Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes Prediction

Kairat Almaty
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Okzhetpes
Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty·D. Sakhi 02/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+9.6%
Kairat Almaty Rest
5 days
Okzhetpes Rest
5 days

Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes: the result in context

Kairat Almaty beat Okzhetpes 5-0 in the Premier League on 2 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Kairat Almaty have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
76%1.40
X
16%3.90
2
8%7.80
Double Chance
1X
92%1.06
X2
24%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.95
No
56%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.75
Over 3.5
19%2.62
Under 1.5
36%3.50
Under 2.5
62%1.99
Under 3.5
81%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

30'M. GualAssist: E. Tapalov
36'M. GualAssist: L. Mata
42'JorginhoAssist: L. Mata
46'V. Sovpel INS. Mukanov out
46'B. Abdumannonov INS. Umarov out
60'O. Jukkola INEdmilson out
61'D. Glazer INO. Baybek out
72'M. Gual INA. Tuyakbaev out
72'Jorginho INI. Bekbolat out
74'Z. Mukhametkhanov INE. Nurgaliyev out
74'O. Omirtaev INT. Zhangylyshbay out
79'L. Mata INL. Kurgin out
79'EdmilsonAssist: I. Bekbolat
81'N. Buribaev INB. Shamshi out
90'A. TuyakbaevAssist: I. Bekbolat

Lineups

Kairat Almaty
Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin
Okzhetpes
Coach: Rinat Alyuetov

Kairat Almaty Starting XI

1T. Anarbekov
20E. Tapalov
14A. Martynovich
25A. Shirobokov
3L. Mata79'replaced by L. Kurgin
18D. Glazer61'replaced by O. Baybek
13J. Oksanen
24A. Mrynskiy
7Jorginho42'72'replaced by I. Bekbolat
19O. Jukkola60'replaced by Edmilson
28M. Gual30'36'72'replaced by A. Tuyakbaev

Okzhetpes Starting XI

22M. Lobantsev
63I. Kuzmichev
5Leo Assunpcao
3B. Lototskyi
77V. Sovpel46'replaced by S. Mukanov
8N. Buribaev81'replaced by B. Shamshi
9D. Borodin
6Z. Mukhametkhanov74'replaced by E. Nurgaliyev
47V. Vasiljev
19O. Omirtaev74'replaced by T. Zhangylyshbay
91B. Abdumannonov46'replaced by S. Umarov

Kairat Almaty Substitutes

4D. Kasabulat
5L. Kurgin79'for L. Mata
6A. Sadybekov
8O. Baybek61'for D. Glazer
9Edmilson60'for O. Jukkola79'
11S. Zeballos
17A. Tuyakbaev72'for M. Gual90'
27M. Abish
44Lucas Africo
81I. Bekbolat72'for Jorginho
82S. Kalmurza

Okzhetpes Substitutes

1M. Golubnichiy
2Z. Zhaksylykov
7V. Vomenko
10E. Nurgaliyev74'for Z. Mukhametkhanov
11T. Zhangylyshbay74'for O. Omirtaev
14S. Mukanov46'for V. Sovpel
16B. Shamshi81'for N. Buribaev
17S. Umarov46'for B. Abdumannonov
20M. Ensebaev
90U.

Team Comparison

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
1649Elo Rating 1565
2.05Attack 1.68
1.15Defense 2.16
34%Hit Rate 66%
12.8Shots per Game -
2.8Shots on Target -
4.2Corners per Game -
2.4Cards per Game -

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League27/06/2026
OkzhetpesKairat Almaty
13
Premier League31/08/2025
OkzhetpesKairat Almaty
01
Premier League24/05/2025
Kairat AlmatyOkzhetpes
12
Premier League15/07/2023
OkzhetpesKairat Almaty
01
Premier League03/06/2023
Kairat AlmatyOkzhetpes
21
Premier League27/09/2020
OkzhetpesKairat Almaty
33
Premier League11/03/2020
Kairat AlmatyOkzhetpes
50
Premier League25/08/2019
Kairat AlmatyOkzhetpes
01
Premier League16/06/2019
OkzhetpesKairat Almaty
12
Premier League06/04/2019
Kairat AlmatyOkzhetpes
41

Recent Form

Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
6W3D1L
27/06/2026
OkzhetpesKairat Almaty
13
W
21/06/2026
Kyzyl-ZharKairat Almaty
24
W
17/06/2026
Kairat AlmatyKyzyl-Zhar
30
W
13/06/2026
Kairat AlmatyAtyrau
11
D
28/05/2026
OrdabasyKairat Almaty
21
L
23/05/2026
Kairat AlmatyKaisar
00
D
17/05/2026
ZhenysKairat Almaty
12
W
10/05/2026
UlytauKairat Almaty
11
D
06/05/2026
KaisarKairat Almaty
12
W
02/05/2026
IrtyshKairat Almaty
01
W
OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
4W4D2L
27/06/2026
OkzhetpesKairat Almaty
13
L
21/06/2026
OkzhetpesFK Tobol Kostanay
21
W
13/06/2026
ZhetysuOkzhetpes
22
D
28/05/2026
OkzhetpesAktobe
22
D
22/05/2026
AltayOkzhetpes
01
W
16/05/2026
OkzhetpesFC Astana
10
W
09/05/2026
OkzhetpesAtyrau
00
D
02/05/2026
Kyzyl-ZharOkzhetpes
01
W
29/04/2026
OkzhetpesZhenys
23
L
25/04/2026
OkzhetpesKaisar
11
D

Referee Profile

D. Sakhi3 matches analysed

3.71Cards per match
3.55Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 7% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy30215459:23+3668LDWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30198360:23+3765DDWWL
3FC AstanaFC Astana30159648:31+1754DDDWL
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes30166849:38+1154WWWLW
5AktobeAktobe30147947:39+849WDLWD
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey30129943:44-145LDWWL
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay301251342:42041LDWWL
8ZhenysZhenys30991232:40-836WDLLL
9UlytauUlytau30981327:38-1135LLLWD
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar30961531:42-1133WWLWD
11KaspiyKaspiy30961532:44-1233LLDWW
12IrtyshIrtysh30881431:44-1332WWLLL
13AtyrauAtyrau306121227:35-830WLDLW
14AltayAltay306101431:42-1128DDDLL
15ZhetysuZhetysu30691531:49-1827DDWLL
16KaisarKaisar304131325:41-1625LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy3059:2368
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty3060:2365
3FC AstanaFC Astana3048:3154
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes3049:3854
5AktobeAktobe3047:3949
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey3043:4445
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay3042:4241
8ZhenysZhenys3032:4036
9UlytauUlytau3027:3835
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar3031:4233
11KaspiyKaspiy3032:4433
12IrtyshIrtysh3031:4432
13AtyrauAtyrau3027:3530
14AltayAltay3031:4228
15ZhetysuZhetysu3031:4927
16KaisarKaisar3025:4125
Relegation

About the Kairat Almaty vs Okzhetpes forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kairat Almaty and Okzhetpes in the Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Kairat Almaty are 2nd in the Premier League, 11 points ahead of Okzhetpes in 4th. League goal record so far: Kairat Almaty 60-23, Okzhetpes 49-38. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.