Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction

Haladás Sportkomplexum, Szombathely·Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain 04/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
56%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Value Analysis
52%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Rest
6 days
FK Crvena Zvezda Rest
5 days

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda: the result in context

Hapoel Beer Sheva beat FK Crvena Zvezda 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League on 4 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: FK Crvena Zvezda had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%4.83
X
20%3.90
2
56%1.65
Double Chance
1X
44%2.17
X2
76%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.67
No
52%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.86 + 1.9 = 2.76
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
54%1.69
Over 3.5
31%2.75
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
46%2.10
Under 3.5
69%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Mohammad Abu FaniFoul
38'Z. Ahmed
45+1'Strahinja ErakovićFoul
46'I. Zlatanovic INM. Abu Rumi out
46'V. Kostov INM. Arnautovic out
46'M. Ivanic INT. Elsnik out
46'M. Abu Fani INM. Cham out
58'Matan BaltaxaFoul
58'Matan BaltaxaFoul
58'Eliel PeretzFoul
58'Matan BaltaxaFoul
63'G. Mizrahi INP. Amador out
63'N. Yehoshua IND. T. Diop out
64'Itay RotmanFoul
73'O. Bukari INA. Katai out
73'Bruno Duarte INL. Loizou out
80'Derrick LuckassenFoul
83'J. East INA. Ohana out
84'Nair TiknizyanFoul
85'Muhammed-Cham SaračevićFoul
88'E. Peretz INH. Kanaan out

Lineups

Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3Coach: Ran Kozuch
FK Crvena Zvezda
4-2-3-1Coach: Dejan Stankovic
O. Marciano1O. Marciano
G. Mizrahi2G. Mizrahi
Miguel Vitor4M. Vitor
I. Rotman12I. Rotman
M. Baltaxa3M. Baltaxa
N. Yehoshua28N. Yehoshua
Lucas Ventura25L. Ventura
E. Peretz7E. Peretz
J. East20J. East
I. Zlatanovic66I. Zlatanovic
Z. Ahmed9Z. Ahmed
Matheus1Matheus
Seol Young-Woo66S. Young-Woo
D. Luckassen32D. Luckassen
S. Erakovic25S. Erakovic
N. Tiknizyan23N. Tiknizyan
R. Krunic33R. Krunic
M. Abu Fani15M. Abu Fani
O. Bukari14O. Bukari
V. Kostov22V. Kostov
M. Ivanic4M. Ivanic
Bruno Duarte17B. Duarte

Hapoel Beer Sheva Substitutes

34M. Wolff
5P. Amador63'for G. Mizrahi
8H. Kanaan88'for E. Peretz
11A. C. Ganah
13O. Davidzada
18R. Levy
19A. Ohana83'for J. East
21Y. Koren
23I. Hazut
27Y. Stoyanov
44D. T. Diop63'for N. Yehoshua
45M. Abu Rumi46'for I. Zlatanovic

FK Crvena Zvezda Substitutes

77I. Gutesa
7M. Arnautovic46'for V. Kostov
8K. Balov
9J. Enem
10A. Katai73'for O. Bukari
13M. Veljkovic
21T. Elsnik46'for M. Ivanic
24N. Stankovic
27M. Strika
30F. Tebo Uchenna
70M. Cham46'for M. Abu Fani85'
75L. Loizou73'for Bruno Duarte

Team Comparison

Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda
1660Elo Rating 1786
1.13Attack 2.99
1.30Defense 1.65
54%Hit Rate 54%
11.6Shots per Game 21.1
4.8Shots on Target 7.9
3.4Corners per Game 5.3
2.7Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva
4W1D5L
29/07/2026
Hapoel Beer ShevaVikingur Reykjavik
20
W
21/07/2026
Vikingur ReykjavikHapoel Beer Sheva
21
L
16/07/2026
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv
13
L
07/07/2026
Legia WarszawaHapoel Beer Sheva
31
L
05/07/2026
Omonia NicosiaHapoel Beer Sheva
22
D
01/07/2026
Radomiak RadomHapoel Beer Sheva
23
W
26/05/2026
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv
12
L
23/05/2026
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Haifa
25
L
19/05/2026
Hapoel Beer ShevaMaccabi Tel Aviv
42
W
15/05/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Beer Sheva
02
W
FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda
5W3D2L
29/07/2026
FK Crvena ZvezdaLarne
50
W
26/07/2026
FK Crvena ZvezdaVojvodina
31
W
21/07/2026
LarneFK Crvena Zvezda
04
W
17/07/2026
FK Crvena ZvezdaMacva
50
W
12/07/2026
ZenitFK Crvena Zvezda
31
L
03/07/2026
FK Crvena ZvezdaFC BW Linz
22
D
29/06/2026
FK Crvena ZvezdaSlovan Bratislava
11
D
25/06/2026
SKU AmstettenFK Crvena Zvezda
12
W
22/05/2026
FK Crvena ZvezdaOFK Beograd
12
L
17/05/2026
Radnik SurdulicaFK Crvena Zvezda
00
D

Referee Profile

Jesus Gil Manzano200 matches

4.64Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jesus Gil Manzano4.64
Other referees4.71

4.64 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 193 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded

About the Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Crvena Zvezda have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Hapoel Beer Sheva and FK Crvena Zvezda have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.