Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC Prediction

Cashman Field·G. Flores 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalSTRONGModel31%SurpriseHighGap+7.1%
Las Vegas Lights Rest
7 days
Orange County SC Rest
7 days

Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC: the result in context

Orange County SC beat Las Vegas Lights 3-2 in the USL Championship on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.13
X
27%3.40
2
44%3.00
Double Chance
1X
56%1.32
X2
71%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.62
No
56%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.77
Over 3.5
19%2.88
Under 1.5
36%3.70
Under 2.5
62%1.95
Under 3.5
81%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'G. Doody INE. Solis out
38'O. AndersonAssist: C. Pinzon
45'L. MacKinnonAssist: S. Kelly
49'T. AntonoglouFoul
55'Y. Bazini
63'O. Anderson INB. Mines out
66'J. RodriguezAssist: B. Mines
70'C. Hegardt INJ. Johnson out
70'N. Ciotta INT. Espy out
76'G. Tubbs
80'M. Ybarra ING. Probo out
86'Y. Bazini INE. Zubak out
88'K. ScottFoul

Team Comparison

Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
Orange County SCOrange County SC
1396Elo Rating 1385
1.79Attack 1.00
0.31Defense 1.05
17%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Orange County SCOrange County SC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Orange County SCOrange County SC3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

USL Championship08/03/2026
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
11
USL Championship20/07/2025
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
40
USL Championship06/04/2025
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
10
USL Championship06/10/2024
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
11
USL Championship01/09/2024
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
23
USL Championship03/09/2023
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
15
USL Championship26/03/2023
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
22
USL Championship18/08/2022
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
11
USL Championship12/06/2022
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
30
USL Championship24/10/2021
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
21

Recent Form

Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
3W2D5L
14/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLas Vegas Lights
12
W
07/06/2026
Las Vegas LightsOakland Roots
02
L
31/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsFC Tulsa
00
D
24/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsColorado Springs
20
W
18/05/2026
Spokane VelocityLas Vegas Lights
10
L
10/05/2026
New Mexico UnitedLas Vegas Lights
31
L
03/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsLexington
21
W
23/04/2026
Oakland RootsLas Vegas Lights
42
L
12/04/2026
Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic
11
D
05/04/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLas Vegas Lights
32
L
Orange County SCOrange County SC
3W3D4L
14/06/2026
New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
11
D
07/06/2026
AltaOrange County SC
21
L
24/05/2026
Orange County SCOakland Roots
32
W
17/05/2026
Phoenix RisingOrange County SC
21
L
09/05/2026
Colorado SpringsOrange County SC
22
D
03/05/2026
Sacramento RepublicOrange County SC
32
L
19/04/2026
Orange County SCLexington
00
D
12/04/2026
FC TulsaOrange County SC
01
W
09/04/2026
Orange County SCSan Antonio
20
W
05/04/2026
Orange County SCNew Mexico United
01
L

Referee Profile

G. Flores6 matches analysed

4.53Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 37% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Las Vegas Lights and Orange County SC in the USL Championship table

Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights are close in the USL Championship table, 9th and 11th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Las Vegas Lights 41-48, Orange County SC 39-49. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.