Ulytau vs Ordabasy Prediction

Ulytau
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Ordabasy
Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan·D. Sakhi 28/06/2026
UlytauUlytau
0-1
Finished
OrdabasyOrdabasy

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseHighGap+8.6%
Ulytau Rest
7 days
Ordabasy Rest
7 days

Ulytau vs Ordabasy: the result in context

Ordabasy beat Ulytau 1-0 in the Premier League on 28 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ordabasy had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Ulytau.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%4.65
X
27%3.50
2
49%1.67
Double Chance
1X
51%2.05
X2
76%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.91
No
56%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.30
Over 2.5
38%1.99
Over 3.5
18%3.28
Under 1.5
36%3.04
Under 2.5
62%1.74
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'Everton
41'B. JohnsenAssist: Y. Vakulko
46'Everton INZ. Amir out
59'K. Nursultanov INR. Serikkul out
64'Leo Natel INM. Toktybay out
72'B. Johnsen INA. Nurymbet out
75'V. Afanasenko IND. Carmona Sierra out
75'K. Kishi INA. Taubay out
77'E. Astanov INT. Keita out
82'I. Chernyak INB. Zulfikarov out
83'B. Vachiberadze INB. Daniyarov out

Team Comparison

UlytauUlytau
OrdabasyOrdabasy
1450Elo Rating 1726
0.95Attack 2.37
1.52Defense 2.31
19%Hit Rate 73%

Game State Tendencies

UlytauUlytau
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
OrdabasyOrdabasy
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

UlytauUlytau2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
OrdabasyOrdabasy0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League24/08/2025
UlytauOrdabasy
21
Premier League24/05/2025
OrdabasyUlytau
01

Recent Form

UlytauUlytau
4W3D3L
20/06/2026
KaisarUlytau
00
D
14/06/2026
UlytauZhenys
21
W
27/05/2026
IrtyshUlytau
11
D
22/05/2026
FC AstanaUlytau
30
L
16/05/2026
UlytauKaspiy
10
W
10/05/2026
UlytauKairat Almaty
11
D
03/05/2026
UlytauYelimay Semey
10
W
30/04/2026
AltayUlytau
4232
L
26/04/2026
ZhetysuUlytau
20
L
19/04/2026
UlytauFK Tobol Kostanay
21
W
OrdabasyOrdabasy
9W1D0L
20/06/2026
OrdabasyKaspiy
20
W
14/06/2026
Yelimay SemeyOrdabasy
13
W
28/05/2026
OrdabasyKairat Almaty
21
W
23/05/2026
FK Tobol KostanayOrdabasy
03
W
17/05/2026
OrdabasyZhetysu
21
W
13/05/2026
OrdabasyZhetysu
10
W
10/05/2026
AltayOrdabasy
00
D
03/05/2026
OrdabasyAktobe
20
W
30/04/2026
OrdabasyKaspiy
30
W
25/04/2026
Kyzyl-ZharOrdabasy
12
W

Referee Profile

D. Sakhi3 matches analysed

3.71Cards per match
3.55Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 7% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy30215459:23+3668LDWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30198360:23+3765DDWWL
3FC AstanaFC Astana30159648:31+1754DDDWL
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes30166849:38+1154WWWLW
5AktobeAktobe30147947:39+849WDLWD
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey30129943:44-145LDWWL
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay301251342:42041LDWWL
8ZhenysZhenys30991232:40-836WDLLL
9UlytauUlytau30981327:38-1135LLLWD
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar30961531:42-1133WWLWD
11KaspiyKaspiy30961532:44-1233LLDWW
12IrtyshIrtysh30881431:44-1332WWLLL
13AtyrauAtyrau306121227:35-830WLDLW
14AltayAltay306101431:42-1128DDDLL
15ZhetysuZhetysu30691531:49-1827DDWLL
16KaisarKaisar304131325:41-1625LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy3059:2368
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty3060:2365
3FC AstanaFC Astana3048:3154
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes3049:3854
5AktobeAktobe3047:3949
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey3043:4445
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay3042:4241
8ZhenysZhenys3032:4036
9UlytauUlytau3027:3835
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar3031:4233
11KaspiyKaspiy3032:4433
12IrtyshIrtysh3031:4432
13AtyrauAtyrau3027:3530
14AltayAltay3031:4228
15ZhetysuZhetysu3031:4927
16KaisarKaisar3025:4125
Relegation

About the Ulytau vs Ordabasy forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ulytau and Ordabasy in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Ordabasy are 1st and Ulytau 9th, 33 points apart. League goal record so far: Ulytau 27-38, Ordabasy 59-23. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ulytau and Ordabasy have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.