Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph Prediction

Ruoff Mortgage Stadium 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-9.3%
Fort Wayne Rest
3 days
Greenville Triumph Rest
7 days

Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph: the result in context

Fort Wayne beat Greenville Triumph 3-0 in the USL League One on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.93
X
23%3.40
2
29%3.45
Double Chance
1X
71%1.25
X2
52%1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.67
No
56%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.25
Over 2.5
38%1.84
Over 3.5
18%2.88
Under 1.5
37%3.26
Under 2.5
62%1.85
Under 3.5
82%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'M. Nour
16'R. BecherAssist: M. Rempel
19'L. Meek
23'T. Healy
34'E. Nieto
35'L. RicolAssist: T. Healy
57'K. GafarAssist: L. Ricol
64'M. Nour INK. Fritz out
64'R. Robles INA. Liadi out
64'C. Herrera INI. Agyaakwah out
66'J. Jordan INA. Hernandez out
66'T. Healy INJ. Garay out
67'L. Ricol INC. Awoudor out
73'E. Lee INZ. Bubb out
75'D. Oyetunde INJ. Thomas out
80'J. Bouregy INE. White out
88'E. Nieto INJ. Aye out
90+3'

Team Comparison

Fort WayneFort Wayne
Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
1517Elo Rating 1371
1.22Attack 1.45
1.86Defense 0.53
42%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+147 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Fort WayneFort Wayne
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)
Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Fort WayneFort Wayne
3W4D3L
Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
3W2D5L
12/07/2026
Greenville TriumphRichmond Kickers
12
L
09/07/2026
Greenville TriumphSarasota Paradise
00
D
05/07/2026
NY CosmosGreenville Triumph
03
W
25/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph
10
L
21/06/2026
Greenville TriumphAlta
12
L
15/06/2026
Westchester SCGreenville Triumph
40
L
11/06/2026
Greenville TriumphLoudoun United
31
W
04/06/2026
Greenville TriumphForward Madison
10
W
30/05/2026
One KnoxvilleGreenville Triumph
20
L
24/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineGreenville Triumph
11
D

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fort Wayne and Greenville Triumph in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Fort Wayne are 9th and Greenville Triumph 15th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Fort Wayne 47-42, Greenville Triumph 37-60. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fort Wayne and Greenville Triumph have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.