Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island Prediction

Protective Stadium·C. Rodriguez 03/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseHighGap-5.0%
Birmingham Legion Rest
3 days
Rhode Island Rest
8 days

Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island: result, form and history

Birmingham Legion beat Rhode Island 1-0 in the USL Championship on 3 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Rhode Island had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Birmingham Legion.

Rhode Island have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.23
X
27%3.38
2
45%2.04
Double Chance
1X
55%1.67
X2
72%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.67
No
56%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.25
Over 2.5
39%1.80
Over 3.5
19%3.00
Under 1.5
36%3.60
Under 2.5
61%1.93
Under 3.5
81%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

61'G. Diarbian IND. McCartney out
63'R. Damus
70'A. Sanchez INY. Tsukada out
70'A. Rodriguez IND. Atkinson out
76'P. Vassell INS. Ngoma out
79'A. Shapiro-Thompson INH. Diop out
79'N. Scardina IND. Rovira out
83'D. RoviraFoul
85'J. KoleilatDelay of game
88'S. Shashoua INS. Saucedo out
88'N. Brown INA. Daley out
90'D. AtkinsonFoul
90+1'N. Fuson INK. Vang out

Team Comparison

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
Rhode IslandRhode Island
1445Elo Rating 1534
1.30Attack 1.14
2.56Defense 2.37
61%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion1Wins · 20%
Draws120%
Rhode IslandRhode Island3Wins · 60%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

USL Championship03/05/2026
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
13
USL Championship06/07/2025
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
11
USL Championship15/05/2025
Birmingham LegionRhode Island
01
USL Championship01/09/2024
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
20
USL Championship18/07/2024
Birmingham LegionRhode Island
13

Recent Form

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
2W4D4L
Rhode IslandRhode Island
6W1D3L
26/07/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsRhode Island
01
W
19/07/2026
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
10
W
12/07/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
4131
W
09/07/2026
Sacramento RepublicRhode Island
21
L
05/07/2026
Rhode IslandOrange County SC
11
D
14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
W
07/06/2026
Rhode IslandWestchester SC
30
W
31/05/2026
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
L
24/05/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
41
W
16/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island
21
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Birmingham Legion vs Rhode Island forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Birmingham Legion and Rhode Island in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Rhode Island are 7th and Birmingham Legion 11th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Birmingham Legion 40-46, Rhode Island 42-33. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.