeAktobe3047:3949
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey3043:4445
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay3042:4241
8ZhenysZhenys3032:4036
9UlytauUlytau3027:3835
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar3031:4233
11KaspiyKaspiy3032:4433
12IrtyshIrtysh3031:4432
13AtyrauAtyrau3027:3530
14AltayAltay3031:4228
15ZhetysuZhetysu3031:4927
16KaisarKaisar3025:4125
Relegation

About the FK Tobol Kostanay vs Okzhetpes forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Tobol Kostanay and Okzhetpes in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Okzhetpes are 4th and FK Tobol Kostanay 7th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Tobol Kostanay 42-42, Okzhetpes 49-38. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Tobol Kostanay have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.