Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Hartford Athletic
2-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Louisville City
Trinity Health Stadium·M. Verso 26/09/2026
Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
2-2
Finished
Louisville CityLouisville City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+4.2%
Hartford Athletic Rest
5 days
Louisville City Rest
6 days

Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City: the result in context

Hartford Athletic and Louisville City drew 2-2 in the USL Championship on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Louisville City have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.55
X
26%3.48
2
33%2.38
Double Chance
1X
67%1.50
X2
59%1.44
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'A. Williams(Penalty)
37'A. DiaFoul
42'B. NiangFoul
45+3'S. BirdUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'A. Dia INJ. Morris out
46'B. Niang INZ. Duncan out
48'J. MorrisAssist: T. Davila
50'B. FischerFoul
51'B. FischerFoul
51'B. FischerFoul
53'Q. Huerman(Penalty)
56'B. Coffey INB. Njie out
59'B. NjieFoul
70'B. Makangila INM. Adedokun out
70'A. Williams INM. Ngalina out
70'S. Anaku INA. Obalola out
73'M. Ngalina(Penalty)
74'Q. Huerman INJ. Wilson out
79'K. AdamsFoul
90+2'J. MoreiraFoul

Team Comparison

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
Louisville CityLouisville City
1566Elo Rating 1617
1.69Attack 1.33
1.47Defense 2.83
50%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Louisville CityLouisville City
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Louisville CityLouisville City6Wins · 60%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

USL Championship05/07/2026
Louisville CityHartford Athletic
10
USL Championship26/10/2025
Louisville CityHartford Athletic
10
USL Championship18/05/2025
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
11
USL Championship25/08/2024
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
21
USL Championship28/04/2024
Louisville CityHartford Athletic
60
USL Championship08/10/2023
Louisville CityHartford Athletic
11
USL Championship04/06/2023
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
00
USL Championship16/10/2022
Louisville CityHartford Athletic
21
USL Championship25/06/2022
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
02
USL Championship08/09/2021
Hartford AthleticLouisville City
24

Recent Form

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
7W3D0L
20/09/2026
Las Vegas LightsHartford Athletic
11
D
17/09/2026
Hartford AthleticSporting JAX
20
W
13/09/2026
Hartford AthleticTampa Bay Rowdies
31
W
09/09/2026
Hartford AthleticColorado Springs
21
W
06/09/2026
Detroit CityHartford Athletic
11
D
03/09/2026
Charleston BatteryHartford Athletic
12
W
30/08/2026
Hartford AthleticBirmingham Legion
32
W16/08/2026
Hartford AthleticMiami FC
21
W
13/08/2026
Charlotte IndependenceHartford Athletic
24
W
09/08/2026
Indy ElevenHartford Athletic
11
D
Louisville CityLouisville City
4W3D3L
20/09/2026
Louisville CityLoudoun United
21
W
13/09/2026
Louisville CityEl Paso Locomotive
12
L
09/09/2026
San AntonioLouisville City
7080
W
06/09/2026
Rhode IslandLouisville City
11
D
30/08/2026
Louisville CityDetroit City
00
D
23/08/2026
Indy ElevenLouisville City
21
L
16/08/2026
Orange County SCLouisville City
23
W
13/08/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesLouisville City
3050
W
09/08/2026
Louisville CitySan Antonio
11
D
02/08/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesLouisville City
54
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

Explore more predictions

This match

More USL Championship matches

All predictions

About the Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hartford Athletic and Louisville City in the USL Championship table

Louisville City and Hartford Athletic are close in the USL Championship table, 4th and 6th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Hartford Athletic 35-33, Louisville City 51-43. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.