Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City Prediction

Protective Stadium 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel39%SurpriseHighGap+4.5%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel28%SurpriseHighGap+9.1%
Birmingham Legion Rest
12 days
Detroit City Rest
12 days

Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City: the result in context

Detroit City beat Birmingham Legion 2-1 in the USL Championship on 3 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Detroit City have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.66
X
25%3.30
2
47%2.37
Double Chance
1X
53%1.50
X2
73%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.70
No
56%2.01
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.28
Over 2.5
38%1.88
Over 3.5
19%3.17
Under 1.5
36%3.42
Under 2.5
62%1.85
Under 3.5
81%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'R. Hope-GundAssist: K. Hernandez-Foster
24'T. Pasher(Penalty)
31'T. SilvaFoul
37'S. AntwiFoul
45+5'R. Damus(Penalty missed)
45+6'K. Hernandez-FosterFoul
46'Rafa Mentzingen INB. Morris out
52'S. TregarthenFoul
69'P. Vassell INS. Saucedo out
69'S. Tregarthen IND. McCartney out
70'S. Shashoua INS. McIllhatton out
70'T. Silva INA. Dalou out
70'D. Smith INM. Rodriguez out
81'A. Diop INR. Williams out
84'N. BrownFoul
86'R. Damus INR. Williams out
86'G. Diarbian INS. Ngoma out
88'A. StanleyFoul
90+2'B. Morris
90+3'H. Yamazaki INC. Montgomery out
90+9'S. SaucedoDelay of game

Team Comparison

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
Detroit CityDetroit City
1437Elo Rating 1571
0.89Attack 0.58
2.09Defense 2.27
39%Hit Rate 31%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Detroit CityDetroit City
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion1Wins · 13%
Draws225%
Detroit CityDetroit City5Wins · 62%
2.5Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

USL Championship18/05/2025
Birmingham LegionDetroit City
11
USL Championship22/03/2025
Detroit CityBirmingham Legion
22
USL Championship17/08/2024
Birmingham LegionDetroit City
01
USL Championship27/06/2024
Detroit CityBirmingham Legion
12
USL Championship27/08/2023
Birmingham LegionDetroit City
23
USL Championship27/05/2023
Detroit CityBirmingham Legion
10
USL Championship18/08/2022
Birmingham LegionDetroit City
12
USL Championship16/04/2022
Detroit CityBirmingham Legion
10

Recent Form

Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion
3W5D2L
21/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLoudoun United
11
D
17/06/2026
Oakland RootsBirmingham Legion
11
D
14/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLas Vegas Lights
12
L
10/06/2026
Birmingham LegionCorpus Christi
30
W
04/06/2026
Birmingham LegionLouisville City
11
D
24/05/2026
Monterey BayBirmingham Legion
20
L
17/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesBirmingham Legion
2131
W
08/05/2026
Birmingham LegionMiami FC
00
D
03/05/2026
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
13
W
19/04/2026
Birmingham LegionIndy Eleven
22
D
Detroit CityDetroit City
4W2D4L
20/06/2026
Detroit CityLouisville City
3040
L
14/06/2026
Sporting JAXDetroit City
26
W
11/06/2026
Detroit CityEl Paso Locomotive
11
D
07/06/2026
Detroit CityLexington
1131
L
31/05/2026
Charleston BatteryDetroit City
20
L
24/05/2026
Loudoun UnitedDetroit City
00
D
21/05/2026
Detroit CityMiami FC
21
W
17/05/2026
Forward MadisonDetroit City
01
W
10/05/2026
Hartford AthleticDetroit City
21
L
03/05/2026
Detroit CityLouisville City
21
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Birmingham Legion and Detroit City in the USL Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Detroit City are 3rd in the USL Championship, while Birmingham Legion sit 11th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: Birmingham Legion 40-46, Detroit City 34-21. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.