Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Prediction

Cardinale Stadium·B. Jensen 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.28
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Monterey Bay Rest
6 days
Orange County SC Rest
14 days

Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC: result, form and history

Orange County SC beat Monterey Bay 2-1 in the USL Championship on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%2.15
X
24%3.30
2
47%3.02
Double Chance
1X
53%1.30
X2
71%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.72
No
56%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.28
Over 2.5
38%1.90
Over 3.5
19%3.20
Under 1.5
36%3.28
Under 2.5
62%1.81
Under 3.5
81%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'T. BrewittFoul
39'I. PaulFoul
48'T. Brewitt
51'N. GordonOG
56'A. Saidi INW. Leggett out
56'R. Nakamura INJ. Belmar out
59'G. TubbsFoul
74'Q. Elliot INJ. Garcia out
74'F. Barajas INS. Ritchie out
79'L. MacKinnon INE. Zubak out
79'E. Solis INJ. Martinez out
86'O. Sylla INR. Doghman out
88'I. PaulAssist: N. Gordon
90+3'N. Ross INK. Egwu out
90+3'C. Hegardt INM. War out

Team Comparison

Monterey BayMonterey Bay
Orange County SCOrange County SC
1330Elo Rating 1385
1.35Attack 1.00
1.33Defense 1.05
44%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Monterey BayMonterey Bay
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Orange County SCOrange County SC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Monterey BayMonterey Bay4Wins · 50%
Draws113%
Orange County SCOrange County SC3Wins · 37%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

USL Championship12/07/2025
Monterey BayOrange County SC
21
USL Championship23/03/2025
Orange County SCMonterey Bay
03
USL Championship22/09/2024
Monterey BayOrange County SC
00
USL Championship28/04/2024
Orange County SCMonterey Bay
20
USL Championship15/10/2023
Monterey BayOrange County SC
01
USL Championship02/07/2023
Orange County SCMonterey Bay
31
USL Championship08/09/2022
Monterey BayOrange County SC
10
USL Championship10/07/2022
Orange County SCMonterey Bay
02

Recent Form

Monterey BayMonterey Bay
4W1D5L
Orange County SCOrange County SC
3W4D3L
12/07/2026
Orange County SCColorado Springs
03
L
09/07/2026
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
22
D
05/07/2026
Rhode IslandOrange County SC
11
D
25/06/2026
Miami FCOrange County SC
24
W
21/06/2026
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
23
W
14/06/2026
New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
11
D
07/06/2026
AltaOrange County SC
21
L
24/05/2026
Orange County SCOakland Roots
32
W
17/05/2026
Phoenix RisingOrange County SC
21
L
09/05/2026
Colorado SpringsOrange County SC
22
D

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Monterey Bay and Orange County SC in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Orange County SC are 9th and Monterey Bay 12th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Monterey Bay 32-52, Orange County SC 39-49. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.