Paide vs Vaprus Prediction
Estonia · Regular Season - 18
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Paide vs Vaprus: the result in context
Paide beat Vaprus 3-1 in the Meistriliiga on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Paide have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Paide
VaprusAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Paide- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Vaprus- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Paide7Wins · 70%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
07/03/2026VaprusPaide02/11/2025PaideVaprus30/08/2025VaprusPaide18/06/2025VaprusPaide09/04/2025PaideVaprus23/10/2024VaprusPaide18/08/2024PaideVaprus18/06/2024PaideVaprus03/03/2024VaprusPaide23/09/2023PaideVaprusRecent Form
Paide
Kalju NommePaide
Flora TallinnPaidePaide
LaagriKalju NommePaidePaide
KuressaarePaideFlora Tallinn
Trans NarvaPaidePaide
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme UnitedPaidePaide
TammekaVaprusVaprusKuressaareVaprusFlora TallinnTammekaVaprusVaprusKalju NommeVaprusFC Levadia TallinnLaagriVaprusVaprusTrans NarvaVaprusNõmme UnitedKalju NommeVaprusKuressaareVaprusLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 95:27 | +68 | 90 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Paide | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 54:41 | +13 | 63 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 34 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 64:49 | +15 | 58 | LLWLL |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 58:34 | +24 | 57 | WWLDL |
| 5 | Tammeka | 35 | 17 | 2 | 16 | 50:55 | -5 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 6 | Laagri | 35 | 15 | 2 | 18 | 50:52 | -2 | 47 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Nõmme United | 35 | 12 | 1 | 22 | 58:80 | -22 | 37 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Vaprus | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 46:69 | -23 | 37 | LDLLD |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 36 | DLLWW |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 26:76 | -50 | 20 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 35 | 95:27 | 90 |
| 2 | Paide | 35 | 54:41 | 63 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 34 | 64:49 | 58 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 34 | 58:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 35 | 50:55 | 53 |
| 6 | Laagri | 35 | 50:52 | 47 |
| 7 | Nõmme United | 35 | 58:80 | 37 |
| 8 | Vaprus | 35 | 46:69 | 37 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 34 | 35:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 34 | 26:76 | 20 |
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About the Paide vs Vaprus forecast
The forecasts for this Meistriliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Paide and Vaprus in the Meistriliiga table
The table shows a wide gap: Paide are 2nd in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus sit 8th, 26 points behind. League goal record so far: Paide 54-41, Vaprus 46-69. The full standings are on the Meistriliiga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.