Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive: the result in context
Monterey Bay beat El Paso Locomotive 1-0 in the USL Championship on 21 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Monterey Bay had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for El Paso Locomotive.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Monterey Bay
El Paso LocomotiveAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Monterey Bay- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
El Paso Locomotive- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Monterey Bay2Wins · 22%3Wins · 33%Previous meetings
15/03/2026Monterey BayEl Paso Locomotive17/08/2025El Paso LocomotiveMonterey Bay22/06/2025Monterey BayEl Paso Locomotive25/08/2024Monterey BayEl Paso Locomotive14/03/2024El Paso LocomotiveMonterey Bay03/09/2023El Paso LocomotiveMonterey Bay09/07/2023Monterey BayEl Paso Locomotive07/08/2022Monterey BayEl Paso Locomotive10/04/2022El Paso LocomotiveMonterey BayRecent Form
Monterey Bay
FC TulsaMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Sporting JAX
Sacramento RepublicMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Loudoun UnitedMonterey Bay
Birmingham Legion
BoiseMonterey Bay
LexingtonMonterey BayMonterey BayFC Tulsa
Colorado SpringsMonterey Bay
Indy ElevenMonterey BayEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive
Phoenix Rising
Detroit CityEl Paso LocomotiveColorado SpringsEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveLexingtonEl Paso Locomotive
Alta
Oakland RootsEl Paso Locomotive
New Mexico UnitedEl Paso LocomotiveEl Paso LocomotiveFC TulsaEl Paso Locomotive
San Antonio
Houston DynamoEl Paso LocomotiveLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds 21/06/26
- Sporting JAX vs Charleston Battery 21/06/26
- Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United 21/06/26
- FC Tulsa vs Colorado Springs 21/06/26
- Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots 21/06/26
- Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC 21/06/26
- Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United 21/06/26
- Charleston Battery vs Loudoun United 25/06/26
About the Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship table
The table shows a wide gap: El Paso Locomotive are 3rd in the USL Championship, while Monterey Bay sit 12th, 26 points behind. League goal record so far: Monterey Bay 32-52, El Paso Locomotive 48-38. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.