Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction

Championship Soccer Stadium·C. Radosav 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Orange County SC Rest
7 days
Las Vegas Lights Rest
6 days

Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights: result, form and history

Las Vegas Lights beat Orange County SC 2-0 in the USL Championship on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Las Vegas Lights had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Orange County SC.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.24
X
25%3.58
2
26%2.64
Double Chance
1X
74%1.40
X2
51%1.52
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'J. RodriguezAssist: G. Probo
43'J. Rodriguez INM. Arteaga out
45+2'M. ArteagaFoul
45+5'B. PopeFoul
45+6'O. SyllaFoul
68'Y. Bazini INM. Bunbury out
75'G. ProboFoul
75'O. Sylla INM. Palomino out
76'S. Wathuta INE. Zubak out
86'C. Locker INP. Leal out
86'B. Pope INT. Antonoglou out
90'J. Lindsey INT. Espy out
90'M. Arteaga INA. Guillen out
90+5'O. AndersonAssist: P. Leal
90+6'O. AndersonUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Orange County SCOrange County SC
Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
1385Elo Rating 1396
1.00Attack 1.79
1.05Defense 0.31
14%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Orange County SCOrange County SC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Orange County SCOrange County SC3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3Wins · 30%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

USL Championship21/06/2026
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
23
USL Championship08/03/2026
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
11
USL Championship20/07/2025
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
40
USL Championship06/04/2025
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
10
USL Championship06/10/2024
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
11
USL Championship01/09/2024
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
23
USL Championship03/09/2023
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
15
USL Championship26/03/2023
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
22
USL Championship18/08/2022
Orange County SCLas Vegas Lights
11
USL Championship12/06/2022
Las Vegas LightsOrange County SC
30

Recent Form

Orange County SCOrange County SC
2W4D4L
06/09/2026
Orange County SCSacramento Republic
11
D
30/08/2026
Oakland RootsOrange County SC
11
D
23/08/2026
Orange County SCFC Tulsa
15
L
16/08/2026
Orange County SCLouisville City
23
L
09/08/2026
Orange County SCTampa Bay Rowdies
03
L
02/08/2026
Orange County SCEl Paso Locomotive
20
W
26/07/2026
Monterey BayOrange County SC
12
W
12/07/2026
Orange County SCColorado Springs
03
L
09/07/2026
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
22
D
05/07/2026
Rhode IslandOrange County SC
11
D
Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights
5W2D3L
06/09/2026
Las Vegas LightsNew Mexico United
12
L
30/08/2026
Las Vegas LightsCharleston Battery
02
L
23/08/2026
LexingtonLas Vegas Lights
20
L
16/08/2026
Las Vegas LightsBrooklyn
21
W
09/08/2026
Miami FCLas Vegas Lights
01
W
06/08/2026
Las Vegas LightsOakland Roots
00
D
02/08/2026
Las Vegas LightsPhoenix Rising
11
D
26/07/2026
Detroit CityLas Vegas Lights
01
W
19/07/2026
San AntonioLas Vegas Lights
12
W
12/07/2026
Monterey BayLas Vegas Lights
23
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship table

Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights are close in the USL Championship table, 9th and 11th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Orange County SC 39-49, Las Vegas Lights 41-48. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.