New Mexico United vs Lexington Prediction

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park·A. Hadzic 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.45
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseHighGap+5.1%
New Mexico United Rest
4 days
Lexington Rest
4 days

New Mexico United vs Lexington: result, form and history

New Mexico United beat Lexington 2-1 in the USL Championship on 27 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%2.55
X
24%3.33
2
21%2.48
Double Chance
1X
79%1.45
X2
45%1.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.72
Over 3.5
19%2.72
Under 1.5
36%3.75
Under 2.5
61%2.00
Under 3.5
81%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'O. SemmleDelay of game
29'G. HurstFoul
46'M. Fry INB. Ferri out
51'M. Muir
56'T. Scott INJ. Brown out
63'Z. BaileyFoul
67'O. Jabang ING. Zelalem out
67'J. LaCava INC. Wilkerson out
67'C. Gloster INT. Blackett out
68'T. BlackettFoul
73'K. KellerAssist: G. Hurst
74'Nick Firmino INP. Seagrist out
78'N. Reid-StephenAssist: D. Harris
82'P. SeagristFoul
84'X. Zengue INM. Yosef out
85'D. Harris INC. Nava out
85'G. Hurst INL. Archimede out
90+4'C. WilkersonDelay of game

Team Comparison

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
LexingtonLexington
1538Elo Rating 1541
1.36Attack 3.27
1.72Defense 1.67
42%Hit Rate 77%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
  • No tendency data available
LexingtonLexington
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
LexingtonLexington1Wins · 33%
3.7Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

USL Championship16/07/2026
LexingtonNew Mexico United
14
USL Championship29/09/2025
New Mexico UnitedLexington
21
USL Championship15/06/2025
LexingtonNew Mexico United
21

Recent Form

New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United
7W3D0L
23/08/2026
Loudoun UnitedNew Mexico United
00
D
16/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedFC Tulsa
10
W
09/08/2026
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25
W
02/08/2026
New Mexico UnitedColorado Springs
10
W
16/07/2026
LexingtonNew Mexico United
14
W
12/07/2026
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
02
W
05/07/2026
New Mexico UnitedOakland Roots
21
W
02/07/2026
New Mexico UnitedAtlante FC
33
D
21/06/2026
Sacramento RepublicNew Mexico United
01
W
14/06/2026
New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
11
D
LexingtonLexington
5W1D4L
23/08/2026
LexingtonLas Vegas Lights
20
W
16/08/2026
Sacramento RepublicLexington
10
L
09/08/2026
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
10
W
02/08/2026
LexingtonMonterey Bay
32
W
26/07/2026
FC TulsaLexington
00
D
23/07/2026
LexingtonOakland Roots
20
W
16/07/2026
LexingtonNew Mexico United
14
L
12/07/2026
Louisville CityLexington
42
L
05/07/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesLexington
14
W
21/06/2026
LexingtonIndy Eleven
6070
L

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the New Mexico United vs Lexington forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

New Mexico United and Lexington in the USL Championship table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: New Mexico United are 1st in the USL Championship, 4 points ahead of Lexington in 4th. League goal record so far: New Mexico United 45-34, Lexington 57-39. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.