Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide Prediction

Hegelmann Litauen
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Paide
Raudondvario stadionas, Raudondvario·C. Aydin 09/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseHighGap+13.2%
Hegelmann Litauen Rest
5 days
Paide Rest
5 days

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide: the result in context

Hegelmann Litauen and Paide drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 9 Jul 2026. Paide had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Hegelmann Litauen.

Referee C. Aydin averages 4.20 cards a game, 0.61 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.32
X
21%3.31
2
36%2.85
Double Chance
1X
64%1.36
X2
57%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.66
No
53%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.04 = 2.36
Over 1.5
71%1.25
Over 2.5
45%1.85
Over 3.5
20%3.00
Under 1.5
29%3.50
Under 2.5
55%1.90
Under 3.5
80%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'A. BadamosiAssist: M. Lilander
45+1'V. Armanavicius(Penalty missed)
45+1'V. Armanavicius
58'E. Kausinis INA. Shchedryi out
64'C. Duke INA. Kaulinis out
65'Daniel Cabral INS. Luts out
65'M. Lilander INR. Nigula out
65'A. Badamosi INH. Anier out
74'D. Luts INK. Piht out
78'M. Miller INR. Smirnov out
79'M. Remeikis IND. Slendzoka out
79'S. Oum Gouet INA. Harouna out
79'Wesley IND. Kazlauskas out

Team Comparison

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen
PaidePaide
1457Elo Rating 1634
0.56Attack 1.54
0.93Defense 2.27
0%Hit Rate 83%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PaidePaide
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen
2W5D3L
04/07/2026
PanevėžysHegelmann Litauen
11
D
28/06/2026
BangaHegelmann Litauen
20
L
17/06/2026
Hegelmann LitauenDžiugas Telšiai
11
D
14/06/2026
Hegelmann LitauenKauno Žalgiris
11
D
29/05/2026
TransINVEST VilniusHegelmann Litauen
21
L
24/05/2026
FK Zalgiris VilniusHegelmann Litauen
13
W
20/05/2026
TransINVEST VilniusHegelmann Litauen
20
L
16/05/2026
Hegelmann LitauenSuduva Marijampole
22
D
09/05/2026
Hegelmann LitauenŠiauliai
11
D
06/05/2026
Hegelmann LitauenPanevėžys
32
W
PaidePaide
4W3D3L
04/07/2026
PaideVaprus
31
W
28/06/2026
Kalju NommePaide
11
D
21/06/2026
Flora TallinnPaide
12
W
17/06/2026
PaideLaagri
10
W
14/06/2026
Kalju NommePaide
11
D
31/05/2026
PaideKuressaare
11
D
23/05/2026
PaideFlora Tallinn
15
L
20/05/2026
Trans NarvaPaide
10
L
17/05/2026
PaideFC Levadia Tallinn
13
L
10/05/2026
Nõmme UnitedPaide
23
W

Referee Profile

C. Aydin134 matches

4.20Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

C. Aydin4.20
Other referees4.81

4.20 cards a match, 0.61 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.81).

Cards come from 117 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded

About the Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Paide have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Hegelmann Litauen and Paide have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.