Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United Prediction

Protective Stadium·A. Pennington 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalSTRONGModel31%SurpriseHighGap+14.1%
Birmingham Legion Rest
3 days
Loudoun United Rest
7 days

Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United: the result in context

Birmingham Legion and Loudoun United drew 1-1 in the USL Championship on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.8 a game across 9 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.67
X
29%3.90
2
26%4.15
Double Chance
1X
74%1.18
X2
55%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.16
Over 2.5
39%1.56
Over 3.5
19%2.38
Under 1.5
36%4.53
Under 2.5
61%2.25
Under 3.5
81%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

32'A. Daley INS. Tregarthen out
45+1'B. AkinyodeFoul
62'P. VassellFoul
63'A. Souper INJ. Panayotou out
67'A. AboukouraAssist: E. Bandre
69'R. Williams INR. Damus out
69'J. Erlandson INS. Mazzaferro out
69'P. Vassell INS. McIllhatton out
76'L. Duru INN. Brown out
76'T. Pasher INS. Saucedo out
82'A. Aboukoura INS. Young out
82'A. Ordonez INR. Aman out
89'S. TregarthenAssist: S. Saucedo
90+2'K. AwuahFoul
90+3'J. HeapsUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
1437Elo Rating 1434
0.89Attack 1.55
2.09Defense 1.86
39%Hit Rate 44%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion5Wins · 56%
Draws111%
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3Wins · 33%
3.8Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored6 of 9
78%3+ goals7 of 9

Previous meetings

USL Championship04/04/2026
Loudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
22
USL Championship04/10/2025
Loudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
01
USL Championship09/03/2025
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
13
USL Championship15/09/2024
Loudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
42
USL Championship07/04/2024
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
31
USL Championship22/06/2023
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
20
USL Championship16/04/2023
Loudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
30
USL Championship28/07/2022
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
61
USL Championship24/04/2022
Loudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
12

Recent Form

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
4W4D2L
17/06/2026
Oakland RootsBirmingham Legion
11
D
14/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLas Vegas Lights
12
L
10/06/2026
Birmingham LegionCorpus Christi
30
W
04/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLouisville City
11
D
24/05/2026
Monterey BayBirmingham Legion
20
L
17/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesBirmingham Legion
2131
W
08/05/2026
Birmingham LegionMiami FC
00
D
03/05/2026
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
13
W
19/04/2026
Birmingham LegionIndy Eleven
22
D
12/04/2026
Birmingham LegionPittsburgh Riverhounds
10
W
Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United
2W5D3L
14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
L
11/06/2026
Greenville TriumphLoudoun United
31
L
07/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRichmond Kickers
20
W
31/05/2026
Monterey BayLoudoun United
41
L
24/05/2026
Loudoun UnitedDetroit City
00
D
10/05/2026
BrooklynLoudoun United
01
W
02/05/2026
Loudoun UnitedOakland Roots
22
D
19/04/2026
Hartford AthleticLoudoun United
00
D
11/04/2026
Loudoun UnitedLouisville City
33
D
04/04/2026
Loudoun UnitedBirmingham Legion
22
D

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Birmingham Legion and Loudoun United in the USL Championship table

Loudoun United and Birmingham Legion are close in the USL Championship table, 10th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Birmingham Legion 40-46, Loudoun United 38-48. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.