FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction

FC Tulsa
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Monterey Bay
ONEOK Field 18/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel89%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
FC Tulsa Rest
4 days
Monterey Bay Rest
6 days

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay: result, form and history

FC Tulsa beat Monterey Bay 2-0 in the USL Championship on 18 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FC Tulsa have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.85
X
20%3.50
2
16%3.70
Double Chance
1X
84%1.22
X2
36%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.72
No
56%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.24
Over 2.5
38%1.80
Over 3.5
19%2.92
Under 1.5
36%3.50
Under 2.5
62%1.92
Under 3.5
81%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'L. DorseyAssist: H. St.Clair
46'S. Ritchie INO. Glasgow out
50'K. EgwuFoul
51'L. BatistaAssist: J. Webber
53'O. GlasgowFoul
63'R. NakamuraFoul
65'K. Egwu INN. Ross out
68'L. Dorsey INK. Elmedkhar out
68'J. Kocevski ING. Colli out
76'J. Belmar INA. Rebollar out
76'S. Lletget INE. Blancas out
77'W. Leggett INA. Saidi out
78'Ian IND. Pierre out
79'H. St.Clair INL. Stauffer out
81'L. StaufferFoul
87'B. Sparks INZ. Siranga out
90+4'N. RossFoul

Team Comparison

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
1513Elo Rating 1316
1.04Attack 0.95
1.59Defense 1.21
17%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+197 Elo

Game State Tendencies

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

FC TulsaFC Tulsa5Wins · 71%
Draws229%
Monterey BayMonterey Bay0Wins · 0%
2.3Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

USL Championship04/05/2026
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
12
USL Championship07/08/2025
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
23
USL Championship17/07/2025
FC TulsaMonterey Bay
21
USL Championship27/10/2024
FC TulsaMonterey Bay
21
USL Championship14/07/2024
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
00
USL Championship01/06/2023
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
00
USL Championship13/10/2022
Tulsa RoughnecksMonterey Bay
20

Recent Form

FC TulsaFC Tulsa
4W2D4L
14/06/2026
Charleston BatteryFC Tulsa
51
L
07/06/2026
FC TulsaSan Antonio
12
L
31/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsFC Tulsa
00
D
23/05/2026
FC TulsaHartford Athletic
20
W
17/05/2026
Corpus ChristiFC Tulsa
01
W
04/05/2026
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
12
W
30/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveFC Tulsa
14
W
19/04/2026
Oakland RootsFC Tulsa
11
D
16/04/2026
St. Louis CityFC Tulsa
40
L
12/04/2026
FC TulsaOrange County SC
01
L
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
3W1D6L
11/06/2026
Monterey BaySporting JAX
21
W
07/06/2026
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
5131
L
31/05/2026
Monterey BayLoudoun United
41
W
24/05/2026
Monterey BayBirmingham Legion
20
W
17/05/2026
BoiseMonterey Bay
43
L
09/05/2026
LexingtonMonterey Bay
31
L
04/05/2026
Monterey BayFC Tulsa
12
L
18/04/2026
Colorado SpringsMonterey Bay
41
L
12/04/2026
Indy ElevenMonterey Bay
31
L
05/04/2026
Monterey BaySan Antonio
00
D

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Tulsa and Monterey Bay in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, FC Tulsa are 7th and Monterey Bay 12th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Tulsa 34-31, Monterey Bay 32-52. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.