Lexington vs Oakland Roots Prediction

Lexington
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Oakland Roots
Toyota Stadium·A. Pennington 23/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalSTRONGModel45%SurpriseHighGap+12.5%
Lexington Rest
7 days
Oakland Roots Rest
11 days

Lexington vs Oakland Roots: the result in context

Lexington beat Oakland Roots 2-0 in the USL Championship on 23 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.76
X
29%3.70
2
27%3.89
Double Chance
1X
73%1.20
X2
57%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.22
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.18
Over 2.5
39%1.61
Over 3.5
19%2.50
Under 1.5
36%4.25
Under 2.5
61%2.20
Under 3.5
81%1.46
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'N. HackshawUnsportsmanlike conduct
50'P. GoodrumAssist: Nick Firmino
54'P. GoodrumUnsportsmanlike conduct
63'B. FerriAssist: P. Goodrum
64'T. Lepley IND. Trejo out
64'W. Prentice INB. Jacquesson out
70'B. P. Rodrigues INT. Scott out
80'K. TingeyFoul
80'J. de Vicente INJ. Bravo out
87'B. FerriFoul
88'J. Greene INJ. Hafferty out
88'F. Valot INF. Bettache out
88'P. Wilson INJ. Kiil out
90+2'J. Brown INA. Ordonez out
90+3'P. Goodrum INM. Henry-Scott out
90+3'M. Henry-ScottDelay of game

Team Comparison

LexingtonLexington
Oakland RootsOakland Roots
1541Elo Rating 1449
3.27Attack 1.72
1.67Defense 2.46
77%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

LexingtonLexington
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Oakland RootsOakland Roots
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

LexingtonLexington1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Oakland RootsOakland Roots1Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

USL Championship26/10/2025
Oakland RootsLexington
30
USL Championship24/08/2025
LexingtonOakland Roots
21

Recent Form

LexingtonLexington
5W0D5L
16/07/2026
LexingtonNew Mexico United
14
L
12/07/2026
Louisville CityLexington
42
L
05/07/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesLexington
14
W
21/06/2026
LexingtonIndy Eleven
6070
L
14/06/2026
LexingtonSan Antonio
20
W
07/06/2026
Detroit CityLexington
1131
W
31/05/2026
El Paso LocomotiveLexington
14
W
24/05/2026
Indy ElevenLexington
31
L
09/05/2026
LexingtonMonterey Bay
31
W
03/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsLexington
21
L
Oakland RootsOakland Roots
3W2D5L
11/07/2026
Oakland RootsSpokane Velocity
13
L
05/07/2026
New Mexico UnitedOakland Roots
21
L
21/06/2026
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
34
W
17/06/2026
Oakland RootsBirmingham Legion
11
D
14/06/2026
Oakland RootsMiami FC
00
D
07/06/2026
Las Vegas LightsOakland Roots
02
W
31/05/2026
Oakland RootsColorado Springs
01
L
24/05/2026
Orange County SCOakland Roots
32
L
17/05/2026
Oakland RootsSacramento Republic
01
L
10/05/2026
Oakland RootsEl Paso Locomotive
21
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Lexington vs Oakland Roots forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lexington and Oakland Roots in the USL Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Lexington are 4th in the USL Championship, while Oakland Roots sit 10th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: Lexington 57-39, Oakland Roots 39-40. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lexington and Oakland Roots have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.