Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Sacramento Republic
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Rhode Island
Heart Health Park 09/07/2026
Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
2-1
Finished
Rhode IslandRhode Island

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.24
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseHighGap+0.6%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel29%SurpriseHighGap+7.2%
Sacramento Republic Rest
17 days
Rhode Island Rest
4 days

Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island: the result in context

Sacramento Republic beat Rhode Island 2-1 in the USL Championship on 9 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.13
X
30%3.14
2
36%3.22
Double Chance
1X
64%1.28
X2
66%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.82
No
56%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.34
Over 2.5
38%2.06
Over 3.5
18%3.64
Under 1.5
36%2.96
Under 2.5
62%1.70
Under 3.5
82%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'K. EdwardsAssist: M. Kaye
24'H. Bacharach CapdevilaAssist: A. Shapiro-Thompson
26'R. SpauldingFoul
44'M. MalangoAssist: M. Kaye
51'A. SanchezUnsportsmanlike conduct
58'A. Sanchez INJ. Kwizera out
58'N. Scardina INA. Rodriguez out
66'K. Edwards INF. Ajago out
74'J. Casas IND. Crisostomo out
74'N. Fuson IND. Atkinson out
74'M. Malango INT. Wolff out
81'A. Rodriguez INB. Willey out
82'A. Shapiro-Thompson INK. Vang out
82'Leo Afonso IND. Rovira out

Team Comparison

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Rhode IslandRhode Island
1573Elo Rating 1534
1.61Attack 1.14
1.96Defense 2.37
58%Hit Rate 54%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Rhode IslandRhode Island0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

USL Championship22/06/2025
Rhode IslandSacramento Republic
02
USL Championship12/05/2024
Rhode IslandSacramento Republic
22

Recent Form

Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
4W2D4L
21/06/2026
Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico United
01
L14/06/2026
Colorado SpringsSacramento Republic
01
W07/06/2026
Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
5131
W
31/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
20
L
24/05/2026
San AntonioSacramento Republic
21
L
17/05/2026
Oakland RootsSacramento Republic
01
W
03/05/2026
Sacramento RepublicOrange County SC
32
W
22/04/2026
BrooklynSacramento Republic
11
D
15/04/2026
Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United FC
8090
L
12/04/2026
Las Vegas LightsSacramento Republic
11
D
Rhode IslandRhode Island
4W2D4L
05/07/2026
Rhode IslandOrange County SC
11
D14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
W
07/06/2026
Rhode IslandWestchester SC
30
W
31/05/2026
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
L
24/05/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
41
W
16/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island
21
L
10/05/2026
Rhode IslandTampa Bay Rowdies
11
D
03/05/2026
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
13
L
23/04/2026
Rhode IslandCharleston Battery
40
W
15/04/2026
New England RevolutionRhode Island
3111
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026

USL Championship — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

USL Championship — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

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About the Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

More USL Championship fixtures and forecasts are on the USL Championship Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Sacramento Republic and Rhode Island have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.