Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+13.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.49
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Gimnasia L.P. Rest
5 days
River Plate Rest
4 days
Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate: result, form and history
Gimnasia L.P. beat River Plate 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 29 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
River Plate have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. River Plate tend to win more corners, 7.7 a game to 4.6 for Gimnasia L.P..
Match Forecasts
Match Result
140%4.20
X29%3.05
231%2.00
Double Chance
1X69%1.78
X260%1.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.13
No47%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 0.99 = 2.32
Over 1.570%1.49
Over 2.547%2.48
Over 3.525%4.80
Under 1.530%2.56
Under 2.553%1.50
Under 3.575%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.5 = 9.2
Over 8.553%1.65
Over 9.542%2.06
Over 10.529%2.74
Under 8.547%2.08
Under 9.558%1.69
Under 10.571%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 3.3 = 5.8
Over 3.581%-
Over 4.567%1.38
Under 3.519%-
Under 4.533%2.65
Match Events
46'M. Arambarri INFausto Vera out
56'L. SilvaFoul
61'M. Acuna INF. Gonzalez out
61'L. Beltran INR. Borre out
65'M. Seoane INA. Max out
65'J. Merlo INM. Zalazar out
71'A. Correa INF. Colidio out
75'R. Giampaoli INJ. Cortazzo out
79'N. OtamendiFoul
80'A. SteimbachAssist: M. Zalazar
82'L. Silva INL. Pereyra out
83'N. Fernandez INN. Schelotto out
86'M. ZalazarDelay of game
Lineups
Gimnasia L.P.River Plate
4-2-3-1Coach: Eduardo CoudetAvg ratingAvg rating
23N. Insfrán
31B. Barros Schelotto
4R. Giampaoli
21E. Martínez
24P. Silva
25A. Steimbach
5I. Miramón
18M. Seoane
C8N. Fernández
11J. Merlo
29A. Auzmendi
41S. Beltrán
29G. Montiel
28L. Martínez Quarta
C30N. Otamendi
21M. Acuña
8M. Arambarri
44L. Silva
35J. Freitas
10Á. Correa
26T. Galván
18L. BeltránGimnasia L.P. Substitutes
15Harlen Castillo
43Mariano Ojeda
37Jeremías Ezequiel Langa
35Juan Cruz Cortazzo75'for R. Giampaoli
10Nicolás Barros Schelotto83'for N. Fernandez
33Pablo Aguiar
16Augusto Max65'for M. Seoane
7Manuel Panaro
42Santiago Villarreal
9Maximiliano Zalazar65'for J. Merlo86'
17Lucas Janson
26Franco Torres
River Plate Substitutes
15Fausto Vera46'for M. Arambarri
33Ezequiel Centurión
31Facundo González61'for M. Acuna
13Lautaro Rivero
20Giovanni González
36Ulises Giménez
24Juan Cruz Meza
25Lautaro Pereyra82'for L. Silva
19Rafael Borré61'for L. Beltran
11Facundo Colidio71'for A. Correa
Match Stats
Gimnasia L.P.River Plate 26%Ball Possession74%
3Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
11Fouls11
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
208Total Passes616
126Passes Accurate540
61%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
Gimnasia L.P.River Plate1733Elo Rating 1761
1.64Attack 1.68
2.13Defense 2.30
50%Hit Rate 61%
16.3Shots per Game 20.1
5.5Shots on Target 6.5
4.6Corners per Game 7.7
1.2Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
Game State Tendencies
Gimnasia L.P.- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
River Plate- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Gimnasia L.P.1Wins · 10%Draws330%
River Plate6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
14/05/2026River PlateGimnasia L.P.20
29/01/2026River PlateGimnasia L.P.20
03/11/2025River PlateGimnasia L.P.01
18/04/2025Gimnasia L.P.River Plate03
17/08/2024Gimnasia L.P.River Plate11
14/04/2023River PlateGimnasia L.P.30
22/07/2022River PlateGimnasia L.P.10
13/03/2022River PlateGimnasia L.P.40
23/08/2021Gimnasia L.P.River Plate11
29/11/2018River PlateGimnasia L.P.4252
Recent Form
Gimnasia L.P.7W1D2L
25/07/2026
Racing ClubGimnasia L.P.
Racing ClubGimnasia L.P.21
L07/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaGimnasia L.P.
Dinamo MakhachkalaGimnasia L.P.13
W05/07/2026
ZenitGimnasia L.P.
ZenitGimnasia L.P.11
D14/05/2026River PlateGimnasia L.P.
River PlateGimnasia L.P.20
L11/05/2026
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia L.P.
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia L.P.01
W03/05/2026Gimnasia L.P.
Argentinos JRS
Gimnasia L.P.Argentinos JRS20
W26/04/2026
Belgrano CordobaGimnasia L.P.
Belgrano CordobaGimnasia L.P.01
W23/04/2026
AcassusoGimnasia L.P.
AcassusoGimnasia L.P.03
W18/04/2026Gimnasia L.P.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Gimnasia L.P.Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto10
W13/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.12
WRiver Plate5W2D3L
26/07/2026River Plate
Barracas CentralRiver Plate
Aldosivi
River PlateBarracas Central01
L18/07/2026River PlateAldosivi13
L03/07/2026
FlamengoRiver Plate
FlamengoRiver Plate22
D28/05/2026River Plate
Blooming
River PlateBlooming30
W24/05/2026River PlateBelgrano Cordoba
River PlateBelgrano Cordoba23
L21/05/2026River Plate
RB Bragantino
River PlateRB Bragantino11
D17/05/2026River Plate
Rosario Central
River PlateRosario Central10
W14/05/2026River PlateGimnasia L.P.
River PlateGimnasia L.P.20
W11/05/2026River Plate
San Lorenzo
River PlateSan Lorenzo4131
W08/05/2026
Carabobo FCRiver Plate
Carabobo FCRiver Plate12
WReferee Profile
5.08Cards per match
4.89Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).
Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWLLL |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DLLWW |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DWLDW |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | DDLLD |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | +11 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | +3 | 25 | WWLLL |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | +6 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 21 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | DLDLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 21:18 | 25 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 13:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 22:21 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 9:19 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia M. 29/07/26
- Argentinos JRS vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 29/07/26
- Rosario Central vs Racing Club 29/07/26
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Deportivo Riestra 29/07/26
- Instituto Cordoba vs Platense 30/07/26
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Huracan 31/07/26
- Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield 31/07/26
- Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman 31/07/26
About the Gimnasia L.P. vs River Plate forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Gimnasia L.P. and River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, River Plate are 2nd and Gimnasia L.P. 6th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Gimnasia L.P. 19-19, River Plate 22-12. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
River Plate have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.