Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca Prediction

Estadio El Fortin, Rawson 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalGOODModel39%SurpriseHighGap+3.2%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalHIGHModel28%SurpriseHighGap+11.4%
Germinal de Rawson Rest
7 days
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Rest
7 days

Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: result, form and history

Olimpo Bahia Blanca beat Germinal de Rawson 1-0 in the Torneo Federal A on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%3.10
X
36%2.62
2
26%2.50
Double Chance
1X
74%1.42
X2
62%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%2.54
No
65%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.93 + 0.88 = 1.81
Over 1.5
55%1.72
Over 2.5
27%3.29
Over 3.5
12%7.00
Under 1.5
45%1.94
Under 2.5
73%1.28
Under 3.5
88%1.06
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'A. Hernandez
60'C. Ibarra INA. Stancato out
69'M. Olivera INS. Llanos out
69'E. Coacci INL. Espejo out
71'
73'
80'A. Hernandez INL. Lapetina out
85'
85'
88'
88'
90+4'

Lineups

Germinal de Rawson
Coach: Dario Gigante
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Coach: Carlos Mungo

Germinal de Rawson Starting XI

1L. Molini
2N. Rios
3A. Moreno
4L. Yocco
5N. Macaroff
6I. Teran
7T. Oliveri
8A. Gonzalez
9F. Carcamo
10J. Rojas
11J. Velazquez

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Starting XI

1C. Geist
2A. Osinaga
3G. Vega
4L. Hertel
5S. Fernandez
6M. Ferreyra
7E. Coacci69'replaced by L. Espejo
8M. Olivera69'replaced by S. Llanos
9J. Susvielles
10C. Ibarra60'replaced by A. Stancato
11A. Hernandez22'80'replaced by L. Lapetina

Germinal de Rawson Substitutes

12F. Grigera
13L. Sveruk
14O. Soto
15K. Lencina
16L. Veloso
17G. Nunez
18G. Navarro
19E. Santilli
20D. De Hoyos

Olimpo Bahia Blanca Substitutes

12J. Lungarzo
13N. Moiraghi
14L. Lapetina80'for A. Hernandez
15A. Stancato60'for C. Ibarra
16C. Amarilla
17S. Llanos69'for M. Olivera
18L. Espejo69'for E. Coacci
19B. Guille
20M. Colmenares

Team Comparison

Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca
1449Elo Rating 1590
0.42Attack 1.09
2.27Defense 1.73
23%Hit Rate 36%
8.4Shots per Game 10.6
2.8Shots on Target 4.6
3.8Corners per Game 3.2
2.0Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca6Wins · 60%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A10/05/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGerminal de Rawson
10
Torneo Federal A09/07/2025
Germinal de RawsonOlimpo Bahia Blanca
01
Torneo Federal A27/04/2025
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGerminal de Rawson
12
Torneo Federal A28/07/2024
Germinal de RawsonOlimpo Bahia Blanca
01
Torneo Federal A30/06/2024
Germinal de RawsonOlimpo Bahia Blanca
11
Torneo Federal A05/05/2024
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGerminal de Rawson
01
Torneo Federal A03/09/2023
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGerminal de Rawson
30
Torneo Federal A02/07/2023
Germinal de RawsonOlimpo Bahia Blanca
02
Torneo Federal A13/05/2023
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGerminal de Rawson
31
Torneo Federal A12/03/2023
Germinal de RawsonOlimpo Bahia Blanca
11

Recent Form

Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson
3W4D3L
05/07/2026
AlvaradoGerminal de Rawson
50
L
28/06/2026
Germinal de RawsonSantamarina
10
W
14/06/2026
Villa MitreGerminal de Rawson
00
D
07/06/2026
Germinal de RawsonCirculo Deportivo
00
D
30/05/2026
Kimberley Mar del PlataGerminal de Rawson
10
L
24/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonSol de Mayo
10
W
17/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonGuillermo Brown
11
D
10/05/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGerminal de Rawson
10
L
03/05/2026
Germinal de RawsonAlvarado
10
W
25/04/2026
SantamarinaGerminal de Rawson
00
D
Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca
2W7D1L
05/07/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaVilla Mitre
00
D
28/06/2026
Circulo DeportivoOlimpo Bahia Blanca
11
D
20/06/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaKimberley Mar del Plata
00
D
14/06/2026
Sol de MayoOlimpo Bahia Blanca
11
D
07/06/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGuillermo Brown
00
D
24/05/2026
AlvaradoOlimpo Bahia Blanca
20
L
17/05/2026
SantamarinaOlimpo Bahia Blanca
00
D
10/05/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaGerminal de Rawson
10
W
03/05/2026
Villa MitreOlimpo Bahia Blanca
00
D
27/04/2026
Olimpo Bahia BlancaCirculo Deportivo
10
W

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Germinal de Rawson and Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st and Germinal de Rawson 30th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Germinal de Rawson 7-14, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 13-4. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.