Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United: result, form and history
New Mexico United beat Sacramento Republic 1-0 in the USL Championship on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Sacramento Republic have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Sacramento Republic
New Mexico UnitedAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Sacramento Republic- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New Mexico United- No tendency data available
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sacramento Republic6Wins · 60%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
31/08/2025New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic09/03/2025Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico United30/09/2024Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico United19/09/2024New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic22/10/2023Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico United21/09/2023Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico United23/07/2023New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic23/10/2022Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico United04/08/2022New Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic05/05/2022Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico UnitedRecent Form
Sacramento Republic
Colorado SpringsSacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Monterey Bay
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
San AntonioSacramento Republic
Oakland RootsSacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Orange County SC
BrooklynSacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Minnesota United FC
Las Vegas LightsSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicPhoenix RisingNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SCNew Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
Hartford AthleticNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
Charleston BatteryNew Mexico United
Tampa Bay RowdiesColorado SpringsNew Mexico UnitedNew Mexico UnitedLas Vegas LightsNew Mexico United
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingNew Mexico UnitedOrange County SCNew Mexico UnitedLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 |  Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 |  FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- FC Tulsa vs Colorado Springs 21/06/26
- Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive 21/06/26
- Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots 21/06/26
- Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC 21/06/26
- Charleston Battery vs Loudoun United 25/06/26
- Miami FC vs Orange County SC 25/06/26
- Colorado Springs vs San Antonio 25/06/26
- Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City 03/07/26
About the Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sacramento Republic and New Mexico United in the USL Championship table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: New Mexico United are 1st in the USL Championship, 1 point ahead of Sacramento Republic in 2nd. League goal record so far: Sacramento Republic 42-28, New Mexico United 45-34. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.