Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction
USA · Group Stage
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay: the result in context
Phoenix Rising beat Monterey Bay 3-2 in the USL Championship on 19 Jul 2026. That went against recent form: Monterey Bay had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Phoenix Rising.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Phoenix Rising
Monterey BayAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Phoenix Rising- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Monterey Bay- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Phoenix Rising3Wins · 38%3Wins · 37%Previous meetings
18/05/2025Phoenix RisingMonterey Bay30/03/2025Monterey BayPhoenix Rising05/10/2024Phoenix RisingMonterey Bay17/03/2024Monterey BayPhoenix Rising30/07/2023Monterey BayPhoenix Rising16/04/2023Phoenix RisingMonterey Bay22/09/2022Monterey BayPhoenix Rising13/03/2022Phoenix RisingMonterey BayRecent Form
Phoenix Rising
AltaPhoenix Rising
Colorado SpringsPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Oakland Roots
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Louisville City
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Sacramento Republic
Tampa Bay RowdiesPhoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Orange County SCPhoenix Rising
San AntonioMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Las Vegas LightsSan AntonioMonterey BayMonterey BayEl Paso Locomotive
FC TulsaMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Sporting JAXSacramento RepublicMonterey BayMonterey Bay
Loudoun UnitedMonterey Bay
Birmingham Legion
BoiseMonterey Bay
LexingtonMonterey BayLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45:34 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42:28 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48:38 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57:39 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32:30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34:31 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:46 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 39 | LLLLW |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32:52 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico United | 30 | 45:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | 42:28 | 51 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | 48:38 | 50 |
| 4 | Lexington | 30 | 57:39 | 48 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | San Antonio | 30 | 32:30 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 30 | 34:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 45:46 | 40 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 30 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 39:40 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 41:48 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 32:52 | 24 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More USL Championship matches
- Charleston Battery vs Sacramento Republic 19/07/26
- Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic 19/07/26
- FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive 19/07/26
- San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights 19/07/26
- Lexington vs Oakland Roots 23/07/26
- Colorado Springs vs Miami FC 23/07/26
- Brooklyn vs San Antonio 26/07/26
- Detroit City vs Las Vegas Lights 26/07/26
About the Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay forecast
The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Phoenix Rising and Monterey Bay in the USL Championship table
In the USL Championship table, Phoenix Rising are 8th and Monterey Bay 12th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Phoenix Rising 45-46, Monterey Bay 32-52. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.