Miami FC vs Indy Eleven Prediction

Miami FC
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
Riccardo Silva Stadium 16/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseHighGap+6.4%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel32%SurpriseHighGap+7.4%
Miami FC Rest
3 days
Indy Eleven Rest
11 days

Miami FC vs Indy Eleven: the result in context

Miami FC beat Indy Eleven 2-0 in the USL Championship on 16 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Indy Eleven had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Miami FC.

Indy Eleven have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.65
X
30%3.27
2
43%2.40
Double Chance
1X
57%1.47
X2
72%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.62
No
56%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.25
Over 2.5
38%1.80
Over 3.5
19%3.00
Under 1.5
36%3.58
Under 2.5
62%1.90
Under 3.5
81%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

44'R. Da CostaAssist: J. Sonora
63'N. Okello INC. Sharp out
63'L. Mesanvi INM. Omar out
68'R. Da Costa ING. Diaz out
71'J. Blake INK. Williams out
71'M. Rasheed INN. Kibunguchy out
73'A. Rocha INTulu out
74'J. SonoraFoul
76'J. LocadiaAssist: A. Milesi
84'J. Locadia INM. Ndongo out
84'B. Ndiaye INM. Tunbridge out

Team Comparison

Miami FCMiami FC
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven
1437Elo Rating 1422
1.60Attack 0.69
1.64Defense 0.59
50%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Miami FCMiami FC
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Miami FCMiami FC1Wins · 11%
Draws222%
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven6Wins · 67%
2.4Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

USL Championship24/08/2025
Indy ElevenMiami FC
32
US Open Cup17/04/2025
Indy ElevenMiami FC
1000
USL Championship16/03/2025
Miami FCIndy Eleven
13
USL Championship29/09/2024
Indy ElevenMiami FC
40
USL Championship13/05/2024
Miami FCIndy Eleven
13
USL Championship03/09/2023
Indy ElevenMiami FC
10
USL Championship13/08/2023
Miami FCIndy Eleven
01
USL Championship03/07/2022
Indy ElevenMiami FC
01
USL Championship09/06/2022
Miami FCIndy Eleven
11

Recent Form

Miami FCMiami FC
3W3D4L
12/07/2026
Sarasota ParadiseMiami FC
05
W
06/07/2026
Miami FCBirmingham Legion
11
D
25/06/2026
Miami FCOrange County SC
24
L
14/06/2026
Oakland RootsMiami FC
00
D
31/05/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsMiami FC
20
L
24/05/2026
Miami FCLouisville City
43
W
21/05/2026
Detroit CityMiami FC
21
L
17/05/2026
Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies
14
L
08/05/2026
Birmingham LegionMiami FC
00
D
03/05/2026
Miami FCBrooklyn
32
W
Indy ElevenIndy Eleven
7W1D2L
04/07/2026
Indy ElevenCharleston Battery
20
W
21/06/2026
LexingtonIndy Eleven
6070
W
14/06/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsIndy Eleven
10
L
07/06/2026
Indy ElevenForward Madison
20
W
31/05/2026
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
W
24/05/2026
Indy ElevenLexington
31
W
17/05/2026
Fort WayneIndy Eleven
1232
W
10/05/2026
Indy ElevenSporting JAX
21
W
03/05/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesIndy Eleven
10
L
19/04/2026
Birmingham LegionIndy Eleven
22
D

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Miami FC vs Indy Eleven forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Miami FC and Indy Eleven in the USL Championship table

Miami FC and Indy Eleven are close in the USL Championship table, 8th and 9th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Miami FC 39-49, Indy Eleven 35-41. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Miami FC have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.