Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic: result, form and history
Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic drew 1-1 in the USL Championship on 30 Aug 2026. Sacramento Republic had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Monterey Bay.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Monterey Bay
Sacramento RepublicGame State Tendencies
Monterey Bay- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sacramento Republic- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Monterey Bay3Wins · 30%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
07/06/2026Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay
22/03/2026Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay28/09/2025Monterey BaySacramento Republic10/08/2025Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay10/10/2024Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay09/06/2024Monterey BaySacramento Republic
08/05/2024Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay06/08/2023Monterey BaySacramento Republic18/06/2023Sacramento RepublicMonterey Bay14/08/2022Monterey BaySacramento RepublicRecent Form
Monterey Bay
Rhode IslandMonterey Bay
Oakland RootsMonterey BayMonterey Bay
New Mexico United
El Paso LocomotiveMonterey Bay
LexingtonMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Orange County SC
Phoenix RisingMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Las Vegas Lights
San AntonioMonterey BayMonterey BayEl Paso LocomotiveSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicPhoenix RisingSacramento RepublicLexington
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
FC TulsaSacramento RepublicSacramento Republic
Sporting JAXOakland RootsSacramento Republic
Charleston BatterySacramento Republic
BoiseSacramento RepublicSacramento RepublicRhode IslandSacramento RepublicNew Mexico UnitedLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 |  Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay 23/08/26
- San Antonio vs Oakland Roots 23/08/26
- New Mexico United vs Lexington 27/08/26
- Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion 30/08/26
- Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Brooklyn 06/09/26
- New Mexico United vs Indy Eleven 12/09/26
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United 13/09/26
- Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights 13/09/26
About the Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Monterey Bay and Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship table
The table shows a wide gap: Sacramento Republic are 2nd in the USL Championship, while Monterey Bay sit 12th, 27 points behind. League goal record so far: Monterey Bay 32-52, Sacramento Republic 42-28. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.