Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising Prediction

Weidner Field 05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.45
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+11.9%
Colorado Springs Rest
10 days
Phoenix Rising Rest
13 days

Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising: the result in context

Colorado Springs beat Phoenix Rising 3-1 in the USL Championship on 5 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Colorado Springs had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Phoenix Rising.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.70
X
28%3.80
2
28%4.20
Double Chance
1X
72%1.17
X2
56%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.61
No
56%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.19
Over 2.5
39%1.64
Over 3.5
19%2.56
Under 1.5
36%4.25
Under 2.5
61%2.14
Under 3.5
81%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'G. StudenhofftAssist: D. Flores
34'A. PerezAssist: F. Daroma
42'E. RamirezFoul
46'E. Ramirez INK. Arase out
48'G. MetusalaAssist: A. Perez
66'J. Fjeldberg INY. Hanya out
67'A. Pelayo IND. Badji out
73'G. RiveraFoul
76'F. Daroma INJ. Tejada out
79'A. PerezAssist: A. Rocha
83'A. Perez INI. Foster out
83'D. Williams INS. Williams out
83'G. Rivera INR. Czichos out
83'G. Studenhofft INJ. Ping out
90'D. Gomez INJ. Irwin out

Team Comparison

Colorado SpringsColorado Springs
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
1531Elo Rating 1470
0.50Attack 1.83
2.77Defense 0.96
27%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Colorado SpringsColorado Springs
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3Wins · 38%
Draws225%
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3Wins · 37%
2.4Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

USL Championship24/08/2025
Phoenix RisingColorado Springs
41
USL Championship04/05/2025
Colorado SpringsPhoenix Rising
11
USL Championship04/08/2024
Colorado SpringsPhoenix Rising
20
USL Championship14/04/2024
Phoenix RisingColorado Springs
10
USL Championship15/10/2023
Colorado SpringsPhoenix Rising
20
USL Championship23/07/2023
Phoenix RisingColorado Springs
11
USL Championship04/09/2022
Colorado SpringsPhoenix Rising
10
USL Championship31/07/2022
Phoenix RisingColorado Springs
40

Recent Form

Colorado SpringsColorado Springs
4W2D4L
25/06/2026
Colorado SpringsSan Antonio
12
L
21/06/2026
FC TulsaColorado Springs
12
W
14/06/2026
Colorado SpringsSacramento Republic
01
L
07/06/2026
Colorado SpringsEl Paso Locomotive
21
W
31/05/2026
Oakland RootsColorado Springs
01
W
24/05/2026
Las Vegas LightsColorado Springs
20
L
17/05/2026
Colorado SpringsNew Mexico United
40
W
09/05/2026
Colorado SpringsOrange County SC
22
D
03/05/2026
San AntonioColorado Springs
33
D
30/04/2026
Colorado RapidsColorado Springs
5141
L
Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
4W2D4L
21/06/2026
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
34
L
14/06/2026
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
11
D
11/06/2026
Phoenix RisingLouisville City
02
L
07/06/2026
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
40
L
31/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
20
W
24/05/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesPhoenix Rising
30
L
17/05/2026
Phoenix RisingOrange County SC
21
W
10/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSan Antonio
11
D
03/05/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPhoenix Rising
01
W
19/04/2026
Miami FCPhoenix Rising
03
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Colorado Springs vs Phoenix Rising forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Colorado Springs and Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Colorado Springs are 5th and Phoenix Rising 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Colorado Springs 44-38, Phoenix Rising 45-46. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.