Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence Prediction

One Spokane Stadium 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.43
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
Spokane Velocity Rest
4 days
Charlotte Independence Rest
4 days

Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence: the result in context

Spokane Velocity beat Charlotte Independence 3-0 in the USL League One on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Charlotte Independence have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%1.97
X
25%3.58
2
44%3.13
Double Chance
1X
56%1.30
X2
69%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.50
No
56%2.29
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.60
Over 3.5
19%2.48
Under 1.5
37%3.80
Under 2.5
61%2.10
Under 3.5
81%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'J. Amaya
53'L. Gil(Penalty)
61'L. Gil INN. Vinyals out
61'M. Hernandez INJ. Gallardo out
64'M. Lyons INL. Alvarez out
72'J. GallardoAssist: S. Fitch
75'C. Fernandez INJ. Denton out
75'P. Saydee INV. Ortiz out
75'A. Pelaez INN. Brett out
80'A. Lewis
85'J. Amaya INJ. Orr out
86'M. Guffroy INT. Nare out
86'F. Ngah INS. Coulibaly out
86'A. Lewis INM. Mensah out
88'N. VinyalsAssist: J. Denton
90+3'S. Marou

Team Comparison

Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
1580Elo Rating 1577
2.38Attack 2.18
0.99Defense 1.45
39%Hit Rate 59%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3Wins · 60%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

USL League One28/03/2026
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
40
USL League One04/10/2025
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
01
USL League One12/06/2025
Spokane VelocityCharlotte Independence
11
USL League One28/07/2024
Spokane VelocityCharlotte Independence
24
USL League One30/03/2024
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
21

Recent Form

Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity
5W0D5L
19/07/2026
Richmond KickersSpokane Velocity
02
W
11/07/2026
Oakland RootsSpokane Velocity
13
W
05/07/2026
Fort WayneSpokane Velocity
30
L
02/07/2026
Spokane VelocityForward Madison
01
L
25/06/2026
Spokane VelocityWestchester SC
21
W
21/06/2026
Spokane VelocityOne Knoxville
04
L
14/06/2026
AltaSpokane Velocity
10
L
07/06/2026
Spokane VelocityBoise
21
W
31/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineSpokane Velocity
21
L
25/05/2026
Spokane VelocitySarasota Paradise
10
W
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
8W1D1L
19/07/2026
Charlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red Wolves
24
L
12/07/2026
Charleston BatteryCharlotte Independence
2242
W
06/07/2026
AltaCharlotte Independence
11
D
01/07/2026
Charlotte IndependenceCorpus Christi
21
W
25/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceGreenville Triumph
10
W
14/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceNaples
43
W
11/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceUnion Omaha
20
W
04/06/2026
NaplesCharlotte Independence
15
W
31/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
23
W
24/05/2026
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
31
W

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Spokane Velocity and Charlotte Independence in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Charlotte Independence are 1st and Spokane Velocity 5th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Spokane Velocity 50-44, Charlotte Independence 74-46. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.