Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion Prediction

Trinity Health Stadium·G. Flores 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalHIGHModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-0.4%
Hartford Athletic Rest
14 days
Birmingham Legion Rest
6 days

Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion: result, form and history

Hartford Athletic beat Birmingham Legion 3-2 in the USL Championship on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%2.00
X
25%3.60
2
19%3.10
Double Chance
1X
81%1.28
X2
45%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.54
No
56%2.31
Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'R. WilliamsAssist: D. McCartney
26'S. AndersonFoul
34'S. TregarthenFoul
39'R. WilliamsAssist: P. Vassell
42'B. CoffeyAssist: S. Anderson
45+3'M. NgalinaAssist: J. Moreira
46'S. Tregarthen INS. Ngoma out
46'Paterson AJ INH. Diop out
61'P. Vassell(Penalty missed)
62'R. Williams INR. Damus out
70'B. CoffeyFoul
73'G. DiarbianFoul
73'A. Williams INA. Taofeek out
74'J. ScarlettAssist: S. Anderson
78'G. Diarbian INT. Pasher out
78'P. Vassell INA. Daley out
82'B. Coffey INB. Njie out
89'B. NjieFoul
90+4'M. Ngalina INT. Presthus out
90+6'S. NgomaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
1541Elo Rating 1445
1.24Attack 1.30
1.13Defense 2.56
0%Hit Rate 61%

Game State Tendencies

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3Wins · 33%
Draws222%
Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion4Wins · 45%
2.3Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

USL Championship11/03/2026
Birmingham LegionHartford Athletic
00
USL Championship10/08/2025
Birmingham LegionHartford Athletic
14
USL Championship19/04/2025
Hartford AthleticBirmingham Legion
10
USL Championship04/08/2024
Birmingham LegionHartford Athletic
22
USL Championship23/03/2024
Hartford AthleticBirmingham Legion
10
USL Championship30/04/2023
Birmingham LegionHartford Athletic
32
USL Championship25/03/2023
Hartford AthleticBirmingham Legion
01
USL Championship31/07/2022
Hartford AthleticBirmingham Legion
01
USL Championship10/04/2022
Birmingham LegionHartford Athletic
21

Referee Profile

G. Flores6 matches analysed

4.53Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 37% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hartford Athletic and Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Hartford Athletic are 6th and Birmingham Legion 11th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Hartford Athletic 35-33, Birmingham Legion 40-46. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hartford Athletic have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.