Forest Green vs Hartlepool Prediction

Forest Green
2-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Hartlepool
The New Lawn, Nailsworth 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Forest Green Rest
10 days
Hartlepool Rest
7 days

Forest Green vs Hartlepool: the result in context

Hartlepool beat Forest Green 4-2 in the National League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.62
X
22%3.98
2
20%4.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.18
X2
42%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.15 + 1.07 = 3.22
Over 1.5
82%1.15
Over 2.5
62%1.57
Over 3.5
41%2.38
Under 1.5
18%4.80
Under 2.5
38%2.27
Under 3.5
59%1.52
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'N. Sheron
39'L. Charman
45+2'J. Hugill(Penalty)
45+4'J. Clarke
48'N. Sheron
51'K. Abrefa
51'J. Marquez IND. Mellor out
55'J. Earing INJ. Nolan out
55'L. Charman INC. Thornton out
57'J. Hugill
57'F. Sass INO. Patrick out
57'K. Kelly INN. Kengni out
63'J. Hugill INW. Harris out
65'O. PatrickAssist: K. McAllister
65'T. Campbell INN. Haughton out
70'K. McAllister(Penalty)
74'C. Popov INM. Clark out
88'N. SheronAssist: J. Nolan
90+5'C. Thornton

Team Comparison

Forest GreenForest Green
HartlepoolHartlepool
1553Elo Rating 1411
2.16Attack 1.46
2.20Defense 0.96
50%Hit Rate 37%
14.4Shots per Game 18.0
7.6Shots on Target 5.0
4.7Corners per Game 6.0
0.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+142 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Forest GreenForest Green
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
HartlepoolHartlepool
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Forest GreenForest Green3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
HartlepoolHartlepool1Wins · 17%
2.2Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

National League18/04/2026
HartlepoolForest Green
21
National League06/09/2025
Forest GreenHartlepool
10
National League05/05/2025
HartlepoolForest Green
11
National League28/09/2024
Forest GreenHartlepool
10
League Two09/04/2022
Forest GreenHartlepool
11
League Two20/11/2021
HartlepoolForest Green
13

Recent Form

Forest GreenForest Green
3W3D4L
29/09/2026
Forest GreenWealdstone
11
D
26/09/2026
Sutton UtdForest Green
33
D
19/09/2026
Forest GreenBoston United
13
L
15/09/2026
CarlisleForest Green
11
D
12/09/2026
Forest GreenGateshead
40
W
05/09/2026
AFC HornchurchForest Green
01
W
31/08/2026
Forest GreenAltrincham
12
L
28/08/2026
AFC FyldeForest Green
20
L
22/08/2026
Forest GreenBoreham Wood
03
L
15/08/2026
WorthingForest Green
12
W
HartlepoolHartlepool
1W0D9L
03/10/2026
HartlepoolTamworth
01
L
29/09/2026
HartlepoolHarrogate Town
01
L
26/09/2026
ScunthorpeHartlepool
41
L
19/09/2026
HartlepoolWorthing
13
L
16/09/2026
AltrinchamHartlepool
21
L
11/09/2026
Kidderminster HarriersHartlepool
20
L
08/09/2026
HartlepoolEverton U21
01
L
05/09/2026
HartlepoolWoking
10
W
01/09/2026
FC Halifax TownHartlepool
10
L
28/08/2026
HartlepoolEastleigh
01
L

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood15132040:14+2641WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town16102434:23+1132DLWWW
3SouthendSouthend1585236:24+1229DDWWD
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1692530:24+629WWLWL
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1684435:20+1528LWLWW
6WorthingWorthing1584332:22+1028DWWWD
7AltrinchamAltrincham1591522:20+228DWWLW
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1673628:20+824WLDWW
9BarrowBarrow1473425:18+724DWWWW
10CarlisleCarlisle1565428:21+723WWDWW
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1556416:14+221DLDDL
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1563617:21-421WLLDL
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1670918:26-821LLLWL
14Forest GreenForest Green1454523:24-119WDLDD
15WokingWoking1553724:24018LWLWL
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1553718:19-118LLLLL
17EastleighEastleigh1553718:24-618LWLLD
18TamworthTamworth1452725:31-617WLWWL
19WealdstoneWealdstone1543820:27-715LWLLD
20HartlepoolHartlepool15501015:23-815LWWLL
21Boston UnitedBoston United1543819:28-915WLLLD
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe14311018:28-1010LLLLW
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors15311117:39-2210WLLLW
24GatesheadGateshead1411129:33-244LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1540:1441
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1634:2332
3SouthendSouthend1536:2429
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1630:2429
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1635:2028
6WorthingWorthing1532:2228
7AltrinchamAltrincham1522:2028
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1628:2024
9BarrowBarrow1425:1824
10CarlisleCarlisle1528:2123
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1516:1421
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1517:2121
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1618:2621
14Forest GreenForest Green1423:2419
15WokingWoking1524:2418
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1518:1918
17EastleighEastleigh1518:2418
18TamworthTamworth1425:3117
19WealdstoneWealdstone1520:2715
20HartlepoolHartlepool1515:2315
21Boston UnitedBoston United1519:2815
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1418:2810
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1517:3910
24GatesheadGateshead149:334
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About the Forest Green vs Hartlepool forecast

The forecasts for this National League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Forest Green and Hartlepool in the National League table

In the National League table, Forest Green are 14th and Hartlepool 20th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Forest Green 23-24, Hartlepool 15-23. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.