Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay Prediction

USL ChampionshipUSA USA · Group Stage
Rhode Island
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Monterey Bay
Centreville Bank Stadium·A. Yaya 23/08/2026
Rhode IslandRhode Island
3-1
Finished
Monterey BayMonterey Bay

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.37
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Rhode Island Rest
7 days
Monterey Bay Rest
6 days

Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay: result, form and history

Rhode Island beat Monterey Bay 3-1 in the USL Championship on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rhode Island had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Monterey Bay.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
80%1.37
X
12%4.65
2
8%7.00
Double Chance
1X
92%1.07
X2
20%2.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.82
No
56%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.16
Over 2.5
39%1.59
Over 3.5
19%2.42
Under 1.5
36%4.22
Under 2.5
61%2.23
Under 3.5
81%1.49
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Leo Afonso
16'S. LletgetAssist: I. Paul
22'Z. FarnsworthFoul
25'A. SanchezFoul
42'D. OtoyaDelay of game
55'D. Otoya INW. Leggett out
59'Q. ElliotFoul
66'H. Bacharach CapdevilaAssist: Y. Tsukada
70'O. Glasgow INF. Barajas out
72'Y. Tsukada IND. Atkinson out
72'A. Rodriguez INN. Fuson out
76'A. Shapiro-ThompsonFoul
77'F. BarajasFoul
80'A. Shapiro-Thompson INE. Klein out
80'Leo Afonso INO. Foyo out
83'G. Stoneman
84'S. Lletget INJacob Montes out
89'N. Scardina IND. Rovira out
90'E. KleinFoul
90+2'W. LeggettUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Rhode IslandRhode Island
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
1534Elo Rating 1316
1.14Attack 0.95
2.37Defense 1.21
54%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+218 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Rhode IslandRhode Island0Wins · 0%
Draws2100%
Monterey BayMonterey Bay0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

USL Championship10/05/2025
Rhode IslandMonterey Bay
11
USL Championship24/03/2024
Monterey BayRhode Island
22

Recent Form

Rhode IslandRhode Island
6W1D3L
16/08/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
20
L
09/08/2026
Rhode IslandColorado Springs
20
W
03/08/2026
Birmingham LegionRhode Island
10
L26/07/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsRhode Island
01
W19/07/2026
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
10
W
12/07/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
4131
W
09/07/2026
Sacramento RepublicRhode Island
21
L05/07/2026
Rhode IslandOrange County SC
11
D14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
W
07/06/2026
Rhode IslandWestchester SC
30
W
Monterey BayMonterey Bay
1W2D7L
16/08/2026
Oakland RootsMonterey Bay
11
D
09/08/2026
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25
L
06/08/2026
El Paso LocomotiveMonterey Bay
10
L
02/08/2026
LexingtonMonterey Bay
32
L
26/07/2026
Monterey BayOrange County SC
12
L19/07/2026
Phoenix RisingMonterey Bay
32
L
12/07/2026
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
23
L
05/07/2026
San AntonioMonterey Bay
00
D21/06/2026
Monterey BayEl Paso Locomotive
10
W18/06/2026
FC TulsaMonterey Bay
20
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026

USL Championship — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

USL Championship — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

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About the Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL Championship

More USL Championship fixtures and forecasts are on the USL Championship Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Rhode Island and Monterey Bay have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.