Sparta Praha vs Lyon Prediction

Sparta Praha
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Lyon
Pragues Letna Hill, Prague·Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands 04/08/2026
Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
2-1
Finished
LyonLyon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
50%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.21
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Sparta Praha Rest
4 days
Lyon Rest
6 days

Sparta Praha vs Lyon: the result in context

Sparta Praha beat Lyon 2-1 in the UEFA Champions League on 4 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%3.38
X
19%3.60
2
27%2.01
Double Chance
1X
73%1.75
X2
46%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.61
No
50%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 1.01 = 2.93
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.73
Over 3.5
31%2.79
Under 1.5
23%4.05
Under 2.5
46%2.10
Under 3.5
69%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'Goal cancelledJonatan Braut Brunes
45'M. SuchomelOG
63'M. RynesAssist: A. Irving
66'Adam KarabecArgument
67'Corentin Tolisso(Penalty missed)
69'J. MercadoAssist: M. Rynes
75'A. Irving INS. Eneme out
75'M. de Carvalho INM. Fofana out
75'M. Ouedraogo INE. Nuamah out
84'J. Alcocer INL. Haraslin out
85'J. Brunes INE. Singhateh out
85'A. Karabec INH. Sochurek out
90+2'J. Mercado ING. Kuol out
90+4'Matěj RynešFoul

Lineups

Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Priske
Lyon
3-4-3Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.52
J. Surovcik6.544J. Surovcik
M. Suchomel5.92M. Suchomel
A. Sevinsky6.519A. Sevinsky
A. SorensenC7.925A. Sorensen
M. Rynes7.911M. Rynes
R. Macek7.228R. Macek
A. Irving6.318A. Irving
J. Mercado7.017J. Mercado
A. Karabec6.010A. Karabec
J. Alcocer6.67J. Alcocer
J. Brunes7.014J. Brunes
D. Greif6.31D. Greif
C. Mata6.022C. Mata
T. Tessmann6.76T. Tessmann
R. Kluivert5.921R. Kluivert
A. Maitland-Niles6.698A. Maitland-Niles
T. Morton6.623T. Morton
M. de Carvalho6.539M. de Carvalho
M. Ouedraogo6.576M. Ouedraogo
Abner Vinicius7.316A. Vinicius
L. Openda6.917L. Openda
C. TolissoC6.28C. Tolisso

Sparta Praha Substitutes

47K. Hegyi
3P. Kaderabek
22L. Haraslin84'for J. Alcocer6.2
5S. Eneme75'for A. Irving6.9
29M. Vojta
24D. Holly
36G. Kuol90+2'for J. Mercado
27E. Singhateh85'for J. Brunes6.3
30J. Zeleny
21J. Grimaldo
38H. Sochurek85'for A. Karabec6.3
15V. Vitalyos

Lyon Substitutes

40R. Descamps
30Y. Konan
11M. Fofana75'for M. de Carvalho6.3
7E. Nuamah75'for M. Ouedraogo6.9
26K. Boudache
45R. Himbert
5O. Mangala
24J. Duranville
99N. Nartey
85N. Kamara
37S. Kango

Match Stats

Sparta PrahaLyon
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks9
2Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box8
1Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
11Fouls7
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
441Total Passes404
382Passes Accurate331
87%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
LyonLyon
1709Elo Rating 1824
1.29Attack 1.03
1.90Defense 0.97
23%Hit Rate 36%
17.8Shots per Game 9.2
6.2Shots on Target 4.0
3.9Corners per Game 4.7
3.1Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LyonLyon
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
LyonLyon2Wins · 100%
5.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

UEFA Europa League04/11/2021
LyonSparta Praha
30
UEFA Europa League21/10/2021
Sparta PrahaLyon
34

Recent Form

Sparta PrahaSparta Praha
6W1D3L
31/07/2026
Sparta PrahaZlin
31
W
25/07/2026
Zbrojovka BrnoSparta Praha
31
L
17/07/2026
FC NordsjaellandSparta Praha
51
L
16/07/2026
JagielloniaSparta Praha
10
L
11/07/2026
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka
30
W
04/07/2026
Sparta PrahaOpava
41
W
24/05/2026
Sparta PrahaHradec Králové
21
W
17/05/2026
Slovan LiberecSparta Praha
02
W
12/05/2026
Sparta PrahaPlzen
00
D
09/05/2026
Slavia PrahaSparta Praha
03
W
LyonLyon
6W0D4L
29/07/2026
Real BetisLyon
40
L
24/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgLyon
02
W
18/07/2026
Slavia PrahaLyon
20
L
15/07/2026
LyonServette FC
21
W
11/07/2026
LyonFC ST. Gallen
63
W
08/07/2026
LyonMâcon
52
W
17/05/2026
LyonLens
04
L
10/05/2026
ToulouseLyon
21
L
03/05/2026
LyonRennes
42
W
25/04/2026
LyonAuxerre
32
W

Referee Profile

Serdar Gozubuyuk266 matches

3.99Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Serdar Gozubuyuk3.98
Other referees3.49

3.98 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 258 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded

About the Sparta Praha vs Lyon forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

More UEFA Champions League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Champions League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sparta Praha and Lyon have met only 2 times recently, averaging 5.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.